I am a Managing Partner, IT. I'm an investor from time-to-time in the technology sector. I made good calls on Worldcom, NetZero, Blackberry and others in my time. I know people in the technology world so I get alot of input from the end-users of technology products on how these technology products are playing from the battlefield itself so to speak. That's my investment niche - technology.
I currently have a 15 year mortgage on my home @ 3.75% with around 11 years left on it. My goal,and I know it's different than almost everyone else's ,is to have an Oz. of gold or 50 Oz. of Silver for each remaining month of the mortgage. That gives me some peace of mind,and I don't worry about daily fluctuations of the Precious metals prices. The good thing is that i'm working on both ends toward the middle and my break even point is not that far away. Sound crazy? I like the way it works at any rate.
FMI : 115 GLD is about $1200.00 spot gold price :)
1) This was a post I read on SA by another poster.It's concerning Inflation,Keynesian economics and governments that continue to fail the people.
Written by Kgroeppe :
" The Fed has engineered a 97% depreciation in our paper currency during its century of incompetence and fraud, i.e., it has defrauded the working class out of much of its hard-earned money. Since 1999 the process has accelerated with repeal of Glass-Steagall. How long will it take to go the rest of the way? When the Roman gold coin reached .5% Gold content, the empire collapsed, not only economically but also socially and politically. Many people who should know better believe that we can merely substitute another currency and be back in the race again. That is not the way it works.
When an economy collapses, there must be some entity to pay the bills. With a country like Argentina or Mexico, the big banks and the world economy take a hit, but it is small and causes no more than a blip in world economic activity. When an economy the size of ours collapses, it takes the whole world economy with it. With that goes the social and political structures also, because by that time the populace has completely lost confidence in everything, and does not know what to do.
So what can we do? One fact we do not normally learn in history classes is that when Rome "fell" it was followed by Persia, India, China and the Arab countries. Only one government did not follow suit - The Byzantine Empire. Why? Because around 1100 the Byzantine Emperor Alexios I Komnenos did something no other head of state in history has ever done. The Byzantine coinage had gone from gold to silver to copper to base metals with its accompanying inflation, such as we are seeing now. By this time Alexios was in power, and he must have seen what was going on in the world around him, and he restored 100% gold coinage. The Byzantine economy was restored to health and the Empire lasted another 350 years when it was conquered by the Turks.
Why can't we learn from Alexios? The change will involve some pain for everyone, but that is far better than what will happen otherwise. Do we want to leave behind us a healthy civilization ready to go another 1000 years, or do we want to leave only ruins? Time is running out, and that is one matter we cannot afford to put off.
If our civilization does collapse,we can count on from 200 to 500 years to restore some kind of order. Until then we will be more like Somalia than Zimbabwe, ruled by warlords. This is no scare tactic. This happened around 1200 B.C. and again after the demise of Rome. We have overly romanticized the "nobles" and "knights" of the Middle Ages, but closer study reveals that they were warlords with their armed retinues. Is this what we want our legacy to be? We can joke about it and make puns on Yellen's name (I certainly have done my share), but we need to abolish the Fed and come up with better economists than we have now advising the government. They are what I call fake economists, because they have mindlessly embraced Keynesian economics. John Maynard Keynes did not invent Keynesian economics; the Romans did, and look where it took them.
In 1835, Alexis de Tocqueville stated that the greatest threat to democracy was people voting themselves too many perks. We now know the truth in his statement, and it is time for us to adopt a more altruistic attitude, and admit that we have to pay for those perks, and begin to try to get this economy back on its feet. The past 6 years should have taught us an important lesson. If it hasn't, then we deserve whatever history has to dish out to us, and if we do not act now, that reckoning will be coming much sooner than we realize right now.
By the way, there is one economic lesson I can impart here, which has great pertinence in the here and now. We are told that inflation is running about 1.5%, but the figures used to compute this figure are selected. Inflation manifests in three ways:
A. increase in prices
B. decrease in quantity
C. decrease in quality
Have you looked at the size of the containers of food you buy in the grocery, or have you noticed the quality of cloth in your most recent clothing purchases?
