Michael Kudrna

Long/short equity, deep value, momentum, contrarian
Michael Kudrna
Long/short equity, deep value, momentum, contrarian
Contributor since: 2010
Thu, 1:03 PM
Michael Kudrna
looks like a screen full of dead cat bounces. Nice to see the green at least, but would be better to see a multi-day recovery $SPY $IWM
Jan 29, 12:02 PM
Michael Kudrna
Look for a large buy into the close due to the end of month imbalance between equities and bonds $SPY : http://tinyurl.com/hv9qavp
Jan 27, 2:10 PM
Michael Kudrna
Let the games begin! I believe we'll soon know the short-term direction with more confidence as market digests Fed statement $SPY
Jan 27, 2:21 PM
The weakness is enticing to buy into. May start nibbling long $SPY again if weakness continues today
Jan 26, 12:32 PM
Michael Kudrna
Enjoying seeing lots of green on my radar again. Still not a fan of any individual stock trading for now, mostly all $SPY trades
Jan 26, 3:07 PM
peeling off some long $SPY and looking to have little to no exposure going into fed announcement
Jan 25, 10:26 AM
Michael Kudrna
I'm a buyer this morning on weakness and a seller before the Fed into hopefully some strength $SPY
Jan 26, 9:27 PM
I agree (Russell 2000 from mid to late June): http://schrts.co/ANSGeZ
Jan 26, 9:35 PM
Thanks! Good luck to you too.
Jan 21, 12:09 PM
Michael Kudrna
and away we go. I'm not looking for the shorts to take this back to even on the day today, per my last message. Added to $SPY long rental
Jan 23, 11:35 PM
he's no longer short, he's long some rentals, but his overall assessment is negative, just short-term he's long. all per his twitter
Jan 20, 7:24 PM
Michael Kudrna
Eat24 sending emails trying to reactivate our restaurant. Smells of desperation as restaurants leave Eat24 due to $YELP business practices
Jan 20, 6:47 PM
Michael Kudrna
Today felt like a washout w/ a nice rally at the end. Poses well for a few days of strength. My thesis is we're enterin a trading range soon
Jan 20, 9:06 PM
Here is the same chart with a 2 month view and EMA(8): http://schrts.co/8CeAyj
Jan 20, 9:08 PM
I'll be surprised to see the price reach EMA(8) and expect it to go lower in the process. If I'm wrong it will rally to and cross EMA(8).
Jan 20, 11:45 AM
Michael Kudrna
Playing more indices than stocks in this market. Adding to $SPY long and expecting a trading range to develop soon to go long/short in
Jan 14, 11:17 PM
Michael Kudrna
Christie Knocked down Rubio, Rubio gets up, dusts his shoulders off, and KO's Cruz, Jeb is still the ring girl #DDT
Jan 15, 7:27 PM
We polled recently 500 US Costa Rican voters in Tri State area & Rubio was less than 1%.US Latinos RESENT Cuban US toe in policy . Big time
Jan 15, 7:28 PM
and you're saying that those same latinos are rushing to vote for Hilary enthusiastically?
Jan 14, 9:35 PM
Michael Kudrna
This is probably the best debate ever
Jan 14, 1:39 PM
Michael Kudrna
$ACLS upgraded Q4 guidance & the stock has nothing to show for it. Market environment unhealthy. Players sticking to commodities & ETF's
Jan 8, 11:36 AM
Michael Kudrna
well that didn't last long
Jan 8, 11:48 AM
Or some karma points like on reddit.
Jan 8, 11:58 AM
That would work
Jan 6, 12:34 PM
Michael Kudrna
at a 27 PE, $CMG looks like it has more room to fall. I don't expect doomsday, but I do expect more downside before sustainable upside
12/21/15
Michael Kudrna
Now it appears $GRUB is allowing restaurants the option to handle their own deliveries or not contrary to previous StockTalk of mine
12/23/15
chicago tribune had a good article about food delivery today, check it out if you're a subscriber
thanks for the heads up
12/18/15
Michael Kudrna
All those who egotistically cheered prematurely when the Fed raised rates and the market went up the same day have disappeared.
