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Larry Smith

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  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thanks for the comment MIke, glad you liked the article. I too have resolved to have some cash at the ready when the next drop comes and it will come. Good luck

    The funny thing about WorldCom was I thought it was a conservative internet stock, they supposedly supplied the picks and shovels to the internet companies. Ended up being a shovel to the back of the head. Oh well, I am still better off than Bernie Ebbers.
    May 21 02:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Hi SDS and thanks for the question. Let me start by saying there are not that many dominant companies around and the ones that do exist usually sell at a premium. A dominant company is one that has little competition and is able to avoid death by creative destruction.

    The best example is Coke. I am very confident that 10 years from now Coke will still be the largest seller of beverages in the world. The infrastructure they have in place, bottling plants, warehouses, transportation, etc. cannot be easily replicated. They own the most recognizable trademark in the world and could buy any start-up that might develop a popular new beverage. There is also little chance people decide they no longer want beverages. Put all those things together and you have a dominant company.

    Exxon and a few other large integrated energy companies are dominant companies. The world will always need energy, they have infrastructure in place that is not easily duplicated and have the financial resources to buy any start-up or new energy source.

    McDonald's would be a dominant company, the major railroads could be dominant companies, there are only four in the U.S. and two in Canada. No new railroads are going to be built and commerce will always need to be transported.

    Hope that helps.
    May 21 02:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    You are welcome, I also thought the article was interesting. All of Chuck's articles are informative and thought provoking.
    May 21 07:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thanks for the comments Fred and appreciate your thoughts on T, always like to hear other constructive opinions. Stocks come and go on my watch list, some get too pricey and in some cases the business may start to under perform. T is on there now, but that is always subject to change.

    Buying wonderful companies at attractive prices is, to me, the best investment plan.
    May 21 07:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thank you maybenot, appreciate the kind words. I agree that plans are always works in progress.

    I am always surprised at how many people have no goal or plan. Just investing with no goal or plan isn't likely to lead to the results one would hope for. Having a plan keeps the investor disciplined and on a path to success.
    May 21 07:27 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    mrj, I never tell anyone how to invest, I have said many times there is more than one way to make money in the market. I have no opinion on Mongolian CDs because I know nothing about them. Long term money in ETF index funds sounds fine, I have done well with my index funds I buy through my work retirement plan.

    Sounds like you have a plan, stick to it, refine it and always keep learning.
    May 21 07:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thank you Bob, I appreciate the kind words.
    May 20 08:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thanks for the update on some of the folks I use to watch on television. I have distrust of permabulls, like Abby Joseph Cohen who hasn't been bearish a day in her life and permabears like Marc Faber. I prefer a more analytical approach that varies from time to time. But truth be told, I just make up my own mind.
    May 20 08:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    No problem, I will get back to you on the S&P numbers, although I don't doubt numbers.

    Thanks
    May 20 07:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Hi Canadian, thanks for the comment.
    May 20 07:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Paul, great comment.

    Showing my age I will tell that I watched Louis Rukeyser weekly and remember Gail Dudack well. There were several excellent rotating guests on the show, I always liked the late Marty Zweig. He was always worried, so I would be surprised if he wasn't cautious at the time. Many times those that sound the alarm do so early and are subjected to ridicule. I think in the short run we are a little ahead of ourselves. Long term, I am still bullish.

    The flash crash is interesting because, like you, I sensed something was wrong, didn't know what, but it just didn't see to make sense. I don't think anyone still knows what happened, but I know I missed an opportunity.

    For anyone interested I am attaching a Flash Crash audio tape of a guy who does audio from the S&P pit in Chicago. It is extremely interesting and entertaining. S&P drops 65 points and comes back all in about 8 minutes.

    http://bit.ly/14pVUmk
    May 20 07:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thanks for the comment, rich, always good to hear from you. Hopefully the cash you and I are raising will come to good use at some point.
    May 20 04:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thanks for the comment and questions mjs28s. As shown in the link I included, the numbers referenced refer to the Dow. When I have some time I will research your S&P numbers.

    As for the dips/rips comment. Again, if you look at the link you will see a chart that shows the market action during that period. As you will see there was a lot of up and own action, channeling would be a good description. If an investor bought at the lows and sold at the highs you would have done well.

    Thanks again
    May 20 04:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    Thanks for the comment DG Ruralist. You make an excellent point about valuation, perhaps I should have made it a "lesson".

    i like your analogy of investing and golf, excellent point about improving yourself.

    Appreciate you taking time to add to the conversation.
    May 20 03:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Lessons Learned From Up And Down Markets [View article]
    A diet? My condolences. I drink a lot of soda so when I switched from Coke to Coke Zero I dropped 10 pounds over time. Still crave the real thing at times.

    Maybe a sliver of cherry pie will stop the craving.
    May 20 02:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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