Creating A Dividend Portfolio That Can Outperform The Market By A Big Margin [View article]
The simulator is point-in-time. So when it screens for favorable data for the past 5 years (say the simualtor starts in 1999), it looks back to 1994 - the end of 1998 to get the data to trade forward. It keeps doing this every re-balance date and never "looks ahead". That would be a pretty worthless backtesting platform if it did... but it doesn't. And it uses Compustat data which is free of survivorship bias as well.
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
I will quote from the article. The 'buyback' would be similar to holding a short-term cash equivalent and not the buyback that the various posters are commenting on. They could hold the shares for an unspecified amount of time - not necessarily to $10.
"They should announce that share prices are low - too low and then announce that they are re-initiating a buyback program and spending $180 million - except they do not destroy shares - they are just investing back in their own company and they commit to holding shares until prices stay above $10 for at least a year. This won't boost EPS but it will show that they believe the future is worth a lot more than $3 per share."
Eating Some Humble (Apple) Pie And Hedging Our Position [View article]
Well, I am happy to see these type of articles for one reason... it means that investors are hitting the maximum pain point and this is usually where things spin around. Huge cash pile, incredible value, it is being treated like a garbage stock that is going bankrupt - yet they are still a great company with big, albiet slowing, profit. When something makes as little sense as this... you keep buying and buying and buying. Now is not the time to hedge... that was when prices were trading up at mega-valuations. You should buy when something as insane as this happens.
You really think Apple is going to trade at cash value? There is nothing wrong with coming out and saying, "whoops, we thought this would bounce back sooner,"... we all thought so. But to sell out or hedge or anything else when its trading like beet soup... no sireee.
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
My RSH position was closed out today at $3.081 average price. The market looks to be breaking down below the trendline started last November. I will be looking for a good re-entry point but I think the downside could be significant for the whole market - which pulls down individual stocks - particularly ones people are bearish on. Still a good short squeeze waiting to happen - it just got delayed a bit.
Investors Really Need To Stop Trading Gold And Silver [View article]
Gold is cheaper but there are some incredible gold bargains out there that have deep value and have massive potential if/when/once gold recovers/stabilizes. ABX is near the top of my list and it got pounded twice as hard due to the Chilean mine suspension.
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
I am not suggesting a traditional buyback but that the company buy shares and hold them in the vaults as a cash alternative until they need actual cash. This shows confidence that, in general, share prices will increase from here and holding shares is a good strategy overall based on their hopefully forward thinking plan.
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
Should management roll over and play dead? By no means. I am not saying that they buyback shares and destroy them thus reducing the outstanding shares and boost shareholder value. I am saying that they invest in their own company and hold the shares as a vote of confidence that today's prices are ridiculously underpriced. If they need the money they sell the shares back. Its a method to park some of their cash in a way that can come back to them. If they believe that the writing is on the wall, why bother take out more loans anyway?
7 Stocks With Surging Earnings Estimates [View article]
So earnings are 'forecast' up 127% and price goes up 74%... how long before we see a reasonable PE of say..12 to 15? If the earnings went up 1,270% and the price 740%... you'd still have a whopping PE somewhere near 40. You want to climb in and hope the value evens out around $3,000 - $5,000?
The Big 6 Dow Jones Stocks To Own Now [View article]
It depends on overlap between the factors and ranking. For example you take the 18 highest earnings yields. Of those 18 only 10 are in the top 18 for dividend yield. There are two ranking systems (quality and divideng growth). Of those 10 stocks, only 8 made the cut-off for quality ranking and of those remaining 10 only 5 made it for dividend growth.
For a stock to be included it must pass all 4 tests. It is possible that up to 12 stocks could pass this. Of course, if more than 6 stocks pass, then the ranking systems determine which ones are ranked the highest.
The Big 6 Dow Jones Stocks To Own Now [View article]
Please see attached document for the closed trades (in order of highest closed % to the lowest) http://bit.ly/YQHH0W
Please see this next document for the the daily portfolio performance that shows cash, amount invested and a day by day comparison with the actual benchmark. The last 2 columns show the comparitive returns of $100 invested in Dow Jones vs. the Big 6. http://bit.ly/Zm4RZr
The Big 6 Dow Jones Stocks To Own Now [View article]
I am not sure why you are ignoring dividends. This will give you only capital gains which is ignoring the full picutre.This system also uses cash management so what is listed is the portfolio return - not just simple stock pick return. Also, you are ignoring the closed trades and are just back-testing the current holdings. Let's look at the past few years of Dow Jones vs. these stocks.
2007 - system underperformed by 4% 2008 - system outperformed by 35% 2009 - system outperformed by 5.3% 2010 - system outperformed by 2.8% 2011 - system outperformed by 5.1% 2012 - system outperformed by 0.67%
So far this year it is looking to underperform by 1.6%
If you are asking for a list of the closed trades - then please do so. I am happy to provide more details but I don't appreciate someone simply trying to cast suspicion and doubt by matching open positions to an un-adjusted yahoo chart and claiming that I am making false claims.
You'll note that I also have made this strategy available for free so there is little ulterior motive in trying to fool anyone.
Creating A Dividend Portfolio That Can Outperform The Market By A Big Margin [View article]
Creating A Dividend Portfolio That Can Outperform The Market By A Big Margin [View article]
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
"With over one-third of the float short - that'll create one awesome short squeeze."
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
"They should announce that share prices are low - too low and then announce that they are re-initiating a buyback program and spending $180 million - except they do not destroy shares - they are just investing back in their own company and they commit to holding shares until prices stay above $10 for at least a year. This won't boost EPS but it will show that they believe the future is worth a lot more than $3 per share."
Eating Some Humble (Apple) Pie And Hedging Our Position [View article]
You really think Apple is going to trade at cash value? There is nothing wrong with coming out and saying, "whoops, we thought this would bounce back sooner,"... we all thought so. But to sell out or hedge or anything else when its trading like beet soup... no sireee.
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
Investors Really Need To Stop Trading Gold And Silver [View article]
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
A RadioShack Short Squeeze Waiting To Happen [View article]
7 Stocks With Surging Earnings Estimates [View article]
2 Stocks Making 52 Week Lows, Only 1 To Buy [View article]
The Big 6 Dow Jones Stocks To Own Now [View article]
For a stock to be included it must pass all 4 tests. It is possible that up to 12 stocks could pass this. Of course, if more than 6 stocks pass, then the ranking systems determine which ones are ranked the highest.
The Big 6 Dow Jones Stocks To Own Now [View article]
http://bit.ly/YQHH0W
Please see this next document for the the daily portfolio performance that shows cash, amount invested and a day by day comparison with the actual benchmark. The last 2 columns show the comparitive returns of $100 invested in Dow Jones vs. the Big 6.
http://bit.ly/Zm4RZr
The Big 6 Dow Jones Stocks To Own Now [View article]
2007 - system underperformed by 4%
2008 - system outperformed by 35%
2009 - system outperformed by 5.3%
2010 - system outperformed by 2.8%
2011 - system outperformed by 5.1%
2012 - system outperformed by 0.67%
So far this year it is looking to underperform by 1.6%
If you are asking for a list of the closed trades - then please do so. I am happy to provide more details but I don't appreciate someone simply trying to cast suspicion and doubt by matching open positions to an un-adjusted yahoo chart and claiming that I am making false claims.
You'll note that I also have made this strategy available for free so there is little ulterior motive in trying to fool anyone.