I am a successful private investor who is passionate about investing in growing, high-quality, "wide moat" companies that trade below their intrinsic value. I am a CFA Charterholder and hold an MBA from an Ivy League Business School. The following are the three key pillars of my investment philosophy:
1) Great Businesses: Acquire high-quality predictable businesses with wide economic moats (i.e. sustainable competitive advantages or high barriers to entry), pricing power, strong market positions, high free cash flow generation and high returns on invested capital.
2) Excellent Management: That has significant experience in their industry, is incentivized properly with substantial ownership, and is focused on creating shareholder value by increasing free cash flow.
3) Margin of Safety: Acquire these businesses at a significant margin of safety to intrinsic value, ideally when they are out-of-favor. Attractive risk/reward relationship with strong upside potential of at least 50% and downside risk of no more than 15%. Think about valuation in terms of expected value (taking into account the probability of various upside/downside scenarios).
Named by Fortune as one of its "50 Great Investors". Acknowledged as Cash Flow From Operations (CFFO) expert by WSJ, Fortune, Forbes.com and Smartmoney.com after developing a CFFO algorithm that predicts bankruptcies for seemingly healthy large NYSE and NASDAQ traded companies. Markowski also has CFFO algorithms that identify severely undervalued companies.
In September 2007 Equities Magazine column predicted the 2008 collapses for all five of the U.S. major brokers including Lehman, Bear Stearns and Merrill Lynch. Wholesale sell recommendations for the five based on macro-analysis of brokerage industry's negative cash flow due to "sub-prime mortgage revenue".
Founded: TrophyInvesting.com (2016), Dynastywealth.com (2014), Onlinefinancialsector.com (2007), StockDiagnostics.com (2002).
Currently: Analyst for Dynasty Wealth (focused on finding and covering disruptor companies that have 100X to 1,000X potential within 5 years).
Passion is recommending shorts for hyped companies that have inherently flawed negative CFFO models and ten baggers for those which are extremely undervalued based on their CFFO. Does not trade the markets and is instead a buy and holder.
Began career with Merrill Lynch in 1977 and was employed in early years by Oppenheimer and Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette. Became CEO of a firm in 1990 that subsequently went out of business due to the firm’s having a net capital deficiency on January 15, 1991, the day before the first Gulf War broke out.
Markowski voluntarily left the broker industry in 1991. Most of his activities since have been in the financial information industry. The SEC and the NASD subsequently barred Markowski in 1995 from associating with a broker dealer. The bar related to activities that occurred in 1990, and before the war's breaking out which caused a severe lack of liquidity for the markets resulting in the firm's going out of business. Markowski appealed his bar to the U.S. Supreme Court which denied to hear his appeal. Markowski was not barred from being a registered investment advisor (RIA). However, Markowski chose not to pursuit a career as a RIA.
Liberty Street Research has experience in financial analysis and performs intensive due diligence, focusing primarily on North American equities. Please refer to the “Additional Disclosures” section of our published articles for more information.
Former broker, now an independent analyst/writer on Seeking Alpha and founder and editor of the Growth Stock Forum. Focusing on small-cap, mid-cap and biotech stocks. Looking for substantial sales and earnings growth potential and seeking the best risk-adjusted returns from my stock selection. Taking advantage of medium to long-term momentum.
My articles represent my personal opinion and analysis and should not be regarded as investment advice in any way. Readers and subscribers should do their own due diligence and/or consult their financial advisor before making decisions to buy or sell securities. Trading and investing include risks, including loss of principal.
Exclusive research: http://seekingalpha.com/author/oneil-trader/research
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
I hold a bachelors degree in Economics from Vassar College and am a Registered Investment Advisor in Connecticut where I work with retail clients at a small, long-only capital management firm. Currently I am a CFA Level 3 candidate and enjoy researching the US stock market for undervalued opportunities that I believe are undervalued and should outperform over the long-term.
Taylor Dart is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the Long Ideas and Precious Metals section of the website. He has over 7 years of experience in active investing with a compound annual growth rate the past 4 years of 21 percent. His main focus is on undervalued growth stocks outperforming the market and their peers. In addition he use extensive technical analysis to capture maximum upside price action, as his belief is that timing is everything. Taylor scans upwards of 1200 stocks nightly on the U.S. and Canadian markets to identify the best fundamental opportunities with the most timely technical setups. He is a huge proponent of trend following and the "Turtles" who enjoyed compound annual growth rates of over 80 percent per year.
