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Joshua Hayes

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  • Merge Healthcare: Helping Portfolios Stay Healthy [View article]
    Right now, I agree with your short position. The chart has rolled over here in october and is now selling off on very heavy distribution. As for everything you just wrote about...I don't know about any of that or have the time to read that.

    I honestly don't care about the story. SA makes me write about this junk because sadly most investors (99%) are ignorant to the fact that all that matters is price. Price and volume. The rest is noise and useless when it comes to making money in the stock market over time. I am over MRGE and will not take a second look until it comes under accumulation and forms a good base. If that never happens, I will never see MRGE ever again.

    Aloha nui loa!

    Josh Hayes
    Nov 15 12:59 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Horror Show In Momentum Stocks [View article]
    I have been doing this full time since 1996 and have over 130 years of stock market history knowledge learned under my belt...I have never studied or been through anything like 2011. 2011 is one of the worst years I have ever witnessed for false signals and trendless moves where some leading stocks just get destroyed. It doesn't make any sense. Minus July to August downtrend, it has been beyond a f'ing mess for trend followers. 2011 = worst year ever. 2001/2007 can't even compare to 2011.
    Nov 11 05:36 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Continues To Be Nearly Untradeable [View article]
    As a trend follower times of severe volatility are a sign that you should be playing small. It is clear that this uptrend sucked in many bulls. look at stocks like AMZN AAPL. look at stocks like GMCR OPNT EGAN. look at banks rollover here. The short side is back in play for trend followers. It was whippy there for a bit but the sky is clearing here. It's not about being right. It's about winning.
    Nov 10 12:36 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Speculators Wake Up To The Same Old News - And Reverse Course [View article]
    Cash is King, gentleman. Too volatile. Short-term intraday market only. caution and patience.
    Nov 9 10:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Retail Stocks To Try On For Size [View article]
    Most of the contributors on Seeking Alpha can not consistently beat the stock market which is why you see them use "value" metrics. However, it is clearly trend followers who come out on top again and again as they ride the big trends up and down and get out during volatile periods. UA is a winner and with current growth the "value" guys will not be interested in the story until it is already finished with its 1000%+ price run up.

    If you forced all SA contributors to send in their account statements and post them with their articles I have a feeling certain contributors wouldn't be read nearly at the rate they are. Seeking Alpha is a very odd site in that it is so fundamental focused. Fundamentals are the most important thing when hunting for stocks but no wonder most of the readers can not make money. They shun technical analysis like it is cancer. Odd. But that is why the 5% continue to take from the 95%.

    MF was a great value at $5, even better at $4, then at $3 you couldn't miss, at $2 you would be retarded not to be long, at $1 you are now broke. Your usual buy and hold outcome.

    Continued success to you deercreekvols
    Nov 1 12:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 New Stocks Ready To Explode Higher [View article]
    You are absolutely right. I was expecting this stock to not have much but after reviewing the growth I am quite impressed. Great eye, kenser80!
    Oct 31 05:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 New Stocks Ready To Explode Higher [View article]
    I never recommend stocks and since "your belief in that I was recommending a stock" it was up 35%. The best traders of all time never buy the bottom or sell the top. That is living in a fantasy world. I operate in history facts evidence and scientific reality.

    Great luck, nogeeks. with an attitude like that you are definitely going to need a lot of it. :)
    Oct 31 05:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 New Stocks Ready To Explode Higher [View article]
    The trend follower always cuts his losses if his purchase does not move up immediately.

    If you review the best hedge funds over the past 20 years you will clearly see they are all technical based.

    John W. Henry
    William J. O'Neil
    Keith Campbell
    Jerry Parker
    Ed Seykota
    William Eckhardt
    George Soros
    Richard Dennis
    Gil Morales
    Dr. Chris Kacher

    in the past:

    Jesse Livermore
    Nic Darvas
    Gerald Loeb

    The ignorant technical trader will never win as he has more demons to beat than the market. However, the best trend followers will destroy the returns of fundamental/graham-dodd investors in the long term.

    I recommend you read Trend Following - Michael Covel or How To Make Money in Stocks - William J. O'Neil

    These are the real facts.

    Great luck, Bill.
    Oct 31 05:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 New Stocks Ready To Explode Higher [View article]
    You are very welcome, Baseline Ace.
    Oct 31 05:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silicon Motion Technology Our Best-Performing Stock YTD [View article]
    Anyone that has followed or read my stock talks for the past six months or read my article has definitely already heard about this stock. We are currently looking to either buy a low volume pullback to the 50 DMA which is followed by a heavy volume bounce off the line or a pocket-pivot point buy signal off the 10 day moving average. It has wedged higher from its breakout to new highs making it very difficult to enter a long position here. It is a very volatile stock and needs to rebase to give a better entry.
    Oct 29 11:31 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Prof. Shiller And CAPE May Be Correct Generally, But The Market Is Currently Cheap [View article]
    some of you guys might want to read Trend Following by Michael Covel before your methodology leaves you broke.

    John W. Henry
    Keith Campbell
    Jerry Parker
    Richard Donchian
    Jesse Livermore
    Nic Darvas
    William J. O'Neil
    Bill Dunn
    Salem Abraham
    Gerald Loeb
    Richard Wyckoff
    David Ryan
    Cedd Moses
    Gil Morales
    William Eckhardt
    Ed Seykota
    David Harding
    Richard Dennis

    check out their returns and try arguing a P/E methodology with those numbers year after year after decade after decade.

    they would all get a kick out of this P/E ratio discussion. good stuff.

    great luck investing with P/E ratios!!! :)
    Oct 17 03:53 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 IPOs That Will Rise From The Market's Ashes [View article]
    LNKD price and volume action is beautiful since mid-August. Someone is definitely accumulating this stock here. YNDX and AWAY...not so much. If this market can continue to rally, LNKD is one to look for an entry in. I use breakouts, 50 DMA bounces, and pocket pivot point buys off the 10 DMA.
    Oct 13 06:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Medical Stocks That Are Ready To Run [View article]
    No follow-through to Tuesday's rally and now hitting resistance at June lows, August/September highs with no leadership emerging in this market. ALXN heavy volume selloff combined with RS line hitting new short-term lows (negative divergence to price) = SELL.
    Oct 12 08:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bank Of England Rejoins QE Parade With Another £75B [View article]
    That's OK. Just play the game until it all falls apart. Don't fight the Fed or the Bank of England. Just follow the trend. Trend following works. #trendfollowing
    Oct 7 01:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Risk Of Momentum Stocks [View article]
    the only risk to mo-mo stocks is being an amateur and not knowing your charts. If you dont know when to buy or sell based on 130 years of history it is always going to be "risky." It isn't risky if you know how to play the game. P/E ratios are worthless. Facts. Take a look at all the stocks that made HUGE moves throughout history. Their P/E ratios were high to begin with. Now after a 3000% move if you are stupid enough to buy the stock. That's on you and your poor analysis of the past 130 years of historical data. New traders should never try to do what professionals do. It takes time to learn this game and be confident in your trades. Cutting your losses immediately when you are wrong will always save you if you are wrong. If you dont cut your losses when you are wrong...eventually one day you will be broke.
    Oct 5 01:25 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment