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Kevin Wilde

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  • Stocks And The Yen, Married At The Hip [View article]
    That's my take too, and I have XJY in confirmed uptrend while US stock market is in confirmed downtrend. Indeed, as I lay out in this article, bears have reached the lip-smacking phase
    Apr 16 01:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Divorce The Doom: Time For A New Philosophy [View article]
    Moon, a tad harsh IMHO, since the trend remains up. When that puppy turns, then we can kick the shins of the complacency crowd. Till then, the trend is your friend (though I agree with your broader premise that we are overdue a very bad accident....)
    Apr 3 06:30 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Divorce The Doom: Time For A New Philosophy [View article]
    Well following the trend is the way to go for both the boom and the gloom phase, though the bull/bear cycle indicator just turned negative for the first time since mid-2011. That said to sell early 2008, buy March 2009, sell mid-2011, buy end of 2011, and now sell. So next gloom phase maybe forming here as market is losing critical momentum. Clink on link to view chart
    Apr 3 08:08 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P500 Up To 1900? Elliott Wave Analysis [View instapost]
    Very possible - and I'm long QQQ - though the VIX approaching a sell set-up across the lower Bollinger Band, and the bull/bear cycle indicator just turned negative suggesting the stock market is losing critical momentum as I lay out in this post
    Apr 3 08:04 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Calm Before The Storm? [View article]
    Calm ahead of the storm indeed! Bull/Bear Cycle indicator made the bear turn Monday.
    Apr 2 12:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • With The Fed Stepping Back, Your Portfolio Needs You To Step Up And Lead [View article]
    Awesome article. In regards to the FED and their taper, I fear a Marty Zweig "three moves and a stumble" rule peak and reversal, where the stock market laughs and goes on higher on the first two moves, only to fall victim to a peak and reversal on the third, which of course we got this month. The VIX is also acting weird here, suggesting the S&P500 is likely to slip below that the breakout level shown in your final chart, which I discuss here.
    Mar 27 11:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On the hour [View news story]
    The VIX is signaling another plunge for stocks later this week.
    Mar 18 10:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Moment Of Truth For The 1929 Crash Pattern [View instapost]
    I agree the potential is certainly there for the next bear to morph into something quite terrible, though we are getting way too head of ourselves till we see signs of the big win that confirms the bull/bear cycle has turned from the former to the latter.
    Feb 28 08:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Market Short Term Sell [View instapost]
    Well is a sell signal - from my indicators - which has me taking a cautiously stance on the long side here.
    Feb 27 04:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Market Short Term Sell [View instapost]
    I'm in the camp that gold has more work to do on the downside before we get a very large rally. Maybe a double bottom. Maybe a smash and grab below the lows that soon reverses. 1150-1600 is my best TA guess.
    Feb 27 04:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Demographics Are Destiny: World Population Trends [View article]
    I'm a believer in the demographic cliff problem we face, and technical signs continue to grow here, adding worry that we may be crossing that cliff much sooner than most people think possible. Chart and discussion
    Feb 25 11:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • TA Moment Of Truth [View instapost]
    The stock market is extremely overbought in the intermediate, short, and long term, with record margin debt and coming off the highest active money manager bullish sentiment reading ever recorded. History shows that that is the recipe seen at important market peaks when trees that try to grow to the sky fall over of their own weight.
    Feb 25 11:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Daily State Of The Markets: Next Move: Blow-Off Or Blow Up? [View article]
    Click on link to view charts showing dates and target for Tom DeMark's 1929 crash repeat
    Feb 21 09:02 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Divergent DANGER, DANGER, Will Robinson [View instapost]
    Seems like daily is struggling though weekly not not confirming that change. I need to look a little into that, so thanks!
    Feb 19 06:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Least Understood Dynamic In Today's Economy And What It Means For Investment Assets [View article]
    The only element in high risk blow off phases like we are in for this part of the bull/bear cycle is what happens when the bulls fail to hold support on one of the corrective attempts? History says when the bears score a big win, bubble bursts to lead us into major bear misery that includes a recession and financial crises. Cracks are showing up in the current rally, as I lay out this chart and discussion
    Feb 19 09:52 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment