Seeking Alpha

Nicholas Pardini

 
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  • Short E-Trade Due To Creative Destruction From Robinhood App
       • Thu, May. 8 ETFC 30 Comments

    Summary

    • Silicon Valley Start-Up Robinhood will offer completely free trading for cash stock positions.
    • This is an existential threat to E-Trade whose business is competing mainly on price.
    • E-Trade's valuation and competitive position make it a better short than other discount brokers.
  • Bearish On The Market? Russell 2000 Better Short Than S&P 500
    Tue, May. 6 IWM 5 Comments

    Summary

    • Our outlook remains bearish on the US market.
    • Overvaluation of Russell is more extreme than S&P 500.
    • Composition of Russell 2000 companies are more sensitive to business cycle than S&P.
  • High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity With Mercadolibre
    Mon, May. 5 MELI 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Mercadolibre is the eBay of Latin America and one of the best growth companies in the region.
    • Depressed prices are due to fears of effect of Venezuela turmoil on earnings from that country.
    • We recommend hedging any long positions with a protective put.
  • Is It Time To Invest In The Philippines?
    Thu, May. 1 EPHE 22 Comments

    Summary

    • The Philippines have a stronger current account balance and FOREX reserves than other emerging markets.
    • Bright spots in economy include labor competitiveness and increased tourism, but dependence on remittances a concern.
    • Technical breakout supports fundamental strength in Philippines stock market.
  • Video: Interview With Tres Knippa On Japanese Government Bond Market
    Thu, Apr. 24 Comment!

    Summary

    • Japanese Government Bond Market will collapse either in absolute terms or worthless yen.
    • Best way to short Japanese Government bonds are through Tokyo and Singapore listed futures and options.
    • Buying gold in yen may be the best way for retail investors to play this trade.
  • Value Stock Opportunities In Argentina
    Wed, Apr. 16 AGRO, ARCO, ARGT 5 Comments

    Summary

    • Argentina's economy is in bad shape and in process of bottoming out.
    • This time of weakness and negative sentiment is buying opportunity for Argentine stock market.
    • Arcos Dorados, Mercadolibre, and Adeco Agro are three companies that stand out.
  • Platinum Has Most Potential Amongst The Metals
    Wed, Apr. 9 PPLT 10 Comments

    Summary

    • Platinum is cheap on relative basis historically versus gold.
    • Platinum is rarer and more uses than gold, and therefore has more upside.
    • Geopolitical risk in Russia and South Africa also will support platinum prices.
  • Turmoil In China Setting Up Buying Opportunity For Southern Copper
    Tue, Apr. 1 SCCO 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Depressed copper prices provide a buying opportunity for Southern Copper.
    • Despite weak prices, financial fundamentals for Southern Copper solid.
    • Southern Copper is the largest pure-play copper miner on the NYSE.
  • Detailed Case To Short The S&P 500: This Time Isn't Different
    Editors' Pick • Mon, Mar. 24 SPY 178 Comments

    Summary

    • US market is overvalued due to non-fundamental factors involving Central Banks.
    • Current Fed policies are causing stagflation which has eliminated disposable income for the average consumer.
    • Valuations are rich even in an environment of weakening earnings.
  • Corruption Scandal Creates A Buying Opportunity For CNOOC
    Mon, Mar. 17 CEO 12 Comments

    Summary

    • CNOOC is among the emerging market oil majors that is near mulit-year lows despite high oil prices.
    • Corruptions scandal amongst management and China hard landing concerns have hurt stock price, but not core business.
    • Stock is trading at bargain P/E and oversold technically, so buying opportunity is coming shortly.
  • Emerging Market Buying Opportunity: Have Indonesian Markets Bottomed Out?
    Wed, Feb. 19 IDX 1 Comment
  • Capitalize Off Of Economic Decline Of France By Shorting French Equities
    Mon, Feb. 10 EWQ 4 Comments
  • Why The History Of Fed Politics Makes Janet Yellen's Playbook Predictable
    Dec. 10, 2013 SPY 9 Comments
  • Invest In Uranium
    Dec. 2, 2013 URA 9 Comments
  • How Iran Nuclear Deal Affects Global Markets
    Nov. 25, 2013 DBO 1 Comment
  • Tech Bubble 2.0 Is Here
    Nov. 19, 2013 SOCL 6 Comments
  • Long Potash On The Recovery Of Agriculture
    Nov. 8, 2013 POT 8 Comments
  • IBM Is The Only Value Left On The Dow
    Oct. 25, 2013 IBM 33 Comments
  • New Zealand Dollar Is A Buy As The Strongest Major Currency
    Oct. 17, 2013 ENZL 4 Comments
  • Structural Flaws In Labor Market Hold Back South Africa
    Jul. 8, 2013 EZA 2 Comments
  • Ambev A Buy Off This Dip
    Jun. 20, 2013 ABEV 7 Comments
  • Profit Off The Decline Of Telecom Through Shorting US Cellular
       • Jun. 6, 2013 USM 7 Comments
  • France Is The New Sick Man Of The EU
    May. 30, 2013 EWQ 4 Comments
  • How The Fed Directly Subsidizes Corporate Profits And Why The Game Is Over
    May. 23, 2013 IWM, QQQ, TLT 76 Comments
  • Investing In Increased Tattoo Removal With Cynosure
       • May. 16, 2013 CYNO 10 Comments
  • Resistance On Yen Caps Risk Assets
    May. 8, 2013 FXY Comment!
  • Turmoil In Egypt Creating A Buying Opportunity
    May. 7, 2013 EGPT 6 Comments
  • Buying Opportunity For Silver Wheaton
    Apr. 24, 2013 SLW 10 Comments
  • Bank Of Japan Losing Control Of Bond Market Spells End Game For Japan
    Apr. 11, 2013 DXJ, FXY, JGBS 18 Comments
  • Quantitative Easing Will Never End
    Apr. 1, 2013 23 Comments
  • Cyprus Seizure Is Dawn Of European Bank Run
    Mar. 18, 2013 FXE 21 Comments
  • Greece Is Hardly An Emerging Market
    Mar. 6, 2013 GREK 10 Comments