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Kirk Lindstrom has an engineering degree from the University of California, Berkeley. Following 20 years of research and development as a scientist and engineer at Hewlett Packard, Kirk turned his attention to investments where he edits "Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter," that... More
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Kirk's Market Thoughts
  • GGR: GeoGlobal Resources Technical Analysis Update
    This article was originally posted at Kirk's Market Thoughts as GGR: GeoGlobal Resources Inc. - Technical Analysis: Golden Cross & Rounding Bottom Patterns


    GeoGlobal Resources Inc. (GGR Charts) is about to make a "Golden Cross" chart pattern. This is where its 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average.


    Click chart courtesy of stockcharts.com for full size image

    I show the 50 and 200 DMA now at $1.06. With GGR trading now at $1.18, the 50 DMA should be higher tomorrow (or very soon) for an official crossing.

    A Golden Crossing should show up on all sorts of trader charts so I expect money could surge into the stock. Grab your stocks and pull up your socks.....

    As you can see from this longer term chart, GeoGlobal is also making a beautiful rounding bottom pattern. Also bullish is GGR appears to have successfully tested its 50 DMA which has switched from resistance to support.

    Click chart courtesy of stockcharts.com for full size image

    I added shares of GGR to my personal and newsletter portfolios under a buck in August (80¢ in my newsletter and ROTH portfolios) so I'm ready to go higher. I am pleased those August lows held (so far) in this recent correction.

    More information
    GeoGlobal Trading Success: This is a good money maker stock if you have the patience to buy when cheap and sell when very high. In my newsletter portfolio I have generated $18,276 cash, all pure profit from GGR plus I have 7,900 shares on "house money." GGR could drop to zero overnight and I'd still have profits of $18,276! I first started writing about and trading GeoGlobal about 10 years ago when it was Suite101.com/BOWG.

    Disclaimer: I am locked and loaded with shares added to personal and newsletter portfolios at 80¢. I have long-term shares purchased as low as 12¢ in my personal portfolio. I have plans in place to sell shares at preset, but significantly higher prices listed in my newsletter. If my outlook changes, I may sell sooner and announce it to my subscribers.

    Nov 05 08:35 pm | Link | Comment!
  • Series-I Bonds will Pay 3.36% For Next Six Months
    This article was originally posted at Kirk's Market Thoughts as I-Bond Rates: November 2, 2009 through April 30, 2010.

    The Bureau of the Public Debt today announced an earnings rate of 3.36% for Series I Savings Bonds issued from October 2, 2009 through April 30, 2010.  Press Release

    The 3.36% earnings rate for I bonds bought from November 2, 2009 through April 30, 2010 will apply for their first six months after issue. The earnings rate combines a 0.30% fixed rate of return with the 3.06% annualized rate of inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CPI-U). When the inflation rate is less than zero, a bond's earnings rate is less than its fixed rate (but the earnings rate is never less than zero).
    The fixed rate applies for the 30-year life of I bonds purchased during this six-month period.
    Earnings rates for I bonds are set each May 1 and November 1. Interest accrues monthly and compounds semiannually. Bonds held less than five years are subject to a three-month interest penalty. I Bonds have an interest-bearing life of 30 years.

    I Bond Earnings Rate 3.36%, Fixed Rate 0.30%

    Minimum purchase:
    • $50 for a $50 I Bond when purchasing paper bond certificates
    • $25 for a $25 I bond when purchased electronically via TreasuryDirect
    Maximum purchase(per calendar year):
    • $5,000 in TreasuryDirect and $5,000 in paper bonds
    • $10,000 total per social security number
    Denominations:
    • Paper bonds: $50, $75, $100, $200, $500, $1,000, and $5,000
    • Electronic bonds via TreasuryDirect: purchase to the penny for $25 or more
    For more information, see:

    For older ibonds and what they will pay, see:

    Disclaimer: I own Series I Bonds in my personal account. Due to the small amount of i-bonds you can buy now, I own far more TIPS and TIPS funds in my personal and newsletter (More Info) portfolios.
    Nov 02 01:12 pm | Link | Comment!
  • CIT Group Bankruptcy Agreement Will Cancel Common & Preferred Stock
    This article was originally posted at Kirk's Market Thoughts as CIT Group Bankruptcy Agreement; Common & Preferred Stock Canceled.

    Yesterday CIT Group filed for bankruptcy protection with nearly 90% of their debt holders voting in favor of the agreement. The key provisions of the agreement are:
    • Emergence Sought by Year-End
    • Operating Entities Remain Unaffected and Highly Liquid
    • Continue Lending to Small and Middle Market Businesses
    • "Under the proposed prepackaged plan of reorganization, all existing common and preferred stock will be cancelled upon emergence"
    Bondholders will get about $0.70 on the dollar plus new common stock while current shareholder will probably get nothing.


