Matthew Bradbard

Today in Commodities: U.S. Dollar on the Doorstep

Close we're looking for the eur/usd to move down just like in FX but for the other cross you mentioned we're looking for the Loonie to depreciate and in FX it is the reciprocal. So far so good. We hit our target on the downside today in the Loonie and are expecting a touch more in the Euro. Additionally for other currencies we advised clients to buy the Yen today...opposite in FX.


On Oct 27 04:59 PM User 456427 wrote:

> Sorry, I am new to this. When you say that you like selling rallies
> in the Euro and Loonie does that mean that you are selling EUR vs
> USD as the EURUSD pair goes up and selling USD vs CAD as the USDCAD
> pair as the USDCAD pair goes up? If so, then doesn

Today in Commodities: U.S. Dollar on the Doorstep

JIMBO...the author predicted $16 when silver was at $18 so it has almost reached his target. In agreement $20 is doable maybe early next year.


On Oct 28 01:47 PM jimbo's gravy train wrote:

> Don't panic with SLV. Our author just gave a staggering prediction
> of $16 for silver right about the time it hit $16. WOW, what an insight!
> Now, on to a real prediction... stay with silver. It is a very volatile
> investment but ultimately it will hit $20 in the next few months,
> possibly by year's end. Stick with it and enjoy the benefits. If
> you're not in, its at bargain prices right now! Get better than 25%
> return on your investment in only 2-3 months. Where else can you
> get that? BUY SLV now and watch it hit $20, then sell and let's plan
> the victory party!

Today in Commodities: U.S. Dollar on the Doorstep

oats traded lower and corn and beans faltered as well losing another 2% in corn and 4.5% in wheat.

SHOULD BE corn and wheat NOT corn and beans...sorry for the confusion

Today in Commodities: Dollar Sets the Tone

In this example we had clients long January $6/7 call spreads in natural gas; a bullish play. They were at a profit but we did not want to leave the trade. So as opposed to exiting we advised clients to buy November $4.25 puts. The idea was if we came in Monday and natural gas prices were down we would make up the loss on the call spread with a profit on the puts. How it played out natural gas continued to move higher so we cut losses on our hedge (November puts) and exited the longs. The net result was less of a profit had we not done the puts.
Definition:
An investment made in order to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in a security, by taking an offsetting position in a related security, such as an option or a short sale.


On Oct 20 05:36 PM woodennickels wrote:

> Can you explain how a hedge works again?
>
> "This time the hedge hurt instead of helped, but sometimes being
> conservative makes you less money, other times it saves you money."

Today in Commodities: Dollar Doom?

mbwealth.com/weeklycom...
Excerpt from commentary:
September 30-yr bonds gained 1’27 points last week trading to a 7 week high. Volatility has picked with wider trading ranges last week which generally happens at markets tops or bottoms. We would advise taking off all longs and expect a shift lower from here. Resistance comes in at 121’16 with support at 119’10. September 10-yr notes also gained last week, picking up 1’26.5 points. Like bonds, we expect yields to rise and prices to retreat. Resistance comes in at 119’10 with support at 117’10. Get short March 10’ Euro-dollars via futures or options. We expect last week’s high to serve as an interim top. You can buy an at-the-money put with over 8 months time currently for $600.



On Jul 15 10:11 PM Andrew Amrhein wrote:

> Please provide a link to the Weekly Commentary about Treasuries,
> referred to above. Thanks.