Now you can decide how serious inflation is at present."
2.. When it comes to dealing with the government and particularly the present Obamacare TAX you to death administration,my favorite thought comes from Larry Gatlin of the Gatlin brothers. "You take your dog to a Veterinarian who also happens to be a Taxidermist ,no matter whether your dog gets better or not you will get your dog back" Gotta love the logic in that :)
3. A Collateralized Debt Object CDO is a perfect example of how bubbles occur.Gold may have paper bubbles created ,but Gold itself is not a bubble.If it reflects the market of paper trades that become bubbles ,it will be a safe haven in times of crisis .
.Paper trades of anything can be done in excess.That's my point plain and simple. Please read 'The Big Short' By Michael Lewis and you will realize how wrong the line of thinking of throwing money at investments can be.Anything can be a bad investment when taken to extreme., I wish we could all just see these type of so called investments for what they are. Paper trades are fine and serve a purpose ,if that is what you want . But it doesn't make Gold in your portfolio a bad idea ,all things in moderation .
The CDS http://thebea.st/10OOtSF market was a perfect example of an investment that was not suitable for people to be engaging in. Who knew what these things really were? In Lewis' book he points out many times how those making crazy profits off of these CDO and CDS transactions were the most blind because they didn't do their due diligence. Why should they ?They were making money with other peoples nest-eggs , and why rock the boat .
4.MONEY : What is it? Money must be a store of value, be fungible, be a unit of exchange, be portable, be durable, and be a unit of account. Fiat currency has all of these characteristics except one: It is not a store of value. The material it is made from is useless and it is no longer backed by gold. This makes it a currency, not money. Gold has always been money because it meets all of these parts of the definition and then some. It cannot be made nor destroyed. It retains its value and cannot be inflated. ALL fiat currencies go to zero eventually, gold and silver hold their value
Flat earthers(Global warming hoaxters) are usually unaware of this :
Isaiah 40:22 It is he that sitteth above the sphere of the earth, and the inhabitants thereof are as grasshoppers; that stretcheth out the heavens as a curtain, and spreadeth them out as a tent to dwell in;
Almost 700 years before Christ Isaiah wrote about the earth as being round (A sphere) not Flat.And many of the early scientist realized this Newton,Galileo.
The Book of Isaiah was written between 701 and 681 B.C.
I am a retired software engineer and a humble trader. Using my own charting program, I do both long-term (years/months) and short-term (days/minutes) trades. I follow a couple of mottoes in trading:
- Trust nobody (especially those flip-flop analysts, or moon shooters).
- Stupidity has a price, which I have paid a lot.
- The trend is my friend, so is the non-trend range. When a trend (very few in years) comes, I buy high and higher (pyramiding up) until it reverses. Most (80%?) of the time, the market is in some sort of trading range, where I buy low and sell high.
- Human can only see what has happened, not what is going to happen. That is, any prediction or forecast is only a guess.
- To me, every trade is a 50/50 bet. First I prepare for the worst, then wish for the best. On profitable trades, it is because I am lucky, not because I am good or smart.
- Never argue with the market. For failed trades, I blame nobody but myself and go back to refine my system.
I come here to learn, and respect everybody's opinions, regardless how absurd they seem to be sometimes. I will never get involved with emotional arguments.
Good luck, and wish you all make money from this fascinating market.
Corporate Development / M&A executive in a technology firm. MBA from the Wharton School and an undergraduate Engineering degree from one of the most competitive colleges schools in the world. When trading, I specialize in special situations where the company's future is not in line with their current and past performance.
I like to write articles about companies of which I believe I can provide unique or contrarian perspectives on. I am especially fond of cruise line companies. I do not claim to be an expert, rather I write articles in order to share my ideas and learn from others' ideas. Finally, I hope that you enjoy my articles and find them helpful!
Richard Glenn worked as a trader on Wall St. before striking out on his own. He is currently a full time trader, trading options and equities for his own account. He lives in Washington, DC.