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    <title>Michael J. Golde - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Michael J. Golde' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde</link>
    <item>
      <title>Political Expediency Distorts GDP Gains</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172439-political-expediency-distorts-gdp-gains?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172439</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span><span>Should we be cheering the recent positive GDP of 3.5% for the third quarter? Hardly. With unemployment now hovering at 10.2%, it is clear that any recovery, let alone a sustained one, is not around the corner. Nor it is clear that GDP growth is even connected with the true strength of the &quot;domestic&quot; portion of the American economy. What do I mean by that?</span> <div><p>For purposes of this article, I am dividing the American economy into its domestic and international components. The domestic portion includes the sales and revenues generated by sales to businesses or consumers geographically located in the U.S. as opposed to that portion generated outside of the U.S.</p> <p>By way of example, in 2009, Apple Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl' title='More opinion and analysis of AAPL'>AAPL</a>) <a href="http://www.straightstocks.com/investing-lessons/apple-inc-aapl-weaker-dollar-will-benefit-revenue-growth-and-margins/">generated 46% of its revenues</a> from international sales and 43% in FY 2008 and 41% in FY 2007. While this is a testament to Apple's success and ability to expand it markets, it also reveals that American multinational companies are becoming less dependent on the domestic sales to generate its revenues and profits. Also, as more business is generated internationally, a disproportionate number of the new jobs created by Apple's success are outside of this country.</p></p></div></span>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 05:57:27 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span><span>Should we be cheering the recent positive GDP of 3.5% for the third quarter? Hardly. With unemployment now hovering at 10.2%, it is clear that any recovery, let alone a sustained one, is not around the corner. Nor it is clear that GDP growth is even connected with the true strength of the &quot;domestic&quot; portion of the American economy. What do I mean by that?</span> <div><p>For purposes of this article, I am dividing the American economy into its domestic and international components. The domestic portion includes the sales and revenues generated by sales to businesses or consumers geographically located in the U.S. as opposed to that portion generated outside of the U.S.</p> <p>By way of example, in 2009, Apple Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl' title='More opinion and analysis of AAPL'>AAPL</a>) <a href="http://www.straightstocks.com/investing-lessons/apple-inc-aapl-weaker-dollar-will-benefit-revenue-growth-and-margins/">generated 46% of its revenues</a> from international sales and 43% in FY 2008 and 41% in FY 2007. While this is a testament to Apple's success and ability to expand it markets, it also reveals that American multinational companies are becoming less dependent on the domestic sales to generate its revenues and profits. Also, as more business is generated internationally, a disproportionate number of the new jobs created by Apple's success are outside of this country.</p></p></div></span><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172439-political-expediency-distorts-gdp-gains?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl">AAPL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bailout Nation Mentality: Ford Workers Reject Further Concessions</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170489-bailout-nation-mentality-ford-workers-reject-further-concessions?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170489</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span><span>On October 30, 2009, <a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/10619973/1/ford-workers-reject-contract-changes.html?puc=_btb_html_pla5&amp;cm_ven=EMAIL_btb_html">TheStreet.com published a story</a> about how the UAW membership appeared to be voting against contract modifications with Ford Motor Company (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/f' title='More opinion and analysis of F'>F</a>) despite the recommendation of the UAW leadership. The contract modifications only sought to conform Ford's contract with the revised contract between the UAW and General Motors and Chrysler. At first blush, this seemed curious to me, as UAW workers at GM and Chrysler had already agreed to the same changes negotiated by UAW leadership earlier this year.</span><div><p>As I concluded the article, a &quot;Eureka&quot; moment occurred to me. The UAW workers were acting perfectly rationally in light of the bailout nation mentality that now inflicts us due to massive government intervention in the economy. Let's break it down.</p><p>Ford Motor avoiding TARP money and bankruptcy by astute management decisions. As a result, they were able to honor their continuing obligations to the UAW workers. So, when Ford came-a-calling requesting similar treatment to the other U.S. automakers, to remain competitive, no one should have been surprised. But the very fact that Ford successfully avoided the minefields plaguing GM and Chrysler is now the exact reason that the UAW workforce has become emboldened.</p></p></div></span>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 06:00:18 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span><span>On October 30, 2009, <a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/10619973/1/ford-workers-reject-contract-changes.html?puc=_btb_html_pla5&amp;cm_ven=EMAIL_btb_html">TheStreet.com published a story</a> about how the UAW membership appeared to be voting against contract modifications with Ford Motor Company (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/f' title='More opinion and analysis of F'>F</a>) despite the recommendation of the UAW leadership. The contract modifications only sought to conform Ford's contract with the revised contract between the UAW and General Motors and Chrysler. At first blush, this seemed curious to me, as UAW workers at GM and Chrysler had already agreed to the same changes negotiated by UAW leadership earlier this year.