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Keith McCullough  

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  • Oil Inventories: Time for a Price Pop [View article]
    Great point Gregor. People are overly focused on short term inventory builds, and losing sight of the fact that production issues are getting worse.
    May 1, 2009. 08:23 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Do Your Prejudices Affect Your Investing Style? [View article]
    Quantitative analysis, which is what we practice, is different than technicals and can be as fundamental as cash flows when it comes to predicting price moves.

    On May 14 09:17 AM Prudent Man CFA wrote:

    > It broke his support easily. Unfortunately, no mention of what now.
    > The money is invested and lost.
    > Technicals are good at telling us what people think, which is not
    > always correct, especially when the fundamentals don't agree.
    > I don't take positions based upon "The Greater Fool Theory".
    May 14, 2009. 09:32 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Mother Russia's Allure [View article]
    Leo, Investing is all about determing what is important. While the above isn't a graduate thesis on Russia, obviously, it does outline the key components of what will drive the Russian equity market.

    On May 12 08:27 PM Leo Zimmer wrote:

    > Your narrowly chosen thesis makes little sense in light of the very
    > broad topic the name of the article suggests. Reducing Russia to
    > the issues of corporate defaults and price range of the chosen ETF
    > is just a poorly done excersise, which leads to confusion. This subject
    > deserves better research and deeper coverage.
    > Long: NILSY, MTL, Rosneft, Sberbank and RSX via Nov'09 calls.
    May 13, 2009. 07:11 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Mother Russia's Allure [View article]
    We are have been long Russia and are bullish on Russia, but are price dependent. Oil is a huge positive, as you note.
    May 5, 2009. 10:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Mother Russia's Allure [View article]
    We pulled the information from a Bloomberg article, which was corroborated by independent data points. What is the basis for your numbers?

    On May 05 11:55 AM Gtarras wrote:

    > Keith
    > where do you get the following numbers from?
    > $780 Billion of corporate debt, $135B-$220B of which is short term
    > debt due this year
    > Russia's international currency and gold reserves, the world's third
    > largest, increased to $900 Billion
    > ????
    > I follow Russia closely, and this is the first time I have seen these
    > estimates. They are greatly inflated compared with what I am seeing.
    > Maybe I am missing something? Thanks.
    May 5, 2009. 12:26 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Research Edge's Sector View: Nearly a Perfect Peak [View article]
    Given your mathematical background, I'm assuming there is some math behind your view. If so, on what basis are stocks not overbought. Also, on what basis were they overbought in the 80s and 90s. That was a failry lengthy period with many opportunities to trade over bought and under bought positions in the market on various durations.

    On May 06 09:37 AM Cetin Hakimoglu wrote:

    > I'm not worried whatsoever about stocks being overbought, which us
    > why I have no plans to sell my stocks. Stocks were overbought in
    > the 80's and 90's. Only until 2000 did they finally correct. Another
    > great day.
    > ----------------------...
    > At this point the MEGA squeeze has found its crescendo! The S&P
    > 500 is overbought; but remains positive TRADE and TREND (815). The
    > dollar index was down yesterday, finishing down 0.70%. This helped
    > to reflate commodity and commodity related stocks. The Banks were
    > a bright spot on the day, with more of a focus on profitability,
    > including Warren Buffett's comments on Wells Fargo (
    May 6, 2009. 12:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment