Kenneth D. Worth

conventional production will be mitigated by the availability of biofuels, unconventional production (e.g. Canadian tar sands) and other very difficult to extract and otherwise very expensive resources. Nonetheless, global liquid fuel production will decline significantly over time. Investors would be well-advised to position themselves accordingly. The Model Portfolio presented in the book (published June 30, 2009), investing in equities and certain commodities including precious metals, was up 35.61% between July 1, 2010, and April 8, 2011 (not including dividend income of approximately 1.7%.) During the same period, a diversified proftolio holding 60% Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTSMX) and 40% Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund (VBMFX) was up only 17.73% (not including dividend and interest income of approximately 2.3%.) The S&P 500 Stock Index was up 28.72% during the same time period. The dividend yield of the S&P 500 is currently 1.7%.