</span><div><p>As I concluded the article, a &quot;Eureka&quot; moment occurred to me. The UAW workers were acting perfectly rationally in light of the bailout nation mentality that now inflicts us due to massive government intervention in the economy. Let's break it down.</p><p>Ford Motor avoiding TARP money and bankruptcy by astute management decisions. As a result, they were able to honor their continuing obligations to the UAW workers. So, when Ford came-a-calling requesting similar treatment to the other U.S. automakers, to remain competitive, no one should have been surprised. But the very fact that Ford successfully avoided the minefields plaguing GM and Chrysler is now the exact reason that the UAW workforce has become emboldened.</p></p></div></span><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170489-bailout-nation-mentality-ford-workers-reject-further-concessions?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/f">F</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mtlqq.pk">MTLQQ.PK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Goldman Bonuses Based on Socialist Policies, Not Capitalism</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/167854-goldman-bonuses-based-on-socialist-policies-not-capitalism?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">167854</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Why all the anger over the Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) record bonuses? Is it envy or justifiable outrage? Clearly the latter for the majority of people who believe in capitalism. How do I reach such a unequivocal and categorical conclusion? <br><br>Because the Goldman bonuses were substantially based on revenues only achievable through socialist policies of massive government intervention with virtually no downside risk to Goldman, where the government bore most of the risk and potential losses and where the vast majority of potential profits were privatized. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 21 Oct 2009 10:40:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Why all the anger over the Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) record bonuses? Is it envy or justifiable outrage? Clearly the latter for the majority of people who believe in capitalism. How do I reach such a unequivocal and categorical conclusion? <br><br>Because the Goldman bonuses were substantially based on revenues only achievable through socialist policies of massive government intervention with virtually no downside risk to Goldman, where the government bore most of the risk and potential losses and where the vast majority of potential profits were privatized. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/167854-goldman-bonuses-based-on-socialist-policies-not-capitalism?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig">AIG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bac">BAC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs">GS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Geithner to Blame for Outrageous Goldman Bonuses</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/167778-geithner-to-blame-for-outrageous-goldman-bonuses?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">167778</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I find it somewhat laughable in a sardonic way, but mostly pathetic, that Timothy Geithner and other Obama Administration officials, including the President himself, are squawking over the compensation packages at Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) and other &quot;too-big-to-fail&quot; banks (Big Banks) that survived the financial crisis only through the munificence of the American taxpayer.</p> <p>Of course, the projected <a href="http://www.thestar.com/business/article/711040--goldman-bonus-pool-boosted-by-huge-profit">$16.7 billion bonus pool</a> for only the first nine months of this year, is outrageous, but is Goldman to blame or did it simply take advantage of a poorly thought-out and negotiated arrangement by and on behalf of the U.S. Government? Sadly to say, but I believe the latter is mostly correct and that the howls from the same officials who enabled Goldman et al. to make a mockery of the TARP and easy money from the Fed, should be directly at themselves for incompetence.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 21 Oct 2009 05:00:22 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>I find it somewhat laughable in a sardonic way, but mostly pathetic, that Timothy Geithner and other Obama Administration officials, including the President himself, are squawking over the compensation packages at Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) and other &quot;too-big-to-fail&quot; banks (Big Banks) that survived the financial crisis only through the munificence of the American taxpayer.</p> <p>Of course, the projected <a href="http://www.thestar.com/business/article/711040--goldman-bonus-pool-boosted-by-huge-profit">$16.7 billion bonus pool</a> for only the first nine months of this year, is outrageous, but is Goldman to blame or did it simply take advantage of a poorly thought-out and negotiated arrangement by and on behalf of the U.S. Government? Sadly to say, but I believe the latter is mostly correct and that the howls from the same officials who enabled Goldman et al. to make a mockery of the TARP and easy money from the Fed, should be directly at themselves for incompetence.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/167778-geithner-to-blame-for-outrageous-goldman-bonuses?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig">AIG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs">GS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Cash for Clunkers: Short-Term Gain = Long-Term Pain</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/153516-cash-for-clunkers-short-term-gain-long-term-pain?