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Larry House  

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  • The Great Deleveraging Lie [View article]
    The strongest unit of power in this country is an individual. The times require individual responsibility and planning. The strong survive; lemmings die.
    Aug 27, 2010. 04:02 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Market Still Stinks [View article]
    You've come a long way, Roger. It took forever for you to embrace the idea that this down turn was more than just a simple little recession, but you finally did come to that conclusion. Then, naturally, you espoused safety--rightly so, now, given the dire growth prospects in the U.S., you are looking for other countries to invest in. I have no problem with that, but a slow-growth U.S. will exert a strong dampening influence on the rest of the world. There is no great place to hide while all of this is playing out around the world. Patience and lowered expectations are a must as well.
    Aug 25, 2010. 12:36 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Our 'Lost Decade' May Only Last 5 Years [View article]
    We have already lost a decade in the S&P. Predictions are so hard to make, especially about the future! Seriously, there is no way any one can zero in on when we may get through this because we have never been in this before! We are in uncharted waters with too many vocal captains.
    Aug 25, 2010. 12:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Robert Reich, Carts and Horses [View article]
    I find it demeaning that I am viewed by my government not as a citizen with rights but rather I am a "consumer" that is supposed to be conditioned to spend all I have and more constantly to keep this grand illusion going. The government is hell-bent on maintaining the excess spending, to the ruination of us all. Get your financial house in order as soon as you can, and keep it that way. It is possible to escape the madness all around us.
    Aug 24, 2010. 11:33 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lies, Damned Lies, And Equity Mutual Fund Statistics [View article]
    There are many more urgent uses for money than investing at the moment. Consumers are reducing debt, and that certainly pays better than stock returns. One's house is no longer a ready source of funds, so the investments are the next source. The stock market has to adjust to the fact that money piled into mutual funds and other investments partly as a result of the ready cash sources that investors had. As those sources are disappearing, it is reasonable to expect a contraction of the the money supply for stocks. A lot of priorities are changing rapidly, and investments end up being rather low on the list when one is faced with more urgent needs for liquidity.
    Aug 24, 2010. 11:20 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bullion as an Alternative to Shorting [View article]
    I agree with you, and I also endorse all of this for silver bullion as well.
    Aug 20, 2010. 11:47 AM | 12 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Low Growth Environment - A Multi-Year Investment Blueprint [View article]
    All of that to just say the only way to make money in this market is to become a good trader!
    Aug 20, 2010. 09:57 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Zulauf: Systemic Change Is Coming [View article]
    Much food for thought here, but one of the things that struck me about the retiring hedge fund owner is this is a tough market for him, what does that make it for the average investor? No wonder more people are running to bonds and gladly accept low yields with complete safety (except for interest rate risk).
    Aug 19, 2010. 09:01 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • We're Rolling Over Even With the Fed Openly Juicing the Markets? [View article]
    Thanks for pulling back the curtain some more and allowing us to see this Heart of Darkness. Little wonder average investors have run screaming from the market and won't return anytime soon. Between our government and Big Boy programmed trading, the Little Guy doesn't stand a chance.
    Aug 19, 2010. 11:52 AM | 25 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Get In on Blue Chips While Others Play Musical Chairs at the Bond Market [View article]
    If only it were that simple!
    Aug 17, 2010. 02:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What if There's No Big Crash and No Big Surge? [View article]
    There is much to recommend your position. Stay diversified and take a middle of the road approach. That may be as good as it gets for many years.
    Aug 17, 2010. 11:36 AM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Just How Bad Will It Get? [View article]
    I guess it is understandable that many investors might dismiss a projected outcome that has only happened twice in 70 years or so. After all, this great US economic machine is a powerhouse, and consumers have always been consistent in spending like good consumers without thought to the consequences. That seems to have changed. If we have learned anything from the past many months, it is that one needs to prepare for just about any investing outcome. I have never seen such contradictory, divergent opinions about the health of the economy and where we are going. We are living in unique times. NO ONE knows what is going to happen next or how it is going to happen.
    Aug 13, 2010. 11:19 AM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Sneak Peek at the (Ugly) End of the Story [View article]
    Good points. It's one thing to see how low yields went on treasuries when there was a panic; now investors are making a mote thoughtful, sober assessment of the situation, and they still want the sure low yield instead of risk of greater reward. Many are smelling an economic skunk that is not yet visible.
    Aug 13, 2010. 10:30 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • TIPS and Gold as Inflation Hedges: Risk and Rewards [View article]
    See what happens if you say something negative about gold? You just slapped everyone's mother in the face AND said you hate apple pie! While I hold gold miners and intend to continue to, I think your points are well-taken and your discussion timely. I also hold some I Bonds, rather than TIPS, as an inflation hedge.
    Aug 13, 2010. 10:26 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Preparing for the Likely Scenario of Deflation [View article]
    Then I guess, AAII, you are holding out the HOPE that today might go like the '50s. I try to be as positive as the next person, but hope is a poor basis for investment.
    Aug 13, 2010. 10:10 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment