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Rhetoric Threatens U.S. Stocks More Than Russia At This Point
- Stocks and the SPDR S&P 500 started lower Wednesday when President Obama spoke strongly to EU members about Russia's recent aggression.
- We recall that the market celebrated Russia's final annexation of Crimea because it became clear there would be no military confrontation.
- Wall Street now appears uncertain and concerned about after-the-fact bravado and rhetoric fueling future fury between the West and Russia and destabilizing markets.
Alcatel-Lucent, Sandbags Allowing Opportunity To Hop On Board
- Several factors have weighed against Alcatel-Lucent since its blockbuster earnings beat in February.
- Those weights are like sandbags holding down a hot air balloon destined for flight.
- The stock's valuation offers a margin of safety for long-term interests, and so, I would be a buyer on recent weakness.
Annaly Rose 2.8% As The Dividend Steadied - So What's Next?
- NLY shares rose 2.8% on news that the company kept its dividend steady, rather than reducing it again.
- In the past, the shares have reacted to dividend declarations similarly over the short term.
- However, such events have not offered guidance into forward dividend declarations nor price action, so investors should look elsewhere for guidance into NLY's outlook.
The Asinine Gold Sell-Off?
- The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) dropped 1.8% Monday along with stocks.
- The sell-off in the GLD comes after a weekend including more Russian aggression in Crimea and a warning from a NATO general.
- Several other factors complicated trading in all asset classes Monday, and made for a difficult read long term, but gold may have been oversold nonetheless.
This Week In Real Estate
- Real estate relative stocks had a hard time last week on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
- The economic report schedule this week should not offer much good news either.
- I expect anticipation and signs to show up nonetheless for a strong spring selling season and would buy on weakness.
How GE's TV Commercial Supports Its Stock Price
- GE's TV advertising supports its brand from an investor's perspective.
- The company presents an image of innovation and technology, which separates it from its rivals.
- So despite quantitative metrics that seem to say it should be valued lower, its value-added brand building supports demand for the stock and a higher valuation for its shareholders.
Dick Bove Pounds The Table For Bank Of America
- Bank analyst Dick Bove sees Bank of America rising to $30.
- Environment is ripe for a doubling in stock price across the banking industry.
- Bove and I agree, and we each list BAC as a favorite idea for 2014.
The Gold ETF: Where Do We Go From Here?
- The GLD has unraveled and given back its gains made on the Crimea catalyst in just three days time.
- The Crimea tensions remain on a hair trigger and could reignite, or Eastern Ukraine could present a new geopolitical catalyst should infighting begin there.
- The new dynamic relationship between Russia and the West portends new pressures on fiat currencies, including the euro and even the dollar.
It's Time To Unravel SPDR Gold Trust Positions On Crimea
- Tensions eased on weak Western sanctions and Putin's disinterest in Eastern Ukraine.
- GLD lost some of its recent support, as the need for safe haven seems decreased.
- GLD has already started to give way, while stocks have gained.
Risk On - The Snake In Our Garden Promises Not To Bite Anybody Else
- West eases tension by applying soft sanctions to only individuals excluding Putin.
- Russia eases tension by indicating it has no interest in Eastern Ukraine.
- Risk is on again for the SPY as the dangers that remain are the same somewhat dormant ones that existed previously and greed dictates ignorance of those.
Why A Stock Market Crash Is Imminent
- Deterioration of the Crimea crisis after referendum results likely to bring sanctions and Russian counter actions, placing new obstacles before the global economy.
- Controlled situation could deteriorate further if Ukraine defends its territory via military intervention.
- Largely unaffected stock market must quickly incorporate a suddenly severely altered global environment.
Expect A 10-20% Surge In The SPDR Gold Trust Next Week
- A full Russian incursion into Crimea appears imminent.
- The safe haven SPDR Gold Trust security has benefited from this catalyst.
- The SPDR Gold Trust should climb even higher as Russia pits itself against the U.S.
- The chaos of war often brings unintended consequences and risk that is likely unaccounted for in stocks today.
The One Thing Annaly And mREIT Holders Better Watch Closely
- NLY shares have had an important inverse relationship with the 10-Year Treasury yield lately.
- The yield has at critical times, however, risen in a counterintuitive fashion.
- I believe investors in NLY are wise to keep a keen eye on the yield and the geopolitical dynamics behind it for forward guidance.
2014 Spot-On Gold Bull Says Buy More Fast And Furiously
- Crimea Parliament vote for Crimean independence opens door toward further Russian action.
- Broader stock market has remained somewhat indifferent and is vulnerable to shock.
- Deteriorating situation on the ground should drive significant capital quickly into precious metal relative securities.
Week Ahead: Ignore This Warning At Your Own Peril
- The market has thus far brushed off the geopolitical risk posed by Russia.
- Recent events portend an escalation and likely troubling consequences near-term.
- Take off long passive market holdings in the SPY, extended valuation ideas and consider hedges.
Thank Vladimir Putin For This Week's Bank Of America Gains
- Market shock on Russia's incursion into the Ukraine set a flight to quality in motion.
- The yield curve steepened.
- Bank stocks outperformed the market on the important factor to their profits.
How A War-Driven Flight-To-Quality Could Lift Annaly Shares
- Geopolitical shocks tend to drive flights to quality.
- Flights to quality produce downward pressure on interest rates.
- Lower interest rates benefit mortgage REITs like Annaly.
- The Week Ahead For Real Estate Stocks
- Why Gold And GLD Dropped Friday And The Opportunity That Could Avail
- Week Ahead: Taking Risk Off On Crimean Catalyst
- Why I Say Buy Bank Of America On Every Housing Induced Dip
- Cheniere Energy Offers Promise On A Day Otherwise Weighed By More Housing Data
- Wal-Mart's Problem And The Market Today
- Why I See Danger For Stocks This Week
- Annaly's Executive Departures - Red Flag Or Not?
- Critic Silenced By Alcatel-Lucent
- Why Yellen Is Great For Gold
- The Yellen Effect
- The Real Estate Slide - It's Just The Weather
- Why Google Is The Top Tech Play Of Our Generation
- Bullish GDP Vs. Bearish Housing - Who Will Win?
- Should We Buy GE If The CEO Is?