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What You Can Expect After The Next Correction
Mon, Aug. 25 • 16 Comments
- Instead of speculating on the timing of the next correction, we would like to paint a picture of a possible scenario that is likely to unfold after the correction.
- The 3 main weapons of choice have been to lower the price of money, increase the supply of money and generate wealth effect. But these are not likely to work.
- With the current Fed Funds rates at 0 and the Fed in no hurry to hike, this policy gun is empty.
- As the Japanese case study shows despite aggressive quantitative easing and government deficit spending, the Nikkei 225 has not budged.
- Once the investor confidence is dented, policy measures lose their sting.
Don't Mess With A Bull - The S&P Rally Will Continue
- To change any type of market sentiment or direction, be it a bull market or a bear market you need a catalyst to bring about change.
- No matter what the catalyst is, it has to bring about the change in market sentiment and that quite simply takes time.
- Market sentiment does not react rationally to the same information all the time.
2014 - Steady As She Goes
Thu, Jun. 19 • 2 Comments
- Good news from the June FOMC highlights strong GDP growth, falling unemployment.
- Bad news is that inflation projections have risen and QE will end by year-end.
- Correlation between S&P 500 rise and easy Fed policies is very high. A reversal will spell trouble.
- Volatility analysis shows a sanguine environment, but we call for the party to end Q4 of 2014.
A Different Way To Diversify For The Coming S&P Correction
- At the recent SALT convention David Tepper spoke out saying he would not be “so freakin long.”.
- On almost every financial distribution that you can read, market pundits and technical strategists are warning about an inevitable correction.
- How can I structure my portfolio so that I can achieve better results when markets go down?
Daily Liquidity Hurts Mutual Fund Investors
Wed, May. 7 • 5 Comments
- Investing in a fund that only allows monthly liquidity, helps prevent the investor from paying for short-term trading transaction costs.
- The average mutual fund pays a staggering 1.44% per year in transaction costs.
- Trading brokerage costs are paid for by all the investors in the fund.
Be Careful Of Style Drift In Bull Markets
Tue, Mar. 11 • Comment!
- One big mistake made by not just investors but also fund managers is jumping from one hot trend to the next without fully assessing the risks.
- When a fund manager abandons his core strategy to jump on the next hot trend, it is called style drift which can have detrimental consequences.
- Managed futures industry has seen this style drift over the last couple of years as managers have become more correlated to the S&P 500.
- Do Hedge Funds Soak The Rich?
Hiding Behind Liquidity - Assessing Managed Futures Advisors
Dec. 27, 2013 • 1 Comment
- Investing Lessons: Ghost Of Christmas Past
- Best Assets For Your 2014 Portfolio
Constructing A Robust Absolute Return Portfolio
Jul. 31, 2013 • 4 Comments
The Next Credit Driven Crisis
Jun. 26, 2013 • 11 Comments
Warren Buffett Would Not Just Buy And Hold The S&P 500
May. 9, 2013 • 17 Comments
Repercussions Of The Reinhart, Rogoff Flawed Analysis
Apr. 30, 2013 • 6 Comments
Bonds Are Cheap, Gold Not So
Apr. 11, 2013 • 8 Comments
One Of The Most Common Lies Told By Mutual Fund Salespeople
Mar. 31, 2013 • 16 Comments
- Investment Vs. Investor Returns
- A Statistical Analysis Of S&P 500
- Predictions Or Predilections For 2013?
Why Have Managed Futures Strategies Underperformed Recently?
Dec. 13, 2012 • 14 Comments
- Fiscal Cliff - A Lesson From Japan
- Fiscal Austerity To Bring On The Next Risk-Off Phase
Seeking Alternatives: A 4 Step Approach
Nov. 9, 2012 • Comment!
- Bold Government Steps Leading The Indian Rupee Higher
- Fed Up: Bernanke Declares War On The Poor
- Buy The Indian Rupee For Some Quick Gains
Ineffective Quantitative Easing Will Lead To Fiscal Stimulus Measures
Jul. 15, 2012 • 34 Comments
- Impending Central Bank Stimuli Will Help Gold And Stocks
- Money Printing To Bring Forth The Next Risk-On Phase
- Considering Oil, Copper For A Quick Bounce
- Caution: JOBS Act To Unleash Hedge Fund Advertising
Disturbing Trends Arising From The Q1 GDP
May. 1, 2012 • Comment!