Seeking Alpha

Mark Gomes

 
View as an RSS Feed
View Mark Gomes' Articles BY TICKER:
  • Shares Of Mattersight Are Poised To Triple
    Mon, Sep. 8 MATR 51 Comments

    Summary

    • Mattersight possesses over a dozen patents pertaining to a Big Data-based technology that is quickly gaining traction with customers, via its new SaaS-appliance sales model.
    • The company undertook an arduous (and valuation crushing) sales transition, but is now on the cusp of a major revenue inflection point.
    • Bookings were up approximately 55% in Q2, but investors haven't taken notice yet (because subscription bookings take a quarter to impact the income statement). Substantial revenue growth is virtually assured.
  • Glu Mobile Poised To Climb 50% By Year-End
    Mon, Jul. 21 GLUU 275 Comments

    Summary

    • Last Tuesday, we claimed that Glu Mobile’s Q3 revenue could double the consensus view and raised our price target to $10. This morning, Cowen & Co. followed suit.
    • Over the weekend, Glu's viral sensation "Kim Kardashian: Hollywood" leapfrogged two competitors (including the venerable Pandora) to become the third-highest grossing (revenue producing) application on the entire iOS platform.
    • With continued momentum, we now believe that shares of GLUU could rise by 50% and reach our $10 price target before year-end.
  • Glu Mobile Set To Owe Kim Kardashian $85 Million?
    Wed, Jul. 16 GLUU 79 Comments

    Summary

    • Wednesday morning, shares of Glu Mobile fell as much as 5% on a seemingly bearish report that the company will owe Kim Kardashian royalties in excess of $85 million.
    • We have no reason to doubt their anchor fact that Kardashian is entitled to 45% of net profits from the game. However, there were material flaws in TMZ's analytical assumptions.
    • PTT Research has released a video correcting TMZ's errors, and provides analysis of the actual profits expected from its blockbuster hit; states that its $10 target could "easily prove conservative".
  • Glu Mobile's Q3 Revenue Could Double The Consensus View
    Editors' Pick • Tue, Jul. 15 GLUU 70 Comments

    Summary

    • Despite Glu Mobile's dramatic ascent, we believe the stock remains grossly undervalued. Q3 estimates need to be raised significantly. Q4 and 2015 estimates are also detached from Glu's new reality.
    • With last week's debut of Dino Hunter, GLUU is now the proud developer of two top-three games for the iPhone and two of the top five new Android titles.
    • A 4x multiple on 2015 estimates (or $13 per share) can be justified - the highest Wall Street target price sits at $7.50.
  • Top 10 Plays For Next Week's Russell Rebalancing
    Sun, Jun. 22 BPTH, CFNB, CRRS 27 Comments

    Summary

    • This past weekend, Russell Investments released its preliminary list of additions and deletions for its annual reshuffling of the Russell 2000.
    • PTT Research's proprietary process has enabled us to uncover and rank the prospects most likely to make the list and deliver the greatest profits to investors.
    • This article provides five long and short candidates to trade between now and the official reconstitution on Friday, June 27.
  • These Stocks Will Be Added To The Russell 2000 In 2 Weeks
    Mon, Jun. 16 OLBK, TIPT 20 Comments

    Summary

    • This weekend, Russell Investments released its preliminary list of annual additions and deletions to the Russell 2000. Forced institutional buying makes this a juicy, once-a-year opportunity for investors.
    • Over the past several years, PTT Research has developed a proprietary process to navigate Russell Investments' extensive methodology. This year, all six of our selections made Russell Investments' cut.
    • Old Line Bancshares and Tiptree Financial were the first two selections shared via Seeking Alpha. In the coming days, analyzing and identifying the biggest winners will yield triple-digit annualized returns.
  • The Lululemon Decision: What Would A Woman Do?
    Editors' Pick • Fri, Jun. 13 LULU 28 Comments

    Summary

    • After consulting with Jamie Nuss (PTT Research's Fashion/Trends Analyst), we determined that Lululemon might be doomed to the same fate playing out between Coach and Michael Kors.
    • Competitors like Victoria's Secret has emerged with the fits and feel that women seek, eliminating the advantage that enabled Lululemon to take the world by storm.
    • With falling operating margins and customer defections, the stock may be oversold in the short term, but a dour secular trend is firmly in place.
  • With Ultra HD Emerging, Is Apple Eyeing Pixelworks?
    Sat, Jun. 7 PXLW 47 Comments

