I have been a technology investor for over twenty-five years. My investing style includes a combination of Fundamental Analysis with Technical Analysis used for entry and exit points. I have followed several stocks involved in patent litigations including Rambus (RMBS), Interdigital (IDCC), Tessera (TSRA) and Star Scientific (STSI). I follow the actual trials, read the transcripts and the briefs and attempt to handicap the outcomes. I attend various hearings, trials, and oral arguments whenever possible, including appeals to the CAFC, and occasionally attend hearings/trials at various District Courts and the ITC. I have attended over 30 oral arguments at the CAFC and I have a good feel for the various judges.
Star Scientific (STSI) is my favorite stock for 2014. STSI has transformed themselves from a tobacco company to a Biopharma company in 2012 and 2013, and this year we will see the true value of the company now that scientific researchers are running the company. Star Scientific will also probably be changing their name in 2014, and may choose to become known as Rock Creek Pharmaceuticals (their division that produces Anatabloc). Although STSI has exited the tobacco manufacturing business (and settled with RJR for a paltry $5 Million), they still own key tobacco curing patents that have been validated by both the USPTO and the CAFC, and these patents don't expire until 2018. Star's new TSNA BDL patent (granted in 2012 by the USPTO) doesn't expire until 2030. I expect STSI (Rock Creek) to have a banner year in 2014 as the world starts to learn the miraculous ability of Anatabloc to treat a variety of auto immune diseases and other conditions associated with NF-kB inflammation (including MS, Rheumatoid Arthritis, Asthma, Crohn's, Parkinson's, Traumatic Brain Injury, Alzheimer's, and various types of cancer, etc). Rock Creek Pharmaceuticals should have more and more peer reviewed medical journal articles on the efficacy of Anatabloc coming out in 2014. I also expect that Rock Creek will file several drug applications (IND's) with the FDA in 2014. In addition, I expect Rock Creek Pharmaceuticals to team or partner with one or more Big Pharma companies for various human ailments as they pursue these IND's. For all these reasons, I expect Star Scientific to be at least a $10 stock before the end of the 2014, and possibly much higher than that.