    Click image for full size graph courtesy of stockcharts.com

    Bloomberg reported "the U.S. Treasury Department said it won’t recoup much, if any, of the $2.33 billion of taxpayer money that went into CIT, the largest firm to go bankrupt after getting a federal bailout." (Bloomberg Story)

    CIT had been trading with hopes shareholders would not be wiped out. I want to make sure all my readers view the CIT Bankruptcy Press Release so you understand that the currently trading shares are worthless:
    "Under the proposed prepackaged plan of reorganization, all existing common and preferred stock will be cancelled upon emergence"

    Click image for full size graph courtesy of stockcharts.com

    This bankruptcy is not a surprise but taxpayers will probably lose the $2.33B we invested in the company.

    CIT hopes to emerge from bankruptcy in 60 days.

    Disclosure: I have no position in CIT in either my personal account or my newsletter portfolios.


    Tags: CIT
    Nov 02 09:35 am | Link | Comment!
  • October CD Rates at Top Banks Operating in the US
    This article was originally posted at Kirk's Market Thoughts as Best CD Rates - Survey of Largest US Banks.

    This table, updated today, shows the best CD rates for the five largest banks operating in the United States. These banks are Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, Citibank, Wells Fargo Bank, and HSBC Bank North America.

    CD rates (APY) at the largest US banks (Current Data) for a $10,000 deposit.
    Bank
    CD Rates - APY in %
    as of 10/02/09 for $10,000

    6- Mo
    1-Yr
    18-Mo
    2-Yrs
    3-Yrs
    5-Yrs
    Bank of America (BAC)
    0.50
    1.45
    1.00
    2.01
    2.30
    3.01
    JP Morgan Chase (JPM)
    0.75
    1.25
    1.50
    2.00
    2.25
    3.00
    Citibank (C)
    0.75
    1.49
    1.73
    1.98
    2.23
    3.44
    Wells Fargo Bank (WFC)
    0.35
    0.50
    0.90
    16-mo
    1.40
    21-mo
    1.90
    27-mo
    NA
    HSBC Bank North America -
    Branch & Telephone Rates
    0.25
    0.55
    0.55
    15-mo
    0.75
    0.75
    1.01
    HSBC Online Rates
    1.10
    1.85
    1.85
    15-mo
    1.60


    US Treasury Rates
    0.13
    0.34
    NA
    0.86
    1.35
    2.20

    To see the table in full size with the current rates, click the
    Notes:
    • Bank of America or BofA (BAC stock quotes and charts) was "Nations Bank" before it bought Bank of America and took the name. BofA also bought Merrill Lynch officially as of January 1, 2009.
    • JP Morgan Chase (JPM stock quote and charts) bought Washington Mutual, fondly known as "WaMu"
    • Citibank (C stock quote and charts) is also known as Citigroup & Citicorp
    • Wells Fargo Bank (WFC stock quotes and charts) bought Wachovia Bank- that bought World Savings Bank)
    • HSBC Bank North America is the American subsidiary of UK-based HSBC Holdings plc. The Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, also a subsidiary of HSBC Holdings, acquired a 51% shareholding in Marine Midland Bank of New York in 1980 and extended to full ownership in 1987. The banks continued to operate under the Marine Midland name until 1998, when the branch offices were rebranded as HSBC Bank USA.
    One way to get four of the top five banks in a single investment is with the exchange traded fund XLF (XLF charts).
    XLF Top Holdings % as of 8/31/09
    J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. = 12.28
    Bank of America Corporation = 11.01
    Wells Fargo Company = 9.28
    Goldman Sachs Group Inc. = 6.03
    Citigroup Inc. = 4.11
    % Assets in Top 5 Holdings = 42.70
    Disclaimer: I own C (charts) and XLF (charts) in my personal account. I also cover C and XLF in my investment letter where I trade them around a core position currently in the money for both. I could sell all shares at any time to lock in my profits if my opinion sours on the sector as a whole.


    Tags: BAC, C, HBC, JPM, WFC, XLF, Banking Sector
    Oct 02 05:05 pm | Link | 1 Comment
  • Low CD Rates at Top Banks Make It Easy For Them To Make Money
    This article was originally posted at Kirk's Market Thoughts as Best CD Rates at the Largest Banks in the US.

    This table shows the best CD rates for the five largest banks operating in the United States. These banks are Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, Citibank, Wells Fargo Bank, and HSBC Bank North America.
    CD rates (APY) at the largest US banks (Current Data) for a $10,000 deposit.

