I am a Portuguese independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions. I've been trading professionally for about 20 years and also launched www.thinkfn.com in 2004. Thinkfn (Think Finance) carries thousands of educational articles on finance and the markets. I trade futures, stocks from the long and short side, forex and options. I trade both discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader, Quantshare and others). I can be reached at paulo.santosATthinkfn.com or followed on Twitter at twitter.com/ThinkFinance999
Over 5 years' experience on the buyside. Spent nearly 3 years of my professional career as a Research Analyst investing in public markets (stocks) and the other 2 in the private arena (VC/growth equity and distressed/restructurings). I am a highly passionate investor and always consider both the macroeconomic backdrop coupled with in-depth fundamental research to identify the best investment ideas, which are generally contrarian, value-biased, opportunistic or event-driven.
I specialize in understanding the dynamics that underlie and drive investment performance in today's global financial markets, despite a muddling of views among regulators and investors alike in the new, free money era. Following the global financial crisis, expansionary monetary policies of unprecedented magnitude implemented by major central banks across the globe (primarily those of the so called "core economies") have completely redefined the ways in which the global markets operate. I am not your typical hedge fund or money manager who stamps a disclaimer on investment performance with the assertion that "we are bottom-up, fundamental equity investors" who "do not attempt to forecast the markets." I go far beyond this basic, fundamental analysis and offer unique foresight into major anticipated (equity and credit) market movements BEFORE they materialize.
I have a with a knack for identifying under- and over-valued positions and a strong understanding of macroeconomics. I constantly analyze and evaluate central bank policies globally as well as global trade conditions. I have unique experience particular to sectors such as energy (both conventional and non-conventional), agriculture, infrastructure and real assets (industrials, real estate, water infrastructure, roads/railways, etc.), in addition to chemicals and consumer products; however, I've been a generalist research analyst for the majority of my career to date. Options are a trading mechanism of choice, particularly when I have visible catalysts for near-term price appreciation (or depreciation in the case of puts). I also utilize options strategies to earn large profits with limited downside risk.
My focus is on real estate and REIT investments. I serve on the boards of a number of private and closely held real estate corporations and LLCs. I also serve as a trustee and/or on the investment committee of a number of non-profit organizations.