Mr. Hoover, First, let me say I had the chance to stay in one of your fine establishments; I believe it was called Hooverville. Anyway, you indeed have a fair point. As indicated by my disclosure, I do not have any positions, long or short, at this time. Although I'm cautiously bullish, I have not bought into this this being the beginning of the next bull market. I have my fingers burnt to many times in the past to jump in just yet. Possibly a decent counter trend rally is under way- but time will tell and I will adjust accordingly. If you are a value investor (which I am not), the prospects may be more frightening. But when I do enter the market, I will most certainly exercise risk management to the nth degree, and I encourage others to do likewise.
Nice article. Brick by brick...breaching the resistance that used to be support would be a step in the right direction. There is plenty of time to jump once we get further confirmation- 94% of stocks are trading below their 200 dma. It will take time for stocks to be tradeable on the long side.
I m not about to nibble on anything yet, but if the markets cannot bust through the aforementioned resistance levels, it looks like we will see more downside. I'm also curious to see the markets finally get back to the fifty dma - that will be a true test.
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Good analysis. It will be interesting to see which way we break out of this trading range. The interesting thing about this bear market is that we have reached approximately same levels as the other brutal bear markets but in far shorter time- I have no idea whether this means we will recover faster. Like most technical analysts, I will react accordingly when we get a good confirmation.
Considering the season and the fact we have not seen a decent rally, even a bear market rally, in some time, I would suspect that the indexes would at least rise and test their respective 50 day moving averages for a tradeable rally.
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First, let me say I had the chance to stay in one of your fine establishments; I believe it was called Hooverville. Anyway, you indeed have a fair point. As indicated by my disclosure, I do not have any positions, long or short, at this time. Although I'm cautiously bullish, I have not bought into this this being the beginning of the next bull market. I have my fingers burnt to many times in the past to jump in just yet. Possibly a decent counter trend rally is under way- but time will tell and I will adjust accordingly. If you are a value investor (which I am not), the prospects may be more frightening. But when I do enter the market, I will most certainly exercise risk management to the nth degree, and I encourage others to do likewise.
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Considering the season and the fact we have not seen a decent rally, even a bear market rally, in some time, I would suspect that the indexes would at least rise and test their respective 50 day moving averages for a tradeable rally.
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