12/16/15
Michael Kudrna
I'm now bearish on $GRUB and closed out all positions in it. They are changing platform to take a higher % & handle deliveries internal
the higher % commission as well. Restaurants may just increase their GH prices and leave their regular prices lower therefore making
customers feel enticed to go to the restaurant directly rather than use the GH platform. Too early to fully tell, but many questions
12/14/15
Michael Kudrna
Long oil prices is lookin to be a fairly safe investment if you have a long enough timeframe. More upside potential than downside $DTO $UWTI
12/14/15
leveraged ETFs are crazy dangerous for a week trade, let alone years. You realize that a 30% oil drop via UWTI needs a 10 x rise, don't you?
hence why I said 3x doesn't mean 3x
12/2/15
Michael Kudrna
Good early volume in $GRPN pressing shorts for a squeeze. Bulls need to run it to $3.50 to show strength as lots of resistance above that
11/11/15
Michael Kudrna
$GRPN FINALLY made a social media viral hit w/ their clip for man buns.This is FREE advertising that they need to learn how to do more often
11/4/15
Michael Kudrna
Holding remaining LT position in $ACLS into earnings. Will not look to add until after earnings clarity. Under the radar stock
I have more Put positions than at any time in the last 8 years.
market isnt on solid footing, it feels like a rug is waiting to be pulled out, possibly after NY as funds want to prop up mkt til yr is over
11/3/15
Michael Kudrna
$GRPN announces new CEO, could be VERY bullish due to the very high short percentage and q4 usually most bullish quarter of year
Earnings guidance seems very weak for Q4, that may force GRPN to be a results driven stock, not story stock as I outlined before
Huge Q3 revenue miss, terrible guidance, and lots of money wasted on buyback at higher prices. Going much lower.
10/28/15
Michael Kudrna
Great recovery by $IWM, if this can close above 116.30 comfortably, then risk buyers may start bidding up/supporting falling risk plays
10/27/15
Michael Kudrna
For a stock punished for barely missing estimates, $GRUB had some really serious growth YoY. There is likely opportunity LT in the bloodbath
10/14/15
Michael Kudrna
No market leadership, lots of drifting, poor economic news, stock values retreating. Will Yellen let the market fall on her watch? or QE?
10/14/15
Mother Janet Hubbard's cupboard is bare.. All the bullish pundits were on stage in Vegas last night calling for the Castro's economic plan
10/8/15
Michael Kudrna
$GRPN Due to the "intriguing" time of the downgrade, shares might start to diverge from $IWM. Many shorts are indebted to Cowen
$GRPN If the bulls can press in the key $4 to $4.15 area where the shorts will put up a fight, a bigger short squeeze can really be fueled
10/7/15
Michael Kudrna
$GRPN Trading range ceiling is near $4, if GRPN can get above 3.66 resistance. Bulls may be reluctant to press at $4 without good news
10/7/15
Michael Kudrna
Market showing real signs of upside potential here. Funds very interested in a strong Q4 to make their books look great for year end.
10/7/15
Well, considering where 85% of > "Funds" are they need to drive the market to yearly highs. You'd think they learned last year. BUT > NOT
10/7/15
To bad they control less than they think lol...I look forward to their tax loss selling
10/5/15
Michael Kudrna
Many shorts reloading positions, so expect a volatile market to either convert them to bulls or watch the bulls get trapped from past 2 days
10/5/15
Or not;)
I'm not sure yet about Q1 2016, but I think Q4 2015 will be strong at bare minimum just for funds to prop up the market for good results
9/30/15
Michael Kudrna
Be careful not to buy thinking we've reached a bottom and the market will just turn from here. It's easy to buy now and regret later $$
9/25/15
Michael Kudrna
Small caps continue to get punished more severely than the rest of the market. Until risk taking gets a bid under it, hard to trust upside
9/24/15
Michael Kudrna
$GRPN finally starts to actually communicate with it's shareholders. They need more of this, leadership: http://gr.pn/1VcEodE