    Summary

    • After a recession-elongated HDTV cycle, a new Ultra HD (a.k.a. 4K) replacement cycle is ramping vigorously. Pixelworks is a leading technology enabler in this space.
    • IDC reports suggest that 4K shipments could hit 100 million units in 2018, a 55% growth rate over the next 4+ years. Video processing will experience resurgent demand.
    • Apple needs video processing technology to compete with Samsung’s. Apple subsequently became a 10% customer of Pixelworks.
  • Globalstar Hits A 5-Year High Amid Google's Broadband Push
    Sat, Jun. 7 GSAT 39 Comments

    Summary

    • On Monday, it was revealed that GOOG plans to deploy a proprietary fleet of 180 low-Earth orbit satellites in a 5 year mission to deploy broadband services.
    • GSAT has been in the process of seeking FCC approval for a measure that promises to open Globalstar’s spectrum to a range of interesting new possibilities, most notably public Wi-Fi.
    • The pieces are falling into place for a TLPS approval and/or partnership with a major Internet giant. Either would mean great things for Globalstar.
  • These Companies Could Join The Russell In 4 Weeks
    Fri, May. 30 OLBK, SPY, TIPT 14 Comments

    Summary

    • In May, Russell Investments will initiate the annual reshuffling of its Russell 2000 index. This annual event represents a juicy opportunity for investors who can identify the winners (and losers).
    • OLBK's market cap now appears big enough to qualify for the Russell 2000. Inclusion in the Russell will spur an entire month's worth of institutional buying volume.
    • Tiptree's market cap leapt from $70M to $300M when it secured major private financing last year. This move appears sufficient to complete TIPT's set of requirements for Russell membership.
    • Trade Street Residential's downside risk is relatively limited. TSRE trades at just over book value ($244 million as of March 2014), and is expected to grow earnings by nearly 50%.
  • Glu's Secondary Offering Is Bullish
    Fri, May. 30 GLUU 119 Comments

    Summary

    • After the bell on Thursday, Glu Mobile announced a secondary offering, which is expected to total $30 million in size at a price of $3.50 - $3.60 per share.
    • Contrary to the negative sentiment, a secondary is often great news. For a fast-growing company, a secondary provides the cash infusion that enables accelerated growth.
    • After its last secondary (on September 17, 2013) GLUU rose from a 52-week low of 2.10 to a 52-week high of $5.65 (+169%) in just 6 months.
  • Picks To Triple In A Correction
    Mon, May. 19 GLUU, HIMX, PXLW 187 Comments

    Summary

    • We are not in a bubble. Many Cloud, Big Data, and small-cap tech stocks became overvalued (some remain so). However, just as many are undervalued and should be coveted.
    • Nobody can stop investors from panicking out of undervalued stocks. However, those who do their homework can take advantage of a misguided herd mentality.
    • I see a similar pattern in the undervalued stocks I researched/found, including three that are well-positioned to triple in an attractive timeframe.
  • The Growing Opportunity For AeroGrow
    Sat, May. 10 AERO 41 Comments

    Summary

    • Demand for organic produce (AERO's wheelhouse) continue to be on the rise.
    • AERO's December-quarter revenues increased 67% to $5 million. Sales to retailers were up a whopping 289%.
    • AERO's highest-priced product has been backlogged (primarily due to high demand) since before its last earnings call, boding well for March quarter results.
  • Attunity's Maestro Promises To Make Sweet Music (And Money)
    Fri, May. 2 ATTU 45 Comments

    Summary

    • Thursday morning, Attunity (ATTU) announced Q1 revenue of $7.2 million, representing 54% growth. License revenue was $3.5 million, up 102%.
    • One subject of much discussion was its latest offering, Attunity Maestro. Maestro is Attunity’s new Big Data Management Platform for composing, conducting, and monitoring information flow across entire global enterprises.
    • Maestro has the potential to elevate ATTU from a point-solutions provider to a full-solutions provider.
  • Glu Mobile: Another Quarter, Another Blowout
    Thu, May. 1 GLUU 49 Comments

    Summary

    • On Wednesday evening, Glu Mobile reported Q1 revenue of $47.0M, crushing Wall Street estimates of $39.4M.
    • Net income came in at $0.06 per share versus the consensus estimate of $0.02, a 200% beat.
    • Looking ahead to the full year, the company set expectations of $155M-$161.5M for non-GAAP revenue and (versus current Wall Street estimates of $147M).
  • Tiptree Financial Is Poised To Join The Russell
    Sat, Apr. 19 TIPT 35 Comments