"If there is a sudden range expansion in a market that has been trading narrowly, human nature is to try and fade that price move. When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.” - Paul Tudor Jones
"While a fundamental analyst may be able to properly evaluate the economics underlying a stock, I do not believe they can predict how the masses will process this same information. Ultimately, it is the dollar-weighted collective opinion of all market participants that determines whether a stock goes up or down. This consensus is revealed by analyzing price."
Mark Abraham , Quantitative Capital Management, L.P.
"Profit targets imply a trader can predict the future. Profit targets are profit-limiting. Trend followers stay in the moment of now, avoid prognostication, and let markets run as far as they go. "
Thomas Vician, Jr.
"We can’t always take advantage of a particular period. But in an uncertain world, perhaps the investment philosophy that makes the most sense, if you study the implications carefully, is trend following. Trend following consists of buying high and selling low. For 19 years we have consistently bought high and sold low. If trends were not the underlying nature of markets, our type of trading would have very quickly put us out of business. It wouldn’t take 19 years or even 19 months of buying high and selling low ALL of the time to bankrupt you. But trends are an integral, underlying reality in life. How can someone buy high and sell low and be successful for two decades unless the underlying nature of markets is to trend? On the other hand, I’ve seen year-after-year, brilliant men buying low and selling high for a while successfully and then going broke because they thought they understood why a certain investment instrument had to perform in accordance with their personal logic. "
John W. Henry
Our stock holdings are set forth below.
Own over 50 dividend paying stocks. Our holdings by sector. Animal Health/Dental: PDCO. Chemical/Agriculture: DOW, DD, FMC and MON. Consumer Defensive: KO, PG, MO, KMB, GIS, MDLZ, CLX, CL, KHC, HSY and SJM. Consumer Cyclical: SBUX, NKE and COH. Healthcare: ABT, ABBV, BMY,BAX, DGX, JNJ, MJN, LLY, PFE, MRK and HYH. Tech: ADP, ORCL, IBM, INTC, GLW, HPQ, HPE, NATI and TXN. Industrial: EMR, ITW, JCI, MMM, HON and GE. Telecom: T and VZ. Utility: AEP Miscellaneous: AVY, CDK, FAST, FBHS, SPGI and VSM.
Dr Jonathan Kinlay is the Head of Quantitative Trading at Systematic Strategies, LLC, a systematic hedge fund that deploys high frequency trading strategies using news-based algorithms.
Dr Kinlay, was the founder and General Partner of the Caissa Capital hedge fund, whose volatility arbitrage strategies were developed by Dr Kinlay’s investment research firm, Investment Analytics. Caissa, which managed $400M in assets, was ranked by FIMAT as the top performing fund in its class in 2004. Dr Kinlay went on to establish the Proteom Capital, whose statistical arbitrage strategies were based on pattern recognition techniques used in DNA sequencing. Dr Kinlay was formerly Global Head of Model Review at the US investment bank Bear Stearns.
Dr Kinlay holds a PhD in economics and has held positions on the faculty at New York University Stern School of Business, Carnegie Mellon and Reading Universities. Dr Kinlay is a regular conference speaker and writer on investment research, hedge fund investing and quantitative finance. Kinlay was a member of England’s chess team that won gold in the World Student Olympiad in Mexico in 1978. He is the son of Fleet Street editor James Kinlay and father of British actress Antonia Kinlay.
Further investment research and strategy ideas can be found in his blog at www.jonathankinlay.com .
Jeffrey Frankel is Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government. He directs the program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the National Bureau of Economic Research, where he is also a member of the Business Cycle Dating Committee, which officially declares recessions. Appointed to the Council of Economic Advisers by President Clinton in 1996 and subsequently confirmed by the Senate, he served until 1999. His responsibilities as Member included international economics, macroeconomics, and the environment. Before moving East, he had been professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley, having joined the faculty in 1979. Other past appointments include the Federal Reserve Board, Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund, and Yale. His research interests include international finance, currencies, monetary and fiscal policy, commodity prices, regional blocs, and global environmental issues. He graduated from Swarthmore College and received his PhD from MIT. Visit Jeffrey Frankel's Weblog (http://www.jeffrey-frankel.com/)
I am mostly a daytrader engaging in both long and short bets intraday and occasionally over the short to medium term. My focus is mostly on tech stocks and more recently the shipping and offshore drilling industry. I am located in Germany and have worked quite some time as an auditor for PricewaterhouseCoopers before becoming a professional trader more than 15 years ago. During this time I managed to successfully maneuver the burst of the dotcom bubble and the aftermath of the world trade center attacks as well as the subprime crisis. My return on invested capital has been mostly good and at times reaches up to several 100% annually so I will most likely be around for some more years.