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">153516</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The media, big government politicians and economists and Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood are hailing the &quot;Cash for Clunkers&quot; program as an unmitigated success. While it is true that there has been a temporary spike in auto sales in recent days, it is way too early to declare victory. <br><br>Much of the spike has been attributable to consumers who deferred auto purchases until the program took effect. Moreover, I suspect that prospective car buyers are now rushing to take advantage of the cash giveaways up to $4,500 that might not be available in the very near future.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 05:40:56 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The media, big government politicians and economists and Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood are hailing the &quot;Cash for Clunkers&quot; program as an unmitigated success. While it is true that there has been a temporary spike in auto sales in recent days, it is way too early to declare victory. <br><br>Much of the spike has been attributable to consumers who deferred auto purchases until the program took effect. Moreover, I suspect that prospective car buyers are now rushing to take advantage of the cash giveaways up to $4,500 that might not be available in the very near future.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/153516-cash-for-clunkers-short-term-gain-long-term-pain?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/f">F</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Goldman Sachs: Still Arrogant and Unrepentant</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/151327-goldman-sachs-still-arrogant-and-unrepentant?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">151327</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Last week Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) reported record profits for the April through June 2009 quarter. Quite a difference for a firm that was nearly insolvent less than a year earlier. But thanks to the TARP and favorable borrowing terms from the Federal Reserve, Goldman was able to use taxpayers' funds primarily for the benefit of its shareholders and employees.</p><p>In announcing its stellar <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/14/AR2009071400818.html">quarterly earnings</a> of $3.44 billion or $4.93 per share, <a href="http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/14/sizing-up-goldmans-bonus-pool/">Goldman stated</a> that it was setting aside $11.36 billion for an employee bonus pool, or $386,489 per employee. According to the Wall Street Journal, Goldman is on track to <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124649352055183157.html#mod=testMod">set aside $20 billion for the year or $700,000 per employee</a>. Under any circumstances, such bonus compensation would be considered sensational. But given the actual circumstances under which its profits were &quot;earned&quot;, the projected bonuses are reprehensible and unjustified.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 04:03:28 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Last week Goldman Sachs (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs' title='More opinion and analysis of GS'>GS</a>) reported record profits for the April through June 2009 quarter. Quite a difference for a firm that was nearly insolvent less than a year earlier. But thanks to the TARP and favorable borrowing terms from the Federal Reserve, Goldman was able to use taxpayers' funds primarily for the benefit of its shareholders and employees.</p><p>In announcing its stellar <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/14/AR2009071400818.html">quarterly earnings</a> of $3.44 billion or $4.93 per share, <a href="http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/14/sizing-up-goldmans-bonus-pool/">Goldman stated</a> that it was setting aside $11.36 billion for an employee bonus pool, or $386,489 per employee. According to the Wall Street Journal, Goldman is on track to <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124649352055183157.html#mod=testMod">set aside $20 billion for the year or $700,000 per employee</a>. Under any circumstances, such bonus compensation would be considered sensational. But given the actual circumstances under which its profits were &quot;earned&quot;, the projected bonuses are reprehensible and unjustified.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/151327-goldman-sachs-still-arrogant-and-unrepentant?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aig">AIG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bac">BAC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gs">GS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>CIT Execs Should Resign</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/150388-cit-execs-should-resign?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">150388</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I don't know who is supposed to be happy about the <a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cit' title='More opinion and analysis of CIT'>CIT</a> bondholder-led financing. Certainly, not the <a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/afx/2009/07/20/afx6676369.html">shareholders</a>, unsecured creditors or the non-participating bondholders. Nor the customers of CIT who are likely going to have to find alternative sources of financing when CIT does file Chapter 11 <span>&ndash;</span> and it will.</p><p>No, the only people who benefit from this &quot;usurious&quot; loan under &quot;duress&quot; are the participating bondholders (the &quot;Passive-Aggressive Lenders&quot; or &quot;PA Lenders&quot;, for short).