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  • Managing Stock Market Risk In A Schizophrenic Environment [View article]
    My point actually was that unless you make (or more likely routinely lose) money by trading, ignore daily market fluctuations, economic forecasts, Fed proclamations, et cetra and focus on your family and friends while buying and holding the S&P500 over 30+ years.
    Sep 24, 2014. 08:05 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed: There Is No Bubble, There Is No Timeline, There Is No Exit Strategy [View article]
    "Oh no - we are not adolescents are we?"

    After your thoughtful post on jelly donuts, who would have guessed that you are not an adolescent, RS?
    Sep 24, 2014. 08:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Financial Double Bubble Creates Investor Trouble [View article]
    If the dollar drops, US labor will become competitive again.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Managing Stock Market Risk In A Schizophrenic Environment [View article]
    Not listen to it?
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:46 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Any Stock Market Correction Could Be Fast And Furious [View article]
    It could be faster and harder, or it could be slower and gentler. It could plunge and it could go deep. Or it may rise, too. That's the beauty of the ... market.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:45 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Follow The Yellen Brick Road, But Watch Out For Lions And Tigers And Bears (Oh, My!) [View article]
    Summary

    The Federal Reserve begins the implementation of a policy change to end QE3 next month.

    SA doom and gloomers believe that this will cause of market crash.

    When too many commentators hold the same opinion, consensus thinking is often proven wrong.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • When Will Interest Rates Rise And What Will Cause Them To Rise? [View article]
    I think short term interest rates will rise when the Feds raise it. They will first tel John Hilsenrath and he will write an article. So the best way to predict when the rate increases are coming is to follow Hilsenrath's articles on the WSJ.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:39 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed: There Is No Bubble, There Is No Timeline, There Is No Exit Strategy [View article]
    I thought you were done trying to have a conversation with me on any topic whatsoever. LOL.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Anatomy Of A Market Bubble [View article]
    Bob, Don't you hate the Fed? We had 3 nice days of downturns and today people are rallying because housing numbers were good!? For shame! The Fed should have stepped up and said that they will raise interest rates to 25% for mortgages just to crush the bubble.

    Did you see there were 5 market crash articles already posted today? What fun man!
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Anatomy Of A Market Bubble [View article]
    User 10318561,

    I don't worry about short term drawdowns. This product gets its value not from the level of the VIX (which is mean reverting anyway) but from contango. Contango will be there as long as people hedge the distant future with more fear than they hedge the near future. That, of course, is the essence of hedging - be worried, be very worried.

    Why did the backtested strategies do so well? I really don't know. In a rational market, people would short VXX and go long SVXY till all the excess returns are arbitraged away and there is no contango whatsoever. Yet, people buy hedges. I really can't explain to you why they do. I think two major crashes over 8 years have conditioned people to expect horrible things routinely, and they have forgotten about normal markets where the S&P500 returns about 10% average every year. Why hedge such a thing?
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:28 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed: There Is No Bubble, There Is No Timeline, There Is No Exit Strategy [View article]
    I thought you were done trying to have a conversation with me, RS? Ye of so little self-control.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed: There Is No Bubble, There Is No Timeline, There Is No Exit Strategy [View article]
    TSS,

    The Feds are definitely part of the Govt. They are independent because the 3 branches of the Govt have no authority over their decisions. But they are still an indepenent agency withtin the Govt.

    http://1.usa.gov/yTH9Ky

    As for the legality, once again, I would love to see a reference to a law that makes the debt monetization illegal, and would promptly change my mind.

    As for the economic consequences, if you are only going to allow economists' opinions to count, then shouldn't you apply the same standard to the peanut gallery on this thread in particular, and SA in general?

    In my opinion, economic geography is not economics in general, and it is most definitely not monetary economics or finance in particular.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed: There Is No Bubble, There Is No Timeline, There Is No Exit Strategy [View article]
    Stick to the personal attacks, RS.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed: There Is No Bubble, There Is No Timeline, There Is No Exit Strategy [View article]
    In other words, Neil, you have no proof. Figures.
    Sep 24, 2014. 05:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Core CPI weakest in four years [View news story]
    Distorted! I knew it. CPI is a lie. I buy oranges and I see inflation.
    Sep 24, 2014. 03:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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