Full index of posts »
Latest Comments
-
Mark Gomes on LG & PXLW Just consolidating a few data points here as I ...
-
annety on QAD's Real Estate Is Understated On Its Balance Sheet I am new to this arena, so I had to look up the...
-
Mark Gomes on HIMX Q1 Earnings Call -- Quotes & Notes Very nice quarter, but a few things could cause...
-
Mark Gomes on Perfumania's 10-K Reinforces Our Short Thesis The company is clearly trying, but we're not im...
-
Mark Gomes on Additional Info On Why BlackBerry Stock Should Double We put this together for easy reference. Enjoy!
Most Commented
- Alvarion: 10-Bagger Or Bust? (15 Comments)
- Software Earnings: Attunity Reports 100% Growth; Broadvision Looms (13 Comments)
- COOL's NBA Game May Have Limited Appeal (8 Comments)
- CALX Looking To Acquire ZHNE? (7 Comments)
- Updated Notes On ALVR (7 Comments)
Posts by Themes
Alternative Energy,
Big Data,
Biotech,
Broadband stimulus,
broadband stimulus,
Broadband Stimulus,
CALX OCNW,
CALX OCNW Internet "Broadband Stimulus" "Small Caps" M A,
Cloud Computing,
Data Center,
Data Integration,
dont-tag-as-pro,
earnings,
ECRI,
facebook,
Facebook,
fitness,
Fitness,
Green Energy,
InfiniBand,
Internet,
internet,
Long Ideas,
long-ideas,
m a,
M A,
M-n-A,
Media,
Mellanox,
microcaps,
Networking,
networking,
Procurement,
QADB,
quick-picks-lists,
SaaS,
Short Ideas,
short-ideas,
shorts,
Shorts,
Small Cap,
Small Caps,
small caps,
social networking,
Social Networking,
software,
Software,
special dividend,
Stimulus,
Stocks to Triple,
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.














View Mark Gomes' Instablogs on:
Stock Market Update - Week Ending July 2
My portfolio also lost money this week, but only 1.2%. I'm still up 8.8% for the year. Overall, my year-to-date lead over the NASDAQ increased to +16.9% (-8.1% vs. +8.8%).
The key takeaways:
1) The U.S. government is no longer tossing money into the economy. In recent weeks we have seen the home-buyer credits expire and unemployment benefits get cut. Meanwhile, taxes are going up next year and a new stimulus package is nowhere to be found. When less money flows into the economy, it's bad for the economy (at least in the short-term). What's bad for the economy, is typically bad for stocks. Follow the money and you'll have an idea of where the market is going next.
2) Europe is taking even more draconian measure. Not only are they not pouring extra money into the economy, they are undertaking austerity measures (i.e. heavy budget cuts). If not adding money to the economy is bad here, wait until you see the effect of taking it away across the pond.
3) Shorting stocks had been a life-saver. I've made a year's salary on my shorts this year. Not surprisingly, my longs have gone down with the market. However, they have held up better than the market. When you combine that with a healthy basket of short, you make money while the market flounders.
_____________________________________________________
You can see my current portfolio below. Usually, I only publish the names that represent at least 1% of my net worth. This week, I'm providing the complete list of my holdings for your perusal.
An interesting position to consider is shorting AMZN. It worked well this week. This could continue if the iPad destroys demand for the Kindle, AMZN will lose revenues, profits, and book downloads sales (as those move to Apple). I only have a small position here, because I don't like playing with large caps. Nonetheless, this one seems to make sense. I'm thinking that we're in the early stages of the iPad eating the Kindle's lunch, as the iPhone did to the likes of Nokia. I think AMZN's price cut on the Kindle is a sign that my thinking here is correct.
