• Justin M. Hall
    10/13/12 12:45P ET: { Romney v. Obama } The Case for Romney Landslide Victory (A Must Read) => http://fxn.ws/SSlfRq
    10/13/12
    Reply (25)
    • Justin M. Hall: Read it and judge for yourself. I've already stated my case.
      10/13/12
    • Hypnos7: Interesting read. I don't get his two most important points controlling turnout
      10/13/12
    • Hypnos7: that Obama is anti-Christian, or that conservatives are passionate about Romney
      10/13/12
    • Hypnos7: I agree that there's revulsion for Obama, but most among people that would never have voted for him anyway
      10/13/12
    • Hypnos7: Moreover, I don't the "socialist" label on Obama. Obamacare is just the Republican health care reform plan from 1992
      10/13/12
    • Hypnos7: and the "soak the rich" tax plan would just return to Clinton-era tax rates
      10/13/12
    • Hypnos7: Of course, what matter is how swing voters perceive him, not the reality per se ...
      10/13/12
    • FortSumter: Love this line "The same economically ignorant fool in the White House bringing misery to Americans." Short BHO.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: Justin: The oddsmaker in the article is at odds with all of the other oddsmakers: http://bit.ly/SSrGns
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: Bildar, I encourage you to read "The Art of Contrary Thinking."
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: When it comes to investing, I typically don't run with the crowd. You should read the comments under my articles.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: The herd is clearly behind Romney at this point, a contrarian would be betting against him sometime this weekend.
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: But that's now what MOST polls have been saying. That's an interesting argument for you to make, starkly different ...
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: ... from what you were saying a few days ago. The herd is behind Romney now. Then why are you betting on Obama at intrade?
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: I don't get that. Why take a losing bet?
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: The above should read, "But that's NOT what most polls have been saying." My bad.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: Time to election is 3+ weeks. Obama is still ahead on intrade, the longer term trend is in his favor.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: Bear market bounces tend to be substantial, but quickly reverse when they become extremely overbought.
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: But do Presidential elections really trade the same as stocks? So if info / data at Intrade is wrong, you could lose your money?
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: Today Romney's contract got overbought enough to start to top out.
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: I'm really not trying to be a wise guy. I'm curious and trying to understand this intrade thing you've been working on.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: Intrade data correlates well with poll averages. I trust it.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: This is all just an extention of what I do with the markets. Voter dynamics are similar to investor dynamics.
      10/13/12
    • Bildar: The definition of 'bear' comes from the 'spread' between the two contracts.
      10/13/12
    • Justin M. Hall: Gotcha. Interesting stuff. Thanks for allowing me to ask you about it. I do appreciate it.
      10/13/12
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