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Miles P. Jennings

 
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  • CyberOptics Makes Breakthrough In 3D Optics Sensor Technology [View article]
    I just added the following section to the article:
    Subsequent Release of Investor Presentation

    In early November CyberOptics updated its investor presentation (PDF)http://bit.ly/1xE6aWS. For the first time, the company provided images of its 3D multi-camera sensors and MRS features. Note in particular pages 11-22. Now that the company is entering its marketing phase, I suspect there might be performance data available at some point. Also, note images on page 25 labeled "Image captured with Breakthrough 3D Sensor with MRS Technology".
    Nov 16, 2014. 05:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Isn't Anyone Talking About Newmont? [View article]
    Last week Gary Goldberg, CEO of Newmont, purchased 5,000 shares of NEM at 18.80.
    Nov 11, 2014. 07:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Isn't Anyone Talking About Newmont? [View article]
    Who knows, maybe Newmont will use some of the $1.4 billion mine sale proceeds to buy back some stock.
    Nov 10, 2014. 08:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Newmont Mining: Gold Price Will Remain The Main Driver Unless Conga Problem Gets Solved [View article]
    The possibility of a new partner in Conga might suggest that the new partner will earn their way in by absorbing ongoing costs until they have contributed as much as BVN and NEM. Having ownership of the massive Conga resource potential is a long-term asset for Newmont. Let's see, who would be a good partner with the World Bank, Newmont, and BVN?
    Nov 10, 2014. 08:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CyberOptics Makes Breakthrough In 3D Optics Sensor Technology [View article]
    Just by coincidence, today, Oct. 30, 2014, a new CyberOptics' patent application was published as follows:
    "Enhanced Illumination Control for Three-Dimensional Imaging" by Paul R. Haugen, #US 20140320633.
    http://bit.ly/1E5iLVN

    This relates to the earlier patent that I included in my article above. Here is a key statement from today's patent application:
    "...in each embodiment of the present invention, the performance of the height image sensor is enhanced by using a digital structured light projector to enhance the dynamic range of the sensor to accommodate the wide range of reflectivities found on circuit boards."

    It is worth noting that these patent applications are not just speculative or way in the future. The company said that they have already received a pre-launch MRS order which is planned for delivery in early 2015.

    CyberOptics will be changing the way circuit board fabricators inspect their products. In one patent application I saw where the new MRS method will eliminate the need for motion control equipment, thereby increasing the assembly line inspection time by over 60%.
    Oct 30, 2014. 08:50 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Newmont Mining: Conga Project Could Be Delayed For Another Four Years [View article]
    Newmont has a very interesting potential at the Yanacocha mine. ENGARITE. Apparently Newmont has solved the puzzle of Engarite/Copper production.
    http://bit.ly/1wr5HYm’s-verde-bioleach-proj...
    [This link may not open up. Just click on the December 2013 newsletter. It's there.]

    Also, my guess is the majors' stock prices have already priced in any of the concerns you mention. As an example, when Conga was first developed, Newmont soared to the 60/share area. Now the stock is 22. Newmont holders are not paying for Conga and know about planned gold mining cutback at Yanacocha, but I do suspect that the market has considered the potential of Engarite as a wild card for Newmont's Yanacocha mine. Note the source of this information---Newmont's newsletter/blog.
    Oct 20, 2014. 08:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coeur Mining: No Silver Polish Needed [View article]
    Link to Investor Day presentation today, Oct. 6th:
    http://bit.ly/1xhCjme
    Oct 6, 2014. 12:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coeur Mining: No Silver Polish Needed [View article]
    Since I was following Coeur Mining before they discovered Kensington, I'm surprised I didn't say 1913. I've asked SA to make the correction.
    Oct 6, 2014. 10:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coeur Mining: No Silver Polish Needed [View article]
    Coeur Mining is making progress on reducing its cost of production. For the June quarter this year the company's cost of silver production was 14.31 vs. 14.88 year over year. For gold its second-quarter cost was 1,008 this year vs. 1,227 last year. All-in sustaining costs per equivalent silver ounce was 19.89.

    For reference, First Majestic (AG)---a pure silver mining company---had second-quarter all-in sustaining costs of 18.18 per silver equivalent ounce. However, I don't think that AG carries any silver hedges except for some forward sales on certain metal byproducts.

