Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
Especially given the state of the current world markets (notice how terrible emerging markets and even Canada are starting to look?), I think it will be very interesting to see when Apple becomes more correlated with the broad market. During the past couple years, it almost looks like the stock just wants to do its own thing, regardless of economic data. What if emerging markets went sour? Would the company be able to push through just fine like it has or would the impact be enough to hurt their earnings. Just a random thought =D
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
You might like these patterns. They're just historical probabilities of how stocks often react to positive and negative earnings surprises, as well as analysts upgrades and downgrades. Bulkowski's a statistical genius, and has a lot of different theories tested.
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
Yes, I don't think that the board at Apple has any intentions of turning their stock into a high yield, low growth, telecom issue. Something to definitely consider for those trying to make some short term gambles.
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
Would you ever consider Apple to maybe follow the same path as Microsoft in the near future and perhaps reach a "mature" point where its less of a growth play and perhaps more of a blue chip value play? Or do you think it's still way to early to be thinking about that?
Macroeconomics, Technicals And Seasonality - All Pointing To Higher Crude Prices [View article]
Partially true. I think that one of the main reasons why is because the velocity of the US money supply, or in other words, the number of transactions in our economy, has plummeted.
Macroeconomics, Technicals And Seasonality - All Pointing To Higher Crude Prices [View article]
Absolutely, unlike a lot of seasonal patterns, like the proverbial "sell in May," this one's pretty darn intuitive. I'm really eager to see how the Chinese bounce will impact oil demand in the coming months!
Elliott Wave Analysis Of The S & P 500 – New Market Projections [View instapost]
Wow, really? And you came all the way here to an SA article? Very cool! At this point, it's looking slightly peaky in the short term, but 1552 is still well within reach!
Stock Market Yearly And Cyclical Seasonality; Your Last Chance To Buy [View article]
Right, right. It is only after the zero line has been crossed that there is any positive bias. The line essentially shows the detrended position of the index relative to a yearly centered moving average. A rising slope, while below the zero axis is akin to the price series staying below that average, but becoming closer than before.
U.S. Dollar - Most Vulnerable In 2 Years To Large Decline [View article]
Wow! Just read your article, and very fascinating. Even though it was just a foot note, I especially enjoyed the comments about economic cycles and price levels. I think that we're on the same page with respect to the long term trend of commodities and the dollar. Deflation!
Actually my friend, if you are familiar with Elliott Wave analysis, the "triangle" formation is supposedly almost always the last consolidation before a reversal in trend. That would mean that the US dollar only have one final push downward before reversing the trend.
Dollar up, commodities down (maybe starting in 2013), and there's our deflation!
Apple – Ready To Bounce In Near Term - Targets Inside [View instapost]
Good heavens yes. I will be completely honest, for the first three years trading, the most common phrase that described my trading was "I was right but I still lost money!" Tough work. Anyway, thank you for the comment, and glad you liked the article!
The Inflationary Thrust: How To Invest In The QE3 Created Bull Market [View article]
I LOVE these replies! Shows that the crew on Seeking Alpha are not just drinking the kool-aid. I just saw some research from John Hussman (think that's the right spelling) on the GDP effect of rising oil prices vs. rising prices in the stock market.
Result? Higher oil prices damage consumption and the economy much more than higher stock prices benefit it.
AAA/BBB Bond Spreads Quietly Warning Of Future Economic Weakness [View article]
Okay, I can agree with that. Pretty interesting the differences between the ETFS and that index! And thanks for the chart, I can use that from now on too!
AAA/BBB Bond Spreads Quietly Warning Of Future Economic Weakness [View article]
Absolutely my friend. I remember reading some work by John Murphy on inter-market analysis last year and seeing that "bonds top first." You're right, the Bernanke has basically killed that relationship in the treasury market. That's probably the reason why I'd be hesitant with TBT or TMV, since they are both treasury based. But hey, as people start worrying about the fiscal cliff, treasuries might be falling too!
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
http://bit.ly/ZlhIzG
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
Historical Probabilities And Community Sentiment Regarding Apple's Earnings Announcement [View article]
Macroeconomics, Technicals And Seasonality - All Pointing To Higher Crude Prices [View article]
http://bit.ly/V73Oea
That's why hearing all of these positive economic and heightened consumer confidence reports worldwide makes me think that this time may be different.
Always something interesting to think about how the fed has done what it has and controlled prices simultaneously...
Macroeconomics, Technicals And Seasonality - All Pointing To Higher Crude Prices [View article]
Macroeconomics, Technicals And Seasonality - All Pointing To Higher Crude Prices [View article]
Elliott Wave Analysis Of The S & P 500 – New Market Projections [View instapost]
Thanks for the comment!
Does The Marcellus Success Condemn Natural Gas Prices? [View article]
Stock Market Yearly And Cyclical Seasonality; Your Last Chance To Buy [View article]
U.S. Dollar - Most Vulnerable In 2 Years To Large Decline [View article]
Actually my friend, if you are familiar with Elliott Wave analysis, the "triangle" formation is supposedly almost always the last consolidation before a reversal in trend. That would mean that the US dollar only have one final push downward before reversing the trend.
Dollar up, commodities down (maybe starting in 2013), and there's our deflation!
Thanks for the comment!
Apple – Ready To Bounce In Near Term - Targets Inside [View instapost]
The Inflationary Thrust: How To Invest In The QE3 Created Bull Market [View article]
Result? Higher oil prices damage consumption and the economy much more than higher stock prices benefit it.
AAA/BBB Bond Spreads Quietly Warning Of Future Economic Weakness [View article]
AAA/BBB Bond Spreads Quietly Warning Of Future Economic Weakness [View article]