Matthew Rafat
Matthew Rafat
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Matthew Rafat
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Charlie Munger on Economics: Excerpts from 2003 Speech [View article]
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Party Like It's 1931? [View article]
Parsing Select Annual Reports: Part 2 [View article]
Notes from Brocade Communications' Shareholder Meeting [View article]
1. One constant variable in life is that change will occur.
2. The ability to keep up with change and adapt to changing environments provides an advantage.
3. Entities and people who adapt the quickest to change will have an advantage and will be ahead of their competition. In economic terms, this is called the ability to adapt to "creative destruction" (See Joseph Schumpeter).
4. As of 2009, the world population is becoming and has become more and more inter-linked. Globalization is occurring rapidly, causing persons who would have never interacted fifty years ago to now interact and to engage in numerous economic and social transactions.
5. Organizations and entities that have more knowledge and ability to interact on a positive basis with numerous cultures will have an advantage over entities that either lack this ability or that have less of it.
6. Due to globalization, the world is becoming more diverse.
7. Entities that lack diversity appear to be slower to adapt to change.
8. Entities that lack diversity as their surrounding local or non-local environment becomes more and more diverse show that their internal culture is more resistant to change or that they are unable to gain talent from a diverse range of sources.
9. Entities that are unable to draw talent from a diverse range of places or that are resistant to change will be disadvantaged against more fluid, diverse entities.
10. As globalization increases, entities that are more diverse will have both tangible and non-tangible advantages over non-diverse entities.
11. Therefore, more diverse entities will be more competitive than non-diverse entities.
12. As of 2009, Asians are approximately 60% of the world population. As of 2009, persons of African descent are approximately 20% of the world population. As of 2009, the United States has only 5% of the world population. Mandarin and Spanish are more commonly spoken worldwide than English.
13. The United States is a consumer-based economy that relies on domestic and international consumption of its products to increase growth, profits, and influence.
14. To fully maximize one's successful interactions with worldwide entities, one must be fluent in more than one language and well-versed in several cultures.
15. Multinational entities that fully maximize their ability to engage with several cultures will maximize their ability to gain new customers and allies.
16. Entities that fail to maximize their their ability to engage with several cultures will be disadvantaged against multinational entities.
17. Familiarity with different cultures and languages will maximize a multinational entity's ability to compete globally, providing it an advantage over entities that fail to maximize their ability to compete globally.
18. "Familiarity with different cultures and languages" may be called "diversity."
19. Multinational entities that favor diversity will be more competitive than entities that do not favor diversity.
© Matthew Rafat
Notes from Brocade Communications' Shareholder Meeting [View article]
You don't have enough data to analyze whether more diverse companies' stock prices do better than non-diverse companies. Almost every publicly traded company in the U.S. has non-diverse upper management. In the future, assuming more publicly traded companies gain diversity in their upper ranks, you may be able to make comparisons.
Shareholder Communications: Kudos to GE's Immelt, Dominion [View article]
Immelt deserves some recognition. GE going from 6/sh to 12/sh is a noticeable improvement. I said Mr. Immelt is doing a great job "re-building" his own and his company's reputation. The market seems to agree.
Federal Pension Trouble: Its Shift to Stocks [View article]
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Attending Media Giant Disney's Annual Shareholder Meeting [View article]
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Pensions: The Biggest Story of the Week - Or the Year [View article]
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Don't Be Scammed by Madoff Investor Sob Stories [View article]
California Bonds Downgraded Again [View article]
California Bonds Downgraded Again [View article]
in addition, without the immigrant population, both legal and illegal, America's population would be declining--which would be bad news for all entitlement programs, especially Medicare and Social Security. You have to factor in the children of undocumented workers and the taxes these children will pay over the next 60 years if you want to make a reasoned analysis.
California's Tipping Point [View article]
This particular article happened to focus on police officers and firefighters. I have other articles on other aspects of public spending, such as education, and yes, teacher's unions. (Education continues to suck up a massive amount of taxpayer funds, and there are questions about whether the increased funds actually improve student knowledge or abilities.)
I hope you will read my article carefully before making unsubstantiated comments, and again, I look forward to reading your comments. You have a forum here where you can provide facts to convince the public about your arguments. I hope you use it well.
California's Tipping Point [View article]
For example, you wrote, "Crooks and criminals from East Palo Alto, Oakland, Salinas, etc. all commit therir [sic] crimes in Santa Clara County. In fact, the majority of our criminals hail from those cities." Don't these cities also have police officers who risk their lives every day? Under your own example, Oakland, East Paly, and Salinas should be very safe because they have police officers who work hard and risk their lives every day. But you admit these cities are not as safe as San Jose. Why is that? I believe it's differences in education levels and the high cost of living, as I pointed out in the article. If we switched the Oakland PD with the SJPD, I don't think there would be much difference in crime rates post-switch.
Now, the NYPD is an interesting example. It did a great job cleaning up NYC, especially the areas around Times Square. Even so, it's hard to conclude that NYPD single-handedly caused the crime rate in NY to decline. Too many different people were involved in the turnaround effort, including local residents. Was the prior decline in crime a result of having a better economy, which usually leads to less crime? Was it having more officers? Better training? More resident involvement? A mayor willing to try new approaches? Better drug rehabilitation efforts? It's probably a combination of all these factors. My point is, having good police officers is definitely one relevant component in analyzing NY's crime cleanup. But it's only one component in a complex, ever-changing picture. The fact remains that in most major cities, if you switched police departments, you probably wouldn't see a major difference in crime rates.
Don't Be Scammed by Madoff Investor Sob Stories [View article]
With power comes responsibility. You had the power not to invest in a certain fund or investment. Instead, you apparently delegated power to a mutual fund manager, who failed to do due diligence and invested with Madoff. You admit this when you wrote, "We were in a general partnership, [and] none [of us knew] how our money was invested."
The general taxpayer had no involvement in your decision to invest with your mutual fund or other investment vehicle, which then apparently chose to over-invest with Madoff. Given the lack of general taxpayer involvement or culpability, it is difficult to see any rational reason taxpayers should bail you out. The appropriate recourse is with your mutual fund manager, Madoff, or insurance (SIPC), not with the general taxpayer.
You mention you have lost your life savings and are in your 70's. Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security income will prevent you from being impoverished. Thus, the general taxpayer is already assisting you and protecting you from dire poverty. You appear to want the general taxpayer to provide you with more of their money because you failed to diversify your investments. To paraphrase Barry Goldwater, a government that is big enough to help you avoid all your mistakes is also big enough to tell you exactly how to live your life.
You appear willing to hold other Americans and the general taxpayer responsible because you and your mutual fund manager/trustee made a mistake. Your mistake should not hurt responsible Americans, the overwhelming majority of whom diversified their investments, still lost thousands of dollars, and won't get a bailout.