Consultant in the economics of renewable energy retrofitting - moving energy from liabilities to assets. Passionate student of the business scene, particularly commodities, currently not an active investor. Author, translator, blogger. Trading experience is more commodities than stocks.
I have spent over thirty years in the financial services industry and I am the author of Dead Companies Walking: How a Hedge Fund Manager Finds Opportunity in Unexpected Places, an Amazon Best Book of the Month.
Robert L. FitzPatrick is an expert in examining and revealing deception and fraud in Ponzi schemes, pyramid schemes and bogus home-based businesses. He is an internationally recognized authority in multi-level marketing schemes and pyramid sales fraud. Robert FitzPatrick is not an investor in multi-level marketing companies. He has never owned and never plans to own stocks of multi-level marketing companies. He does not offer investment advice and he is not an attorney.
He is co-author of False Profits, the first book to critically examine the recent rise in pyramid and Ponzi schemes in home-based businesses. He was featured on NBC Dateline, ABC World News, and he was interviewed by correspondent Mike Wallace on CBS 60 Minutes. He has been interviewed live on NBC Today show, Canada's CBC National News, Christian Broadcasting Network, and on several BBC radio news programs aired in the UK. He has been quoted in many newspapers around the world, including the New York Times and Wall Street Journal.
In 2012, False Profits will be published in Mandarin by Nanjiing University Press. The booklet, Pyramid Nation by Robert FitzPatrick, has been translated to Chinese and used by government regulators in writing China's first laws on pyramid schemes. His essay, "The 10 Big Lies of Multi-Level Marketing", has been translated into four languages and posted on numerous websites. His White Paper, "The Main Street Bubble", which details the extensive influence-buying of the direct selling industry and in the failure of federal regulators to protect consumers from pyramid marketing fraud has been read by staff circulated among members of Congress.
In June 2005, Robert FitzPatrick was asked by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka to address banking representatives from that country as well as India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives and Nepal in Sri Lanka's capital, Colombo. The presentation was later published as part of a consumer education campaign against pyramid and Ponzi schemes.
Robert FitzPatrick was a featured speaker at the 2006 annual meeting in San Francisco of the Association of Certified Fraud Specialists. He has developed informational resources for consumers, journalists, academics and regulators including a multi-media PowerPoint presentation and a statistical analysis of the losses suffered by participants in pyramid selling schemes. He also published a widely read booklet on the landmark federal case brought against the Amway Corporation.
He is a expert network member of GLG Research, and Coleman Research Group, as well as other networks of experts who are referred to clients for consultation, speaking and report writing. In this capacity, he has provided expert consultation to financial many analysts who sought information about multi-level marketing companies and pyramid and Ponzi schemes.
Robert FitzPatrick co-founded and serves as president of Pyramid Scheme Alert, the first international organization to expose and prevent pyramid scheme fraud. He personally responds to hundreds of consumer and news media inquiries. He has served as consultant and expert witness for Attorney General or State Attorney offices in four states, the US Dept. of Justice, and in numerous cases involving distributor fraud and pyramid schemes.
I am an individual investor who has been actively involved in the healthcare and biotechnology space for over 15 years. I hold a PhD in the biomedical sciences and have worked in both large pharmaceutical and small biotech companies. I make investments based on the fundamentals of a company and if I believe they have a superior technology or products compared to the competition. I'm an investor who believes patience pays off.
Graycell Advisors publishes stock portfolios using quantitative-driven models and systematic investing. For 2016, Graycell Smallcap Portfolio was up +71% compared to benchmark Russell 2000 Index gain of +9%.
All Seeking Alpha articles under Graycell Advisors are written by Tarun Chandra, who has prior experience as an Equity Analyst on the Sellside and Buyside, as well as experience in Corporate Strategy and Finance. More Seeking Alpha articles can be viewed under the 2nd ID, Tarun Chandra, CFA, where we publish mostly on Biotech. In addition, we have a Graycell Blog and a Prudent Biotech Blog for more updated coverage.
We invite you to take a look at the Performance, Samples, and Philosophy, and decide for yourself if the Small Cap and Biotech products can contribute to your investment objectives. You can even view Samples, Register for a Free Pick from the Portfolio, and check the risk-free subscription with a 2-month money back guarantee.
Nothing here or on the site constitutes a personalized investment recommendation, and stocks mentioned in the reports/articles/comments may be now or in the past, part of the portfolios recommended by Graycell Advisors and related entities. Graycell Advisors and related entities are not a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA).