    Reflecting in part the somewhat lower AISC for First Majestic, its stock is trading at 1.46x book value compared with Coeur's 0.29x ratio to book. It seems that Coeur's 71% discount to book value makes Coeur materially undervalued. For reference, Coeur's book value per share as of June 30, 2014 was 16.01.

    In other words, First Majestic's price to book is 5x that of Coeur Mining.

    It would be interesting to enter various financial ratios for all the 21 companies on the list. However, I just tried to quantify relative trading prices in the stocks during this period of sharp gold and silver price declines.
    Oct 5, 2014. 05:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coeur Mining: No Silver Polish Needed [View article]
    Good catch. I have a good friend with "Sanderson" as part of his email address.

    Thx. I will change that this afternoon.
    Oct 5, 2014. 04:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why You Should Buy Silver Before It's Too Late [View article]
    The reverse split was one for ten, not ten to one.
    Aug 30, 2014. 07:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Zygo: Overlooked, Cash-Heavy, And Ready To Rebound [View article]
    Here is the calculation if Zygo completed a buyback using only $60 million of their $90+ million cash hoard:

    $60,000,000/16.30=3.681 million shares
    Fully diluted shares now outstanding: 19.070 million
    Shares outstanding, pro-forma the buyback: 15.389 million
    Dec. quarterly GAAP $4.0 million net income pro-forma buyback: 26c/sh.

    Annualized Q413 EPS, pro-forma buyback: 1.04/sh.

    At 16.30, the pro-forma PE using EPS of 1.04= 15.67x

    For a company with $30 million pro-forma cash balance and no debt, 15.67x PE seems to be a modest PE for leading optics manufacturer. The earnings yield at 15.67x would be 6.4%. This is an excellent situation, especially with the prospect of 450mm standard coming in semiconductor industry.

    Given the Zygo's long history, maybe establishing a dividend might be the way to go. If they paid out 1/3 of their net income, the dividend yield on current earnings and current price would be 28c/sh per year, or 1.7%.

    For the six months ended 12/31/13, Zygo reported a net increase in cash of $7,385,000. If they had paid 7c per quarter in dividends during that six months, they would have paid out only $2.7 million or only 36% of net cash generated.

    Zygo seems to be a conservative way to "play" the possible conversion to 450mm. The current backlog may well start to reflect the boom times coming for advanced semiconductor equipment manufacturers.
    Mar 16, 2014. 12:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Short Coeur Mining On Declining Gold Prices And Weak Fundamentals [View article]
    The company recently stated that as of Dec. 31, 2013 they had $207 million in cash and equivalents.

    You might rethink your understanding that it is always better having a higher current ratio than your competitor. You said that Coeur has a 1.7x current ratio and their competitors a 3.91x. Before you can conclude that you must look at the absolute numbers---for example those high current-ratio companies may be borrowing long term debt to use in current operations (that would increase their current ratios). Also the current operations must be put in perspective of the overall balance sheet. Coeur owns world-class properties.

    Reflecting the company's high cash flow, they have now started a streaming company as a subsidiary. Coeur is in excellent financial shape, and they will now use some of their excess cash flow to fund streaming investments.

    You might want to own some out of the money calls if you're short Coeur---it'll help you sleep.
    Jan 29, 2014. 08:55 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Eastern Co. Weighed Down By $7.5M In Debt [View article]
    Marginal declines in financial ratios are always interesting but in Eastern's case you have to also look at absolute dollar amounts.

    Did you miss the $19,080,745 cash balance on their books on 9/30/13?

    So, if they paid off their entire $5 million of long-term debt they would still have $67,6 million of current assets versus current liabilities of $13.2 million---for a current ratio north of 5x.

    As I recall, that $5 million long-term debt was used to contribute to their pension fund, and that had certain tax benefits for the company.
    Dec 16, 2013. 06:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Barrick's Pascua-Lama Announcement: Will Have A Huge Impact On Future Gold And Silver Supply [View article]
    If ABX does not reach its 75% completion test, then ABX will be required to return $625 million to SLW (less adjustments for certain production), So SLW is in a great position. It is a good example of SLW's competence in structuring a deal.

    Here is language from SLW's press release:
    "According to the silver purchase agreement, if the requirements of the completion test have not been satisfied by the amended completion date, the agreement may be terminated by Silver Wheaton. In such an event, Silver Wheaton will be entitled to the return of the upfront cash consideration of $625 million less a credit for any silver delivered up to that date."
    Nov 3, 2013. 03:42 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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