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Lipa Roitman  

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  • Taiwan Stock Market: Playing The Taiwan Economic Miracle [View article]
    Moon Kil Woong,
    thank you for your comment,

    My research was limited to what is out in the open. The siphoning of money through Chinese subsidiaries is not a public knowledge. It is probably going on unnoticed until somebody gets caught.
    Nov 29, 2012. 11:46 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil: 2 Stock Valuation Methods [View article]
    John Hampton,
    Thanks for your comment.
    We are four years past the initial shock of the financial crisis. What was shocking has become the new norm. The world has not ended then, and it's not going to end now.
    Ask the guys in Montana if they are worried about the EPA. I think Obama has bigger problems on his hand than fracking.
    Nov 20, 2012. 09:10 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil: 2 Stock Valuation Methods [View article]
    Matt Burns,
    Thanks for your comment.
    Nov 20, 2012. 08:56 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil: 2 Stock Valuation Methods [View article]
    Eric Martin,
    Thanks for your comment. You are right, insiders actions are not published in real time. But it's still informative in some cases. Gives you a benchmark for comparison.
    Nov 20, 2012. 08:47 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil: 2 Stock Valuation Methods [View article]
    Thanks Cris for your comment.
    I think it's the depressed state of the economy that causes the drop in demand for oil. For once it's the economy that controls the oil price, not vice versa!
    Nov 20, 2012. 08:44 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil: 2 Stock Valuation Methods [View article]
    Thanks, Bob for your comment.
    It will be interesting to see how the American self-sufficiency in oil plays out in the world, especially in the Middle East.
    Nov 20, 2012. 08:36 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 Forecast: Post-Election Update [View article]
    Eric_Martin
    Thank you for your comment,
    Santa Rally?
    Maybe after the Fiscal Cliff deal..
    Nov 13, 2012. 03:23 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 Forecast: Post-Election Update [View article]
    1234gel
    Thanks for your comment,
    On USD: It's a question which stagnation is worse, and of comparing
    the costs of QE vs the cost of PIIG bail-outs.
    You might be right about the Yen.
    Nov 13, 2012. 03:22 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 Forecast: Post-Election Update [View article]
    Cris Chest,
    Thanks for your comment,
    Lipa
    Nov 13, 2012. 03:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 Forecast: Post-Election Update [View article]
    Thank you for your comment :



    1, " I also see inflation picking up, commodities rising,"



    When I wrote about commodities I meant the food and industrial consumable commodities and not gold. You are right, long term gold forecast is neutral to negative



    2. Apple stock forecast: See chart here:
    http://bit.ly/Zk5hC2

    The chart includes the system signal and the actual move of apple.

    All through July and August AAPL gave weak down (sell) signals that became strong at the end of August and the first week of September. That was the time to sell. We always recommend acting on strong signals. Afterwards the signals stopped due to internal logic filters. See the 90 days chart here. The shorter time range charts showed the same signals.
    Thanks again,
    Nov 13, 2012. 03:02 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Picking By Algorithms [View article]
    Cris,
    Thank you for your comment,
    It depends on your investment style. I think the best strategy is to pick stocks you like from fundamental or other reasons, and buy them at the time the signal shows they will go up.
    Lipa Roitman
    Oct 31, 2012. 08:09 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Picking By Algorithms [View article]
    Salman,
    thank you for your comment.
    Re: success rate
    Every forecast for every equity and for every time horizon is accompanied by a predictability figure. It tells how well did the predictor perform in the past. It is a correlation between the predicted move and the actual one, averaged over three time ranges, long, medium and short. The longer term forecasts have usually higher predictability.
    You can find more here:
    http://bit.ly/Ux3bxV
    Oct 31, 2012. 08:03 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Picking By Algorithms [View article]
    DanielHolzman

    Thank you for your comment,

    Please understand that we can’t spill all our secrets in public. I have worked on this project 18 years now, five of them full time. You can find some answers in my previous publications:
    http://seekingalpha.co...
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    The system is self learning and adaptable, which sets it apart from the technical analysis.

    The system learns the laws of the market, such as “when A goes down, then B should go up, but if both A and C go down then B should go the other direction.” As you can see, the effect of A and C on B is non-linear and can get complicated.

    However fickle these relationships may be, they are real, and when many of them are taken together, and proven to work over large set of historical data, they have real predicting power. Of course, you need a powerful computer system working around the clock to discover these laws.

    Limitations: the system does not work on all stocks, only on these that answer certain criteria. Only the strongest signals should be acted upon, those that break through the noise filters.

    Thanks again,
    Lipa Roitman
    Oct 30, 2012. 07:02 AM | 12 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Picking By Algorithms [View article]
    Hello Paulo,
    Thank you for your comment,

    1. Recent forecast: Please read my previous article.This article
    includes some updated predictions:
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    2. The stocks in the forecast table are daily pre-screened out of the
    larger pool of stocks. We blanked all the tickers, except for the top
    five because we recommend acting on the strongest signals only.

    3. Regarding past performance: the predictability, a number accompanying every prediction, is telling how well this predictor worked in the past.

    4. More about the predictability:
    http://seekingalpha.co...

    6. More about the system that I should have included in the article:
    The system is self learning and adaptable, which sets it apart from
    the technical analysis.

    Thanks again
    Lipa Roitman
    Oct 30, 2012. 06:23 AM | 16 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Picking By Algorithms [View article]
    TTurk,
    Thank you for your comment.
    This article is about making better decisions, not mathematical certainty. If you are looking for certainty, better stay away from the stock market. As Albert Einstein stated that 'as far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they are not certain; and as far as they are certain, they do not refer to reality.
    Good day.
    Oct 29, 2012. 09:04 PM | 14 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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