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The FCC rejection of Liberty - Shorts better cover. http://seekingalpha.com/a/c1r1 SIRI May 5, 2012
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Sirius XM will go up Monday http://seekingalpha.com/a/c1r1 SIRI May 5, 2012
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Sirius Hits a Home Run! Maybe a Grand Slam! SIRI, $SIRI, siri http://seekingalpha.com/a/6szt Jan 9, 2012
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Facebook: A Sinking Ship That Is In Big Trouble
Facebook (FB) is not a stock that I would normally write about. But recently so many things have come up about it, that I now feel compelled to check it out. The big rumor, which many swear is true, is that the site got involved in the already explosive situation with Chick-Fil-A. Most of you heard the story about Dan Cathy, CEO of Chick-Fil-A making a comment against same-sex marriage. The company is widely known for its Christian values, and even remains closed on Sundays so employees can go to church. Gay rights activists then threatened to boycott the chain.
High profile Right Wing "Friends of Chick-Fil-A" retaliated and posted a Chick-Fil-A Facebook invitation page which invited people who supported Christian values to eat at the restaurants on August 1. That Facebook page was somehow suddenly taken down, or deleted from Facebook:
Chick-Fil-A however was not part of the planning of this Facebook page, and it released the following statement concerning the appreciation day:
Several mayors got involved, and joined the ban against the company. The mayor of Chicago said they will block another Chick-Fil-A being built in their city. "Chick-Fil-A values are not our values he said". And the mayor of Boston suddenly banned Chick Fil A from that city (see link above):
Facebook has not denied that they deleted the page. Which brings into question their subjective manner in deciding what is posted on Facebook and what is not. Most of us know people personally, who have posted political statements, usually anti-liberal comments, that have been removed from their Facebook pages:
In another instance, conservative Christian author Dr. Michael Brown wrote a book documenting the Gay movement in the US. His page was also suddenly deleted, and was not restored until Dr Brown took decisive action:
Readers might ask what does this have to do with Facebook stock? The big problem with all of this is that Facebook is now publicly owned. Yet they are operating as if they were still a private company. You can say and do a whole lot more in a private company than you can a publicly owned one. As an investor in Facebook, this mess is your mess. If I owned the stock, I would have sold the minute this started. And the situation still continues to escalate.
Since all of this happened, Facebook shares have tumbled. Was it due to this controversy? Only the investors involved in the sales can answer that for sure. But judging from the millions of people that jammed US roadways in support of Chick-Fil- A on August 1, I would say it had a major impact. Regardless of which way a person feels on the gay issue, this has become a freedom of speech issue. And there is a campaign being mounted against Facebook in support of the first amendment. Some writers even think that Facebook is manipulating information on the site by design. This was something most analysts did not see coming. And it only adds to all of the other problems plaguing the company.
For instance, Facebook is currently losing a lot of talent. A "post-IPO exodus" from the social networking company continued Wednesday when two senior executives announced they were leaving the company. Is it possible these two had anything to do with the Chick Fil A incident? The timing is certainly questionable in my opinion. But Facebook has not commented. According to the Wall Street Journal:
But there is more. Any investor who can get past all of the problems I just listed above will have to deal with other more severe issues. According to another Seeking Alpha writer, there will be millions of new shares added to the float in the next several months:
When Facebook was first released, I was really exited about it. I have a few different Facebook accounts for my "aliases" that I write under, and I am always checking them daily. But when I first saw the P/E, I remember thinking this stock is only worth $10 a share. But now the price of the stock is down to $20.88 and the P/E is still 72.25. With the threat of millions of new shares being dumped into the market, I think it may go lower than $10. If you love the stock, and really want to own it, wait until next January when all of the shares have been absorbed, and then there will be some stability in the price. But personally I would not touch it right now.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
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Rush Limbaugh Could Bring Millions To Sirius XM: But At What Cost?
But we have to consider all of the costs. Would there be an equal number of subscribers lost due to the vile nature of his show now? I mean this is a new low in program content. And what would his contract cost Sirius? According to the New York Times (July 2008) he currently makes $50 million a year:
Judging by the overwhelmingly negative comments on the social networks about Rush, I think he would be a PR nightmare. Sirius XM has become a very well respected company with excellent content. But as I always say "never say never". The company took a chance on Howard Stern and it paid off big time. Sometime you have to be a little "edgy" to attract listeners. And more listeners bring more investors. In 2016 when Limbaugh's contract is up (if he makes it that long) this might be ancient history. In the meantime Sirius XM will continue onward and upward without him.Disclosure: I am long SIRI.