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Kevin Wilde

 
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  • More Signs A Market Bottom Is Forming [View article]
    << The issue is leverage, debt, margin etc. We are at historic high levels of margin debt at the moment. So when margin calls happen, or people get skittish and reduce leverage - the amount of "money" is in fact shrinking>> I for one totally agree with this, and history is never kind to this kind of set-up, where first time a corrective dip fails we get big time margin calls that obliterate the overleveraged players who bring the house down. That is what ends bull markets, and when margin leverls get this scary high it always leads to a financial crises. But until that happens buy the dips works, and that is what the indicators are saying now: time to buy. But unfortunately risk of something bad happening only accelerates each time buy the dip bulls are successful, and the higher we go the greater the degree of the financial crises coming out the other end.
    Aug 10 04:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • More Signs A Market Bottom Is Forming [View article]
    My indicators also say it is time to buy the dip. Chart and discussion: http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Aug 7 08:52 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Risks Of Being Out Of The Game [View article]
    All seems like 1999 to me, though as I lay out in this article 1987 may be all we get and right here http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Jul 16 12:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Nifty Fifty Market [View article]
    Talk and Nifty Fifty fits the new sell from my investor sentiment indicator, which I lay out in this article http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Jun 5 11:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trends Confirm Tom DeMark's Crash Call [View instapost]
    I go long - leveraged long - when stock market trends turn positive, though the bear potential is much greater at this juncture than the bull, due to five year of bull, and bears follow bull just as bull follows bear. Very few people learn that, especially the perma bulls, which outnumber the bears by 100 to 1.
    May 16 09:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks And The Yen, Married At The Hip [View article]
    That's my take too, and I have XJY in confirmed uptrend while US stock market is in confirmed downtrend. Indeed, as I lay out in this article, bears have reached the lip-smacking phase http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Apr 16 01:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Divorce The Doom: Time For A New Philosophy [View article]
    Moon, a tad harsh IMHO, since the trend remains up. When that puppy turns, then we can kick the shins of the complacency crowd. Till then, the trend is your friend (though I agree with your broader premise that we are overdue a very bad accident....)
    Apr 3 06:30 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Divorce The Doom: Time For A New Philosophy [View article]
    Well following the trend is the way to go for both the boom and the gloom phase, though the bull/bear cycle indicator just turned negative for the first time since mid-2011. That said to sell early 2008, buy March 2009, sell mid-2011, buy end of 2011, and now sell. So next gloom phase maybe forming here as market is losing critical momentum. Clink on link to view chart http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Apr 3 08:08 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P500 Up To 1900? Elliott Wave Analysis [View instapost]
    Very possible - and I'm long QQQ - though the VIX approaching a sell set-up across the lower Bollinger Band, and the bull/bear cycle indicator just turned negative suggesting the stock market is losing critical momentum as I lay out in this post http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Apr 3 08:04 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Calm Before The Storm? [View article]
    Calm ahead of the storm indeed! Bull/Bear Cycle indicator made the bear turn Monday. http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Apr 2 12:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • With The Fed Stepping Back, Your Portfolio Needs You To Step Up And Lead [View article]
    Awesome article. In regards to the FED and their taper, I fear a Marty Zweig "three moves and a stumble" rule peak and reversal, where the stock market laughs and goes on higher on the first two moves, only to fall victim to a peak and reversal on the third, which of course we got this month. The VIX is also acting weird here, suggesting the S&P500 is likely to slip below that the breakout level shown in your final chart, which I discuss here. http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Mar 27 11:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On the hour [View news story]
    The VIX is signaling another plunge for stocks later this week. http://bit.ly/WpVqYk
    Mar 18 10:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Moment Of Truth For The 1929 Crash Pattern [View instapost]
    I agree the potential is certainly there for the next bear to morph into something quite terrible, though we are getting way too head of ourselves till we see signs of the big win that confirms the bull/bear cycle has turned from the former to the latter.
    Feb 28 08:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Market Short Term Sell [View instapost]
    Well is a sell signal - from my indicators - which has me taking a cautiously stance on the long side here.
    Feb 27 04:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Market Short Term Sell [View instapost]
    I'm in the camp that gold has more work to do on the downside before we get a very large rally. Maybe a double bottom. Maybe a smash and grab below the lows that soon reverses. 1150-1600 is my best TA guess.
    Feb 27 04:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
82 Comments
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