</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2009 06:45:05 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>I don't know who is supposed to be happy about the <a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cit' title='More opinion and analysis of CIT'>CIT</a> bondholder-led financing. Certainly, not the <a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/afx/2009/07/20/afx6676369.html">shareholders</a>, unsecured creditors or the non-participating bondholders. Nor the customers of CIT who are likely going to have to find alternative sources of financing when CIT does file Chapter 11 <span>&ndash;</span> and it will.</p><p>No, the only people who benefit from this &quot;usurious&quot; loan under &quot;duress&quot; are the participating bondholders (the &quot;Passive-Aggressive Lenders&quot; or &quot;PA Lenders&quot;, for short).</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/150388-cit-execs-should-resign?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cit">CIT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>California's IOUs: Unintended Consequences of TARP Mentality</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/147826-california-s-ious-unintended-consequences-of-tarp-mentality?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">147826</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>It's hard not to get a bit disgusted by the lack of political will to resolve the California budget crisis within its own borders. It has been apparent for months that California tax revenues would be substantially lower than projected and that the budget would be impacted accordingly.</span></p> <p>What did Governor Schwarzenegger and the California legislators do to prepare for and respond to this crisis? Nothing, nada, zilch. Instead of developing of plan to stem mounting costs, to issue municipal bonds to fund a portion of the shortfall and to temporarily increase tax revenues (with an automatic sunset), the bickering continued and the June 30 fiscal year ended without a budget in place for next fiscal year.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 09 Jul 2009 07:26:01 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>It's hard not to get a bit disgusted by the lack of political will to resolve the California budget crisis within its own borders. It has been apparent for months that California tax revenues would be substantially lower than projected and that the budget would be impacted accordingly.</span></p> <p>What did Governor Schwarzenegger and the California legislators do to prepare for and respond to this crisis? Nothing, nada, zilch. Instead of developing of plan to stem mounting costs, to issue municipal bonds to fund a portion of the shortfall and to temporarily increase tax revenues (with an automatic sunset), the bickering continued and the June 30 fiscal year ended without a budget in place for next fiscal year.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/147826-california-s-ious-unintended-consequences-of-tarp-mentality?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bac">BAC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>No Signs of Economic Recovery in Sight </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/146909-no-signs-of-economic-recovery-in-sight?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">146909</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Here is just a sampling of signs that the economic recovery is nowhere is sight:</span></p>   <div><p>California is <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2009/07/02/news/economy/California_IOUs/?postversion=2009070218">issuing IOUs</a> for billions of dollars of current obligations. State workers to be furloughed three days per month.</p></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 05 Jul 2009 03:48:14 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Here is just a sampling of signs that the economic recovery is nowhere is sight:</span></p>   <div><p>California is <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2009/07/02/news/economy/California_IOUs/?postversion=2009070218">issuing IOUs</a> for billions of dollars of current obligations. State workers to be furloughed three days per month.</p></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/146909-no-signs-of-economic-recovery-in-sight?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/lea">LEA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Starbucks vs. McDonald's: Filtering Through the Coffee Wars</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/144546-starbucks-vs-mcdonald-s-filtering-through-the-coffee-wars?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">144546</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>A coffee war has been brewing for some time now between Starbucks (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sbux' title='More opinion and analysis of SBUX'>SBUX</a>) and McDonald's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mcd' title='More opinion and analysis of MCD'>MCD</a>). For years, Starbucks had the gourmet retail coffee market largely to itself. Sure enough, there were other large competitors such as Caribou Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cbou' title='More opinion and analysis of CBOU'>CBOU</a>) and Peet's Coffee &amp; Tea (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/peet' title='More opinion and analysis of PEET'>PEET</a>), but they didn't and don't possess the scale and <em>cachet</em> to eat into Starbucks' market share to any great degree. While McDonald's and other fast food establishments had always served coffee, it was merely a necessary menu item and certainly not a profit center.</p><p><span>Dunkin' Donuts is the obvious exception to this generality (along with 7-Eleven to a much lesser degree as it is a more direct competitor of Dunkin's transient and sporadic coffee customer), but it has always attracted a different demographic than Starbucks. Why do I make that statement? Because Dunkin' Donuts has been around since the <a href="https://www.dunkindonuts.com/aboutus/company/">1950s</a> and preceded Starbucks' existence by decades. Clearly, the two competitors played in different areas. And so it went for most of the 90s and the first few years of this decade. (The same analysis can also be applied to 7-Eleven.)