    Bank
    CD Rates - APY in %
    as of 9/24/09 for $10,000

    6- Mo
    1-Yr
    18-Mo
    2-Yrs
    3-Yrs
    5-Yrs
    Bank of America (BAC)
    0.50
    0.95
    1.00
    2.10
    2.30
    3.01
    JP Morgan Chase (JPM)
    Bought WaMu -
    Washington Mutual
    0.75
    1.25
    1.50
    2.15
    2.25
    3.00
    Citibank (C)
    aka
    Citigroup & Citicorp
    0.75
    1.49
    1.73
    1.98
    2.23
    3.44
    Wells Fargo Bank (WFC)
    Bought
    Wachovia - World Savings
    0.30
    0.60
    0.90
    15-mo
    1.40
    20-mo
    1.90
    27-mo
    NA
    HSBC Bank North America -
    Branch & Telephone Rates
    0.25
    0.55
    0.55
    15-mo
    0.75
    0.75
    1.01
    HSBC Online Rates
    1.10
    1.85
    1.85
    15-mo
    1.60


    US Treasury Rate
    0.19
    0.38
    NA
    0.93
    1.44
    2.36

    To see the table in full size with the current rates, click the
    Bankrate.com says the average thirty year fixed rate mortgage is 5.25%:
     
    Product Rate Last week
    30 yr fixed   5.25% 5.20%
    15 yr fixed   4.67% 4.66%
    5/1 ARM   4.29% 4.30%

    Any idiot off the street should be able to make money running a bank that pays rates this low then lends money out for mortgages at over 5%.

    One way to get four of the top five banks in a single investment is with the exchange traded fund XLF (XLF charts).
    XLF Top Holdings % as of 8/31/09
    J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. = 12.28
    Bank of America Corporation = 11.01
    Wells Fargo Company = 9.28
    Goldman Sachs Group Inc. = 6.03
    Citigroup Inc. = 4.11
    % Assets in Top 5 Holdings = 42.70
    Notes:
    • Bank of America or BofA (BAC stock quotes and charts) was "Nations Bank" before it bought Bank of America and took the name. BofA also bought Merrill Lynch officially as of January 1, 2009.
    • JP Morgan Chase (JPM stock quote and charts) bought Washington Mutual, fondly known as "WaMu"
    • Citibank (C stock quote and charts) is also known as Citigroup & Citicorp
    • Wells Fargo Bank (WFC stock quotes and charts) bought Wachovia Bank- that bought World Savings Bank)
    • HSBC Bank North America is the American subsidiary of UK-based HSBC Holdings plc. The Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, also a subsidiary of HSBC Holdings, acquired a 51% shareholding in Marine Midland Bank of New York in 1980 and extended to full ownership in 1987. The banks continued to operate under the Marine Midland name until 1998, when the branch offices were rebranded as HSBC Bank USA.
    Disclaimer: I own C (charts) and XLF (charts) in my personal account. I also cover  C and XLF in my investment letter where I trade them around a core position currently in the money for both. I could sell all shares at any time to lock in my profits if my opinion sours on the sector as a whole.

    Tags: BAC, C, JPM, WFC, XLF, HSBC
    Sep 24 05:29 pm | Link | Comment!
  • DOW to Gold Ratio in Middle of Band
    This article was originally posted at Kirk's Market Thoughts as DOW Gold Ratio at 9.66.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average measured in how many ounces of gold it takes to buy the 30 stock DOW is up 37% from its 17-year March 6th low of 7.03. (Gold quote and charts) Despite that impressive gain, the DOW-Gold ratio remains 78% below its 1999 peak of 44.77.

    Here is a chart showing the current Dow to Gold Ratio, the ratio of the price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the price of gold. When measured in ounces of Gold, the DOW has been in a secular bear market since peaking in late 1999.


    Click chart courtesy of stockcharts.com for full size image

    The markets, measured by the S&P500 (S&P500 Charts) and DIJA (DJIA Charts), may have recovered to new highs in 2007, but the DOW:Gold ratio told a different, truer story of just how unhealthy the US economy was.
    • Back in 1999, it took 45 ounces of gold to buy the DJIA.
       
    • On Friday March 6 of 2009 the DOW-Gold ratio hit a low of 7.03
       
    • As of Friday (September 11, 2009) it only took 9.66 ounces of gold to buy the DOW
       
    • Gold quote and charts
    •  

    The scary part is the DJIA-to-Gold ratio got down near 1 in the early 1980s and was just under 0.2 in the early 1800s.

    Which way do you think the DOW-Gold ratio is headed?

    This 200 Year Dow/Gold Chart shows the DOW/Gold ratio from 1800 through August 2008.

    chart courtesy of sharelynx.com (Click for full size image)

    With the DOW:Gold ratio now at 9.66, it is trading below the green zone in the second chart. The ratio is oversold, but nothing says it can't get more "oversold."

    CDs have been a "safe haven" for those wishing to preserve assets and get a small inflation adjusted return. See "Very Best CD Rates with FDIC" for a list of the best rates and terms.

    US Treasury rates are so low, that they are paying less than long term inflation. See:

    Disclaimer:  I have no position in Gold other than a few gold coins.  I get inflation protection via TIPS mutual funds (for example Vanguard's  VIPSX) and equities in my stock portfolio.

    Tags: GLD, VIPSX, TIPs
    Sep 12 09:51 am | Link | Comment!
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