    Summary

    • In May, Russell Investments will initiate the annual reshuffling of its Russell 2000 index. This annual event represents a juicy opportunity for investors who can identify the winners (and losers).
    • Our first 2014 pick, Old Line Bancshares (OLBK), has risen 14% while the Russell has fallen by 3.7% over the same timeframe.
    • Tiptree’s market cap leapt from $70M to $300M when it secured major private financing last year. This move appears sufficient to complete TIPT's set of requirements for Russell membership.
  • Should King's Sour Candy Be Crushing Shares Of Glu?
    Sun, Apr. 6 GLUU 115 Comments

    Summary

    • King Digital Entertainment’s lackluster IPO has put a damper on shares of Glu Mobile. However, KING and GLUU are very different companies.
    • A $13.1 million increase in revenue enabled a $7.8 million increase in Q4 cash flow. Thus, analysts expect an 18.6% increase in 2015 revenue to produce a 600% EPS increase.
    • KING’s IPO gives credence to a current valuation in excess of $6.00 for GLUU. Calculations show that a megahit like Candy Crush would likely send GLUU to the $50 level.
  • Divergent Prevails; Lions Gate Stock On The Mend
    Mon, Mar. 24 LGF 18 Comments

    Summary

    • Lions Gate's Divergent received horrid critical reviews dropping weekend revenue estimates into the $50 million range.
    • The lowered expectations battered LGF shares on Friday. Options expiration worsened the damage, ultimately leading to an 8% bloodbath.
    • Viewer reviews defied the critics, leading to a strong Saturday showing and turning a LGF's PR nightmare into an opening weekend victory.
  • A Divergent Look At Lions Gate
    Fri, Mar. 21 LGF 23 Comments

    Summary

    • Shares of Lions Gate (LGF) have been hurt by poor critical reviews of its latest blockbuster-hopeful, Divergent.
    • Most critics aren't teenagers and aren't paid to predict how many young adults will flock to see the movie.
    • The Twilight series suffered similar critical jeers, but teenagers were the final judge and made Twilight a record-breaking box office sensation.
  • Riding High On AeroGrow
    Editors' Pick • Mon, Mar. 10 AERO 140 Comments

    Summary

    • A PTT Research analysis uncovered AeroGrow as the most-attractively valued play on marijuana legalization in our study.
    • With distribution partners, like Amazon and Home Depot, along with Scotts Miracle-Gro as a major stakeholder, AeroGrow is newly-positioned to drive superior results.
    • AeroGrow is in the midst of re-launching its product line (which went from $0 to nearly $40M in 2 years during its initial launch) in close alignment with Scotts Miracle-Gro.
  • Pixelworks Discloses Relationship With Apple
    Thu, Mar. 6 PXLW 75 Comments

    Summary

    • Wednesday afternoon, Pixelworks made a major (and mandatory) disclosure to the SEC that Apple represented more than 10% of its revenue.
    • The stakes couldn’t be higher for Apple. Any consumer device that can run a smart phone operating system is strategically important. Apple needs to become more competitive.
    • Samsung has dominated the television market for years. This is where Samsung holds the most decided advantage over Apple. I believe PXLW represents Apple’s best hope of closing the gap.
  • dELiA*s Is Poised To Triple
    Mon, Feb. 24 DLIA 229 Comments
  • Old Line Bancshares Poised For Addition To The Russell 2000
    Mon, Feb. 10 OLBK 26 Comments
  • Exploring Pixelworks' Positioning In Depth
    Tue, Feb. 4 PXLW 34 Comments
  • Poised To Triple Portfolio Updates
    Mon, Feb. 3 GLUU, ZNGA, ATTU 12 Comments
  • Tripling Your Money During A Market Correction
    Sun, Jan. 26 ATTU, GLUU, PXLW 38 Comments
  • Apple's Expanding Ecosystem Will Help These Stocks Triple
    Sun, Jan. 5 GLUU, GTAT, PXLW 32 Comments
  • Seagate Triples: Risk/Reward Charts Uncover Who's Next
    Dec. 29, 2013 GLUU, PXLW, STX 21 Comments
  • Ignore The Downgrade - Glu Is Still Poised To Triple
    Dec. 27, 2013 GLUU 155 Comments
  • Shares Of Techprecision Are Poised To Triple
    Dec. 22, 2013 TPCS 238 Comments
  • Tripling Your Money: Zhone Triples... What's Next?
    Dec. 20, 2013 ZHNE 23 Comments
  • Globalstar Triples - These Stocks Are Next
    Dec. 13, 2013 GSAT 46 Comments