</span></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 06:19:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>A coffee war has been brewing for some time now between Starbucks (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sbux' title='More opinion and analysis of SBUX'>SBUX</a>) and McDonald's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mcd' title='More opinion and analysis of MCD'>MCD</a>). For years, Starbucks had the gourmet retail coffee market largely to itself. Sure enough, there were other large competitors such as Caribou Coffee (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cbou' title='More opinion and analysis of CBOU'>CBOU</a>) and Peet's Coffee &amp; Tea (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/peet' title='More opinion and analysis of PEET'>PEET</a>), but they didn't and don't possess the scale and <em>cachet</em> to eat into Starbucks' market share to any great degree. While McDonald's and other fast food establishments had always served coffee, it was merely a necessary menu item and certainly not a profit center.</p><p><span>Dunkin' Donuts is the obvious exception to this generality (along with 7-Eleven to a much lesser degree as it is a more direct competitor of Dunkin's transient and sporadic coffee customer), but it has always attracted a different demographic than Starbucks. Why do I make that statement? Because Dunkin' Donuts has been around since the <a href="https://www.dunkindonuts.com/aboutus/company/">1950s</a> and preceded Starbucks' existence by decades. Clearly, the two competitors played in different areas. And so it went for most of the 90s and the first few years of this decade. (The same analysis can also be applied to 7-Eleven.)</span></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/144546-starbucks-vs-mcdonald-s-filtering-through-the-coffee-wars?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cbou">CBOU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mcd">MCD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/peet">PEET</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sbux">SBUX</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The 13 New Rules of Government Capitalism</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/143090-the-13-new-rules-of-government-capitalism?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">143090</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>To My Fellow Citizens:</span></p><p><span>Please be advised that effective immediately (i) the economic system heretofore known as &quot;Capitalism&quot; in the United States of America shall now be known as &quot;Government Capitalism&quot;, and (ii) the following rules, to the extent not already in effect, shall be implemented immediately.</span></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2009 16:03:31 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>To My Fellow Citizens:</span></p><p><span>Please be advised that effective immediately (i) the economic system heretofore known as &quot;Capitalism&quot; in the United States of America shall now be known as &quot;Government Capitalism&quot;, and (ii) the following rules, to the extent not already in effect, shall be implemented immediately.</span></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/143090-the-13-new-rules-of-government-capitalism?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Justice Ginsburg's Stay of Chrysler Sale Defends Rule of Law</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/142059-justice-ginsburg-s-stay-of-chrysler-sale-defends-rule-of-law?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">142059</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The problem with politicians, whether Democrats or Republicans, is that when the law doesn't suit their objectives, they simply disregard it or try to find a way around the intent and spirit of the law. </p><p>When the Democrats believed that the Bush Administration had illegally tortured prisoners at Guantanamo, they expressed moral outrage, demanded hearings and requested the Justice Department to investigate for possible criminal wrongdoing. And they were entirely right to do so despite Republican objections and Dick Cheney's recent attempts to finger the Democratic Congressional Leadership as completely aware of interrogation techniques being utilized there. That is the nature of a system where the law is supposed to mean something -- people are called to account for their actions under the law.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2009 04:16:01 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The problem with politicians, whether Democrats or Republicans, is that when the law doesn't suit their objectives, they simply disregard it or try to find a way around the intent and spirit of the law. </p><p>When the Democrats believed that the Bush Administration had illegally tortured prisoners at Guantanamo, they expressed moral outrage, demanded hearings and requested the Justice Department to investigate for possible criminal wrongdoing. And they were entirely right to do so despite Republican objections and Dick Cheney's recent attempts to finger the Democratic Congressional Leadership as completely aware of interrogation techniques being utilized there. That is the nature of a system where the law is supposed to mean something -- people are called to account for their actions under the law.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/142059-justice-ginsburg-s-stay-of-chrysler-sale-defends-rule-of-law?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Unemployment as a Lagging Indicator: Not This Time</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/141937-unemployment-as-a-lagging-indicator-not-this-time?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">141937</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The conventional wisdom filling the CNBC airwaives and the financial media these days is that unemployment is a lagging indicator. On this basis, the likes of Larry Kudlow and Jim Cramer, notably, dismiss continuing job losses and the burgeoning unemployment rate as essentially irrelevant.