TICKER
COMPANY
PRICE
HOLDING
OCNW
OCCAM NETWORKS
5.56
9.0%
NOVL
NOVELL
5.95
7.7%
SDBT
SOUNDBITE
2.88
5.7%
RNWK
REALNETWORKS
3.30
4.0%
IGOI
i-GO
1.42
3.3%
PFWD
PHASE FORWARD
16.68
3.2%
DBTK
DOUBLETAKE
10.48
2.7%
BVSN
BROADVISION
11.65
2.3%
MDRX
ALLSCRIPTS-MISYS
15.85
1.5%
LAVA
MAGMA DESIGN AUTOMATION
2.89
1.5%
ZHNE
ZHONE TECHNOLOGIES
1.52
1.5%
OPWV
OPENWAVE
1.99
1.3%
VTAL
VITAL IMAGES
13.14
1.3%
SNIC
SONIC SOLUTIONS
7.85
1.3%
EPAY
BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES
12.99
1.3%
QADI
QAD
4.11
1.1%
DWCH
DATAWATCH
2.84
1.0%
ITMSF.PK
INTERMAP
0.63
0.9%
RKNEF.PK
REDKNEE
1.14
0.9%
GSB
GLOBALSCAPE
2.48
0.7%
TUNE
MICROTUNE
2.11
0.7%
ATEA
ASTEA
2.61
0.6%
QPSA
QUEPASA
3.90
0.6%
KEYN
KEYNOTE
9.00
0.5%
OESX
ORION ENERGY SYSTEMS
3.09
0.5%
ADTN
ADTRAN
27.35
0.4%
TKLC
TEKELEC
12.81
0.4%
CYMHF.PK
CYMAT
0.23
0.4%
FRPT
FORCE PROTECTION
4.05
0.3%
INFN
INFINERA
6.33
0.3%
CCUR
CONCURRENT COMPUTER
4.53
0.3%
AEHR
AEHR TEST SYSTEMS
1.68
0.2%
CALD
CALIDUS
3.34
0.2%
IPAS
IPASS
1.12
0.2%
ADVOF.PK
ADVA
5.20
0.2%
GGP
GENERAL GROWTH PROPERTIES
12.84
0.2%
RDLCF.PK
REDLINE COMMUNICATIONS
0.38
0.2%
SIO.V
SENSIO
1.10
0.1%
SNMX
SENOMYX
4.02
0.1%
QUIK
QUICKLOGIC
2.96
0.1%
NGNM.OB
NEOGENOMICS
1.26
0.1%
AMZN
AMAZON.COM
109.48
-0.4%
NILE
BLUE NILE
44.96
-0.7%
UWM
ULTRA RUSSELL
25.30
-7.3%
SSO
ULTRA LONG S&P
31.69
-9.7%
Have a great holiday weekend,
G.
Some Positive News For Two of My Favorite Stocks
seekingalpha.com/author/mark-gomes/instablog
_________________________________________________________
As for this morning, here are a couple of notable tidbits:
1) The RUS and NTIA announced some Round-2 Broadband Stimulus awards on Friday. Apparently, about $65M worth of awards went to Occam (OCNW) customers.
www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/B...
Hat tip to jlraska and Niles on nyquistcapital.com!
Hat tip to dschorrnyc on Twitter!
Both stocks are outperforming the NASDAQ today.
_________________________________________________________
Gold is down more than 4% this week. Corn is up 6.5%. I'm just sayin'... ;^)
_________________________________________________________
Kurt Badenhausen of Forbes thinks the rumored $750M estimate on Tiger Woods' divorce is overblown. Forbes believes Tiger is only worth $600M, after taxes and agent fees.
"And if you think Tiger made a killing in the stock market, think again. The S&P 500 is at the same level it was at 12 years ago," Badenhausen wrote. "Any divorce settlement is likely to be worth a fraction of current reports."
www.thestreet.com/_yahoo/story/10797590/...
We already knew this about the S&P, but it never hurts to be reminded of why our finances require more than a blind buy-and-hold-mutual-fund strategy.
Don't Get Ripped Off !
You see, someone decided to buy some with a "market order". That means they placed a order to buy shares at whatever price the market was asking.
Well, as of last night, someone was bidding $2.85 to buy shares of SDBT, while someone else was asking for $3.07 to sell theirs. Early this morning, the asking price was $3.29 and someone paid it.
Soon after that, the asking price dropped back to $3.07. Whoever paid $3.29 should have checked the bidding price (a.k.a. the bid) and the asking price (a.k.a. the ask) to see how far apart they were (a.k.a. how wide the spread was). They would have seen that the spread was wide and could have placed a bid to buy shares at something in-between the bid and the ask (a.k.a. a limit order).
If they place a bid to buy at $3, the bid would have become $3, since that is higher than the $2.85 that someone else was bidding at the time.
At worst, I think they could have bought the shares at $3.07, which has been a common asking price recently. Instead, they paid and extra 22-cents, which is 7%.
I'll take 7% any day! Even though I like my SDBT stock, if you offer me a 7% premium, you can have it. I'll just buy it back later in the day for a cheaper price.