Any questions, please write to Support @ GraycellAdvisors.com
Formerly Chief Market Strategist at Capital Ladders Advisory Group LLC. After the sale of certain of CLAG's retail and institutional assets in October 2015, I have commenced my latest venture in the CPG industry which is centered on the development and licensing of consumer and commercial technology. https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=AAIAAA3lJ9IBNi1rhhFzRWElkJl4MpyNuIiHglQ&trk=nav_responsive_tab_profile
CooLinX Integrated Technologies develops technologies for the beverage and CPG industry. We are presently effecting licensing agreements with multi-national brands and co-developing products aimed for mass market consumption.
INDEPENDENT Financial Advisor / Professional Investor- with over 30 years of navigating the Stock market's "fear and greed" cycles that challenge the average investor. Investment strategies that combine Theory, Practice and Experience to produce Portfolios focused on achieving positive returns over a period of time. Providing advice in helping to avoid the pitfalls and traps that wreak havoc on your portfolio with a focus on Income and Capital Preservation.
I manage the capital of only a handful of families and I see it as my number one job to protect their financial security. They don’t pay me to sell them investment products, beat an index, abandon true investing for mindless diversification or follow the Wall Street lemmings down the primrose path. I manage their money exactly as I manage my own so I don’t take any risk at all unless I strongly believe it is worth taking.
Blogging here on SA is part of my research. I write to find out what I think.
I invite you to join the family of satisfied clients send an e-mail :email@example.com
I have a degree in Math and Science from the University of Toronto, as well as a degree in education, also from U of T.
I have traded private equity for 38 years and have developed a proprietary Price Modelling System which has provided me with consistent profitable trading success.
In partnership with my computer scientist son, Aidan Gomez, we have automated this model using neural networks, and offer a Trade Alert service that lets subscribers replicate the trades we are involved in.
Darren owns ProActive Financial LLC where he provides Financial Planning and Analysis consulting services. Darren's education includes a Bachelors in Economics, an MBA, and a Certificate in Personal Financial Planning.
My name is Phil Mause. I am a Senior Advisor with the Pacific Economics Group, focusing on energy, regulatory and valuation issues. I retired from 40 years of law practice earlier this year. I am a yield oriented investor and in the last two years, I have done reasonably well in junk bonds, BDCs, mortgage REITS, and dividend paying blue chip stocks. As an avocation, I dabble in stand up comedy.
The Superinvestor Bulletin builds a portfolio exclusively from the highest conviction investments made by the world’s greatest investors. These are the best ideas from the best investors. Since the world’s greatest investors tend to return 15 to 20 percent per year on average, replicating their best ideas should provide even better returns (since we don't pay their egregious performance fees).
You can take a free trial of our service today and see that our portfolio is performing exactly as expected.
B.A. in economics and MBA from top 10 business school. I have over 10 years of M&A / corporate finance experience. Currently head the New York Shock Exchange (www.newyorkshockexchange.com), a youth mentorship program that teaches investment management skills and competitive basketball skills.
Maredin Capital Advisors (Maredin) is a boutique, independent, Registered Investment Advisor, based in Miami, Florida. It was founded in 2005 by Marcelo Zinn and is based on the Value Investing philosophy founded by Benjamin Graham and popularized by his most famous student Warren Buffett.
At Maredin we pride ourselves on delivering financial services/products which help people and firms attain their financial goals. This is done through consultation with our clients, independent research and analysis, and a clear focus on long-term results.
Maredin manages three funds and Separately Managed Accounts ("SMA"). Each fund is intended for a specific audience yet share the same manager and philosophy.
Lawrence is the Managing Director of Fuller Asset Management. He has 20+ years of experience managing investment portfolios and serving the needs of individual clients. He began his career as a Financial Consultant in 1993 with Merrill Lynch. He worked for First Union Brokerage, Morgan Stanley and ING in the same capacity before realizing his long-term goal of complete independence. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with a B.A. in Political Science in 1992.
I have nearly two decades experience in M&A, distressed debt, special situations and corporate lending both in the USA and in Western Europe, working for hedge funds, investment banks and commercial banks.
In 2008 I became interested in technical analysis primarily Elliotwave and trading foreign currencies.
I manage my own funds and that of a handful of other individuals with AUM totaling $2.5m.
I write articles on securities where I either hold a long or short position. Generally, if I do not have or want to have a position in a security then I will not write an article on such security. I am an investor first and a writer second. I try publish my articles simultaneously when opening or closing a position.
My name is Kimmy and I'm from Vietnam. Currently I work for a VC firm in Singapore.
I'm keen on new business opportunities both on the public and private markets and I would love to learn more from this community of investors.