</p><p>Not only is that shibboleth completely at odds with empirical economic data, but it masks the very real potential of a weak or non-existent recovery for the foreseeable future. See recent comments by <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/30960208/">Mohammed El-Erian</a> of PIMCO and <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/top-buffett-aide-says-theres-no-sign-of-a-recovery-2009-5">David Sokol</a>, chairman of a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary and a top advisor to Warren Buffett. That Kudlow and Cramer blithely ignore the unabated growth of the unemployment rate (notwithstanding the decline in job losses) and the correlative decline in buying power and from underemployment is, minimally, intellectually dishonest and dangerous.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 06:32:14 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The conventional wisdom filling the CNBC airwaives and the financial media these days is that unemployment is a lagging indicator. On this basis, the likes of Larry Kudlow and Jim Cramer, notably, dismiss continuing job losses and the burgeoning unemployment rate as essentially irrelevant.</p><p>Not only is that shibboleth completely at odds with empirical economic data, but it masks the very real potential of a weak or non-existent recovery for the foreseeable future. See recent comments by <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/30960208/">Mohammed El-Erian</a> of PIMCO and <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/top-buffett-aide-says-theres-no-sign-of-a-recovery-2009-5">David Sokol</a>, chairman of a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary and a top advisor to Warren Buffett. That Kudlow and Cramer blithely ignore the unabated growth of the unemployment rate (notwithstanding the decline in job losses) and the correlative decline in buying power and from underemployment is, minimally, intellectually dishonest and dangerous.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/141937-unemployment-as-a-lagging-indicator-not-this-time?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qqqq">QQQQ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Consumer Confidence Perception vs. Economic Reality</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/141870-consumer-confidence-perception-vs-economic-reality?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">141870</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Funny how economic statistics sometimes mean something and sometimes don't -- even when released on the same day and they appear to be somewhat inconsistent. But apparently perception is more important that reality because the Consumer Confidence Index (a simplistic measure of consumer <i>sentiment and perception</i>) rose to 54.9% in April from 40.8% in May whereas the S&amp;P/Case-Shiller National Home Price Index fell at a record annual pace of 19.1%. Stated simply, home prices continue to decline at the fastest rate in history with no relief in sight. We have perception unsupported by behavior, on the one hand, versus a report detailing actual, not supposed or possible behavior, on the other hand. Stock market reaction: positive perception sounds better than negative reality... let's rally on karma.</span></p> <p>Aside from slumping real estate values, consumer credit continues to shrink and unemployment is expected to crest somewhere over 10% but not until next year. Sounds like eroding buying power to me, but I tend to prefer economic indicators based on facts, not unrealized fantasy. So how can consumer confidence rise so dramatically when home prices are falling so dramatically? A very good question but I doubt they asked it to the 5,000 households comprising the Consumer Confidence Index.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 03:27:04 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Funny how economic statistics sometimes mean something and sometimes don't -- even when released on the same day and they appear to be somewhat inconsistent. But apparently perception is more important that reality because the Consumer Confidence Index (a simplistic measure of consumer <i>sentiment and perception</i>) rose to 54.9% in April from 40.8% in May whereas the S&amp;P/Case-Shiller National Home Price Index fell at a record annual pace of 19.1%. Stated simply, home prices continue to decline at the fastest rate in history with no relief in sight. We have perception unsupported by behavior, on the one hand, versus a report detailing actual, not supposed or possible behavior, on the other hand. Stock market reaction: positive perception sounds better than negative reality... let's rally on karma.</span></p> <p>Aside from slumping real estate values, consumer credit continues to shrink and unemployment is expected to crest somewhere over 10% but not until next year. Sounds like eroding buying power to me, but I tend to prefer economic indicators based on facts, not unrealized fantasy. So how can consumer confidence rise so dramatically when home prices are falling so dramatically? A very good question but I doubt they asked it to the 5,000 households comprising the Consumer Confidence Index.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/141870-consumer-confidence-perception-vs-economic-reality?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dia">DIA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spy">SPY</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Failure of General Motors Is a Failure of Government Policy</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/141869-the-failure-of-general-motors-is-a-failure-of-government-policy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">141869</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>While the management of General Motors (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmgmq.