Independent investor with extensive financial experience. Numerous years of trading securities, personal portfolio manager. Main interests are in tech and banking. Personal focus is on tech growth opportunities and deep value plays in the banking sector. Happy to respond to article comments, but often unable to do so because of hectic work schedule.
Graduated university, spent a few years climbing the American corporate ladder, spent a few more years doing the same in the UK. Grew increasingly aware of the prospects in Asia, ditched my consulting job and made the move to Hong Kong. Have since finished an MBA, started a successful business and am more or less semi-retired, enjoying the fruits of my labour and investment into this part of the world. Life is pretty good if you read the signs and follow the correct trail.
My career has centered primarily on economics, finance and education. In addition to experience in commercial banking, the securities industry and teaching I pursued advanced research in economics.
I also began to take a long-term interest in the analysis of the dividend-paying capacity of firms. Hence the idea for "dividend support reports" which are intended to examine support for dividends from a longer term historical perspective in a concise format. At present my geographic interest is Asia.
The question arises what kind of analysis is necessary for companies that pay no dividend. For companies that pay no dividends, it may be still be useful to examine whether dividend payments could be supported in the future.
I also have a lifelong interest in languages, art and learning in general, and have been a long-term resident in Asia, having resided in Japan and Chinese Taipei (Taiwan). My book "Japan's Internationalization and Other Essays" gives a perspective of Japan from the experiences of a foreign resident as well as observations on political economy.
I am curious about a variety of industries, economies, economic policy and theory and may consider commenting on these topics from time to time.
The reports are for informational purposes only and are not to be viewed as investment advice or recommendations.
The analytical methodology is not necessarily a constant and may be periodically modified. In addition, while averages may be noted, they may be less meaningful if there are large swings over the period examined. While measures of dispersion such as the standard deviation can be used to capture such movement, I am hesitant to automatically assume that the underlying probability distribution is normal. This concern originates from my experience in finance and economics that insufficient understanding of the underlying probabilistic nature of the data and models can produce significant forecasting errors. A case-in-point might be default probability models that may have erroneously predicted the extent of loan losses in bank portfolios.