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  • Market Timing Is Not Appropriate For Retired Investors [View article]
    Thanks RAYVT for researching and bringing that to light ...
    Jul 30, 2015. 06:41 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Am I Bearish Or Are You Just WAY Too Bullish? [View article]
    Skewed negative statistical outcomes happen ( 19 occurrences back to 1926 ) when our risk profile identifies a year as "high risk" as 2015 has been. Doesn't surprise us that SPY total return is up only 3.5% YTD ... http://seekingalpha.co...

    As far as valuation measures are concerned, a simple moving average strategy applied to SP500 / VUSTX has produced alpha vs. buy and hold over ensuing "high" valuation periods http://tinyurl.com/pzd...
    Jul 30, 2015. 11:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Retired Investors Don't Buy Bonds Until? [View article]
    As concern that bonds, at "low" yields have limited appreciation left and minimal use in portfolios, we performed a study on a simple empirical switching process applied to the Japanese markets 1988 - 2014; one of the great deflationary episodes of the past century. http://tinyurl.com/ors...

    If the relationship between safety and bonds ( flight to quality ) during times of exogeneous financial crisis ceases, then there is a deep underlying structural problem.
    Jul 29, 2015. 12:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Dividend Aristocrats Portfolio Can Achieve Superior Performance With Adaptive Allocation [View article]
    Prepared a study within a different framework, yet with similar intent, for a couple firms ... we used various stock universes and fund choices over a 30 year period. Results showed utilities (surprisingly) producing the best alpha. http://bit.ly/1IbkmZS
    Jul 27, 2015. 06:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Dividend Growth Investing Is Not Always Best [View article]
    The name for the site "Seeking Alpha" is a misnomer. There should be 2 sites; " Seeking Alpha" and " Seeking Income". The inherent characteristic and policy of issuing dividends within the dividend growth stock universe constrains the "price appreciation" vs. non dividend payers. As investing is confusing enough for the average person, combining many different strategies on one site creates a large amount of cognitive dissonance, even for a seasoned investor. If a boomer aged investor is underfunded in their retirement asset accumulation, they may need to explore options in the maximization of their appreciation using a growth stock universe. This is a growing demographic in need of solutions http://bit.ly/1wEMnWw
    Jul 27, 2015. 09:59 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • I Can Endure More Bond Duration Than Chuck [View article]
    As concern that bonds, at "low" yields have limited appreciation left and minimal use in portfolios, we performed a study on a simple empirical switching process applied to the Japanese markets 1988 - 2014; one of the great deflationary episodes of the past century. http://bit.ly/1CryaTk
    Jul 26, 2015. 10:15 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Timing Is Not Appropriate For Retired Investors [View article]
    Good article ... Would agree about the timing. Most investors don't have the sophistication for tactical asset allocation. This truth is continuously belabored by the authors and, because of this, is most likely fact. Even a simple, empirically proven, alpha producing switching strategy, every 6 months between value, DG, utility stock universes and cash, (http://bit.ly/1IbkmZS) submitted in article form to the SA editors was rejected, probably as a reflection of the "complexity" of what it entails. A 6 month time frame is too speculative and 10 year CAGR performance measurement is too short for most.
    Jul 24, 2015. 04:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Scanning The SA Family For Alpha: 6228371 [View article]
    The excitement that was in the air about gas and oil MLP's a couple of years ago, at least within the DG community, was palpable.
    Jul 22, 2015. 11:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Low Volatility Anomaly: A Theoretical Underpinning [View article]
    Informative article .... I have written a paper on the use of low beta/low volatility stock universes combined with a process using seasonal and risk mitigation variables vs. buy and hold. http://bit.ly/1IbkmZS
    Jul 21, 2015. 09:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • DGI Beats Indexing; What Beats DGI? [View article]
    When used tactically with value universe, utilities can provide decent returns and yields http://bit.ly/1ebFuqV
    Jul 20, 2015. 11:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Much Bond Duration Could You Endure? [View article]
    In fact, since 1986, FCNTX total return ( 13.3% ) equal to the selection of the best of the best dividend champions without the fuss of individual stock portfolio monitoring ....
    Jul 17, 2015. 01:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How Much Bond Duration Could You Endure? [View article]
    FCNTX ( which my father has owned for years ) wasn't bad either
    Jul 17, 2015. 01:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Easy And Fun To Add Apples And Bananas To Calculate Total Return [View article]
    What I am more interested in at this stage ( past the refutation and circular existential arguments of investment methodolgies ) is that as "solutions" for the production of maximized, low transactional alpha ( via non discretionary, fixed date allocation switching strategies, etc. using etfs ) have been created, could there be a platform / interface that reinvents the way that investing is represented to the layman in order to facilitate the growth of assets, provide income etc.
    This would (need to) circumvent and change: 1) behavioral bias 2) a feeling of "ignorance" and "alienation" that investing has evoked 3) the "dry" and outdated way that investing and investing products are represented and perceived 4) the old "financial management" structure. As society has evolved to be "visually stimulitive", it may / would most likely have to be apps in an animated format, similar to "gaming". This seems to fall within the realm of "Fintech".
    Robo advisories are "kind of" tackling this, yet run an RA's efficient market hypothesis portfolio mix calculator, and they have produced subpar returns, historically, with reasonably sized drawdowns. And those kind of results, while falling under the wrapper of "diversifying over a multitude of asset classes", won't necessarily provide solutions for a vast demographic of investors that are underfunded or who's inflation adjusted wages are slowly shrinking.
    Jul 16, 2015. 08:59 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • So, You'll Switch To Dividend Growth Investing After You Have Your Millions, Eh? [View article]
    This is a constantly repeated basic point for novice investors reading these articles to understand. If you can't construct an individual stock portfolio that will give you a performance/alpha "edge" in beating the index ( and subsequently accrue more $$ over time in the index during accumulation stage, then further applied towards income production in the spending years ) then why spend time doing it ?
    Jul 10, 2015. 12:00 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • So, You'll Switch To Dividend Growth Investing After You Have Your Millions, Eh? [View article]
    You won't know if it is a bubble until after the fact. Prudent investing = diversification amongst a few investment strategies and stock universes + X months/years of cash for emergencies. Making a concentrated bet on one stock style, methodolgy, or universe creates rigidity in decision making if the strategy behind the bet doesn't pan out ...
    Jul 8, 2015. 03:41 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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