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of GMGMQ.PK'>GMGMQ.PK</a>) over the past quarter century or more doesn't deserve any awards for stellar performance, I do view the GM bankruptcy filing as just as much, if not more, a failure of patchwork, inconsistent and irreconcilable Government policies during that time span. From the second highest corporate tax rate in the world to the lack of a unified health care system, the Government has time and time again interfered with the ability of GM to remain competitive. While the Government has continually imposed standards on the auto industry to improve mileage and reduce pollution, however well-intended, these policies have never been well thought out. As a consequence, GM, in order to cover its ever-expanding financial and regulatory obligations, was left with little choice but to manufacture a greater proportion of larger vehicles with higher profit-margins to help pay the cost thereof than otherwise would have been necessary with a more enlightened Governmental approach. Stated differently, Government policy caused GM to concentrate its manufacturing operations on a narrow focus of the automobile market as opposed to developing a more complete and well-rounded portfolio of products.</span></p> <p><span>Over the years, the Government has also thwarted efforts to drill for oil offshore or in Alaska due to exaggerated environmental concerns. The result: America became more and more reliant on foreign oil. Meanwhile, the rest of the world continued to exploit their oil resources wherever located, onshore or offshore. So, in effect, this country unilaterally withdrew from the oil exploration business in the most promising areas for development.</span></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 03:16:02 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>While the management of General Motors (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmgmq.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of GMGMQ.PK'>GMGMQ.PK</a>) over the past quarter century or more doesn't deserve any awards for stellar performance, I do view the GM bankruptcy filing as just as much, if not more, a failure of patchwork, inconsistent and irreconcilable Government policies during that time span. From the second highest corporate tax rate in the world to the lack of a unified health care system, the Government has time and time again interfered with the ability of GM to remain competitive. While the Government has continually imposed standards on the auto industry to improve mileage and reduce pollution, however well-intended, these policies have never been well thought out. As a consequence, GM, in order to cover its ever-expanding financial and regulatory obligations, was left with little choice but to manufacture a greater proportion of larger vehicles with higher profit-margins to help pay the cost thereof than otherwise would have been necessary with a more enlightened Governmental approach. Stated differently, Government policy caused GM to concentrate its manufacturing operations on a narrow focus of the automobile market as opposed to developing a more complete and well-rounded portfolio of products.</span></p> <p><span>Over the years, the Government has also thwarted efforts to drill for oil offshore or in Alaska due to exaggerated environmental concerns. The result: America became more and more reliant on foreign oil. Meanwhile, the rest of the world continued to exploit their oil resources wherever located, onshore or offshore. So, in effect, this country unilaterally withdrew from the oil exploration business in the most promising areas for development.</span></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/141869-the-failure-of-general-motors-is-a-failure-of-government-policy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gmgmq.pk">GMGMQ.PK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>A Strange Anomaly: Increasing Foreclosures Equals Increased Consumer Spending</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/141868-a-strange-anomaly-increasing-foreclosures-equals-increased-consumer-spending?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">141868</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Just heard an intriguing observation on the CNBC show Fast Money from a guest commentator that the increase in foreclosures may actually be a cause of increased consumer spending. The argument is that people whose homes are in foreclosure stop making mortgage payments; therefore, they have more money to spend on other consumer goods. So, the more people who don't pay their mortgages, the better the consumer spending statistics appear.<br> <br> If true, that means we are going to see a long list of foreclosures for a long time. If that occurs, home values will continue to decline or certainly won't rebound. And I don't think that reflects well on the economy long-term. If a significant segment of the population is soon to be potentially homeless, it is only a matter of time before the economy will see a downward effect on consumer spending.</span></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 03:07:48 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Michael J. Golde</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><span>Just heard an intriguing observation on the CNBC show Fast Money from a guest commentator that the increase in foreclosures may actually be a cause of increased consumer spending. The argument is that people whose homes are in foreclosure stop making mortgage payments; therefore, they have more money to spend on other consumer goods. So, the more people who don't pay their mortgages, the better the consumer spending statistics appear.<br> <br> If true, that means we are going to see a long list of foreclosures for a long time. If that occurs, home values will continue to decline or certainly won't rebound. And I don't think that reflects well on the economy long-term. If a significant segment of the population is soon to be potentially homeless, it is only a matter of time before the economy will see a downward effect on consumer spending.</span></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/141868-a-strange-anomaly-increasing-foreclosures-equals-increased-consumer-spending?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/skf">SKF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/srs">SRS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/michael-j-golde">Michael J. Golde</category>
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