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Kerry Balenthiran
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Follow Kerry Balenthiran ( @17_6YrStockCyc ) on Twitter. Kerry Balenthiran studied mathematics at the University of Warwick and then worked as a Spacecraft Operations Engineer in the UK and at the European Space Agency. He qualified as a chartered accountant with Arthur Andersen and now works as... More
My blog:
The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle
My book:
The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle
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  • Halloween Indicator Strategy Smashes Dow Jones Buy And Hold Return

    Investors are often told that market timing is a fools game; time in the market beats timing the market. New research on the well known Halloween Indicators shows that not only is market timing possible, but that it has lead to an impressive outperformance versus a Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) (DIA) buy and hold strategy.

    (click to enlarge)

    The graph above, taken from the original research, shows that a long/cash strategy returns 19 times the DJIA return since 1897, whereas a long/short strategy returns 121 times the DJIA return over the same period. This also beats other well known Halloween based strategies as well.

    Now that we are in October and stock markets are looking increasingly uncertain, it is worth noting that 31 October 2013 is the next buy date for this strategy.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

    Oct 02 12:19 PM | Link | 1 Comment
  • Follow Me On Twitter - @17_6YrStockCyc

    Just so my followers on Seeking Alpha know, you can follow me on Twitter. I retweet cyclical tweets about stock markets and gold and try to respond to all tweets as soon as I can.

    PS - keep an eye out for my latest cycles article on Seeking Alpha, this time on gold.

    PPS - If anyone would like to write an amazon.com review of my book I would be very grateful. Reviews really help new readers when they are deciding to by a book.

    Thanks,

    Kerry

    Jul 09 4:04 PM | Link | Comment!
  • PDF Sample Of The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle

    Click on the book cover to see a PDF sample of The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle: Connecting the Panics of 1929, 1987, 2000 and 2007.

    (click to enlarge)

    Mar 26 8:47 AM | Link | Comment!
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