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Moon Kil Woong

 
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Latest  |  Highest rated
  • Stocks: Bigger Picture Showing Cracks [View article]
    The weakness in small caps almost always preclude a drop. It is becoming clearer to most that a market downturn is in the making by next year if not earlier. Of course the Federal Reserve and government can keep it up a bit more, but they are already a bit overextended given their support this late into an up cycle. Further efforts will decrease their ability to fight after the downturn is in full bloom.
    Oct 12, 2014. 02:24 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Consumer Credit Is Bouncing Around [View instapost]
    The student loan growth is yet another abnormality caused by terrible behavior from the government who fueled it, then protected itself and creditors from their failure to manage it by preventing students from absolving themselves of unsustainable financial obligations. Further adding to the mess was seedy schools like Trump business school that took advantage of gullible students.

    It is a good thing student loan growth is flat lining. The terms of student loans is ridiculous for most and the cost of education is now absurd.
    Oct 12, 2014. 02:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Putting The Semiconductor Pullback In Perspective [View instapost]
    This pullback is nothing new in the industry and a bit overdue. Given current chips are adequate for everyone save the extreme gamer and mass data manipulators, once again, there needs to be a driver for upgrades. The bottleneck is currently the OS which Microsoft can improve and tries to rep off people on basic functionality by overcharging for spreadsheets and word processing. In reality, software is not keeping up with advances in hardware.
    Oct 12, 2014. 02:16 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is It Time To Just Give Up On Gold? [View article]
    Gold is a long term game or a just in case scenario protection. In the latter case it is best to keep physical because if the just in case ever happens there will be millions of contracts that can't repay in physical gold and possibly not even in money. In the near term case, it looks weak. Wait for the bottoming and then buy.
    Oct 12, 2014. 02:06 AM | 16 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jobless Claims falls 8K to 287K [View news story]
    Yawn, please look at percent of the population employed which is the real factor and one the government and federal reserve hopes you never look at. as for the comments about unemployment falling recently, some of it has to do with extended long term unemployment claims not being renewed by the government.
    Oct 2, 2014. 11:31 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • No Shock And Awe From Draghi [View article]
    LOL just like the US once QE is sanctioned by the EU under conditions their economy will move to where it is applicable and the addiction begins. Whether this is market expectation, a means to gain control by central banks, or speculators deciding free market signaling is going to be dead and shifting their focus on the central bank is debatable, but all of it is bad and is a rebuff of capitalism in favor of a planned economy despite what anyone says.
    Oct 2, 2014. 11:26 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Timing Report: 10-20% Correction Due To Extreme Sentiment And Leverage [View article]
    Low interest rates and low bond yields push people to taking more risk and leveraging. Add to that a central bank that encourages asset bubbles and makes it self evident they bail out stocks with even more liquidity and you get this type of excessive leverage and bullishness. It is a very very dangerous game to play because it not just extends the business cycle but correspondingly makes the down cycle worse.

    Don't blame the participants, blame the system that is biasing people towards economic ruin.
    Oct 2, 2014. 03:21 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Long The US Dollar... And Loving It [View article]
    Wrong and wrong. The US is not happy with the strong dollar save the fact it keeps bond interest low. In reality, this will suck away growth the same way the US devalued currency for all these years to be more competitive internationally. This lowers the growth in our economy, however, we can't complain too much because we have done it so much the US can no longer finance its own deficit by itself and the Federal Reserve is so leveraged it looks like a brokerage firm before the last crash.

    It's good we are all long dollars because we are in the US, but it is decidedly bad if you want a job or want to keep your job. This is a signal that the Federal Reserve and government can't keep this extended false upturn going much longer. As stated, I predict things to start looking bad by next year.
    Oct 1, 2014. 12:42 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Retirees, Don't Count On Stocks To Deliver From Here [View article]
    Sadly many retirees and many employees are more vested in stocks than they thing as their money goes into mutual funds and the like. This in many ways is worse than stocks because they charge or reduce your value in fees and charges as well as underperform the market and take inordinate risk. Betting on who knows what and getting taxed on gains every year is a good way to lose. It's amazing that people buy the garbage investment professionals preach. They are preaching lies to put money in their own pocketbook. That money comes right out of their clients. Either they are stupid blind consultants or they are liars in part of the rip off game.
    Oct 1, 2014. 12:36 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Evans suggests June as time of first rate hike [View news story]
    You mean that rates should reflect true costs of capital and risk? My answer is a simple yes it should. It's called free market capitalism. What you are professing is socialism without representation. Unfortunately, the beneficiary of these low rates are not you or the public. Strangely, just like the communist USSR, all the benefits go to those connected to the government.
    Sep 30, 2014. 03:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Precious Metals Prices Fall: Gold At A Critical Juncture [View article]
    I think many people have said such a thing but it falls on deaf ears because too much money is already bet on it.

    My solution is that actually banks should not be allowed to make bets on anything, only loans. When bankers are allowed to gamble say goodbye, because every time they lose they will fleece taxpayers. It's up to those the banks loan to make the mistakes. No banker in their right mind would lend to TBTF banks or anyone else that are making these types of bets.
    Sep 30, 2014. 03:45 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rail Traffic And Jobless Claims Still Point To Expansion [View article]
    Why are you so positive on these, rail traffic is in a slight decline and if it holds to Christmas it means the market built up inventory for false growth prospects yet again. As for jobless claims, as many have pointed to, it is being manipulated. One should look at total employment and total joblessness in the country if you want the real facts. One could also look at the stunted medium income as well. Inflation will rip the economy to shreds since household income hasn't grown a bit and has fallen if you strip out all those feeding off the government special deals and Federal Reserve funny money dole outs.

    America's rotting from the inside not from capitalism, but from dirty rotten socialism bent on enriching wealthy connected government insiders at the cost to every other individual just like every other communist regime. GM, TBTF banks, Fannie, Freddie, Federal reserve, and AIG move to the old communist and corrupt USSR. Sorry, your dream world already died once. Don't recreate it here.
    Sep 30, 2014. 03:41 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peak Debt - Why The Keynesian Money Printers Are Done [View article]
    Nice article. It is amazing to see these central banks continue to spork (even the utensil is fakey) out money to their bank friends when it clearly doesn't help the economy or anyone anymore. In fact, all those addicted to it just demand more free liquidity. The last thing Europe needs is more debt and more government intervention. Their economies are already so riddled with socialist programs and government and public debt they are beyond handling.

    Sadly the world needs a resumption back to the mean, requiring a collapse of all the QE, money printing, and stimulus so that real economic signals can get around and business can once again plan based on market fact rather than the mood of central bankers and politicians which is always to stuff their faces and their friends faces at the cost of everyone else.
    Sep 29, 2014. 12:19 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Precious Metals Prices Fall: Gold At A Critical Juncture [View article]
    Very good point. This is the problem with derivatives, the tendency is for them to continue to get divorced from reality. The issue is the solvency of those guaranteeing the paper and if or when they will ever unwind them. Right now it seems they plan to never unwind and don't care about solvency meaning they are likely TBTF banks or others with guarantees with the government to put the loss on taxpayers.
    Sep 29, 2014. 12:10 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Evans suggests June as time of first rate hike [View news story]
    Please, basically they've been threatening a rate hike for ages and are just waiting for the cyclical downturn to justify not putting it in place. The only problem with that is they won't have anything but QE to stimulate the economy at these already artificially low rates. They should all go back to school before ruining capitalism in America.
    Sep 29, 2014. 12:05 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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