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Peter Brock

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  • Peter Brock
    After 12 years and six months, the Dow has produced a measly 0.78% annual return, dividends included. $SPY http://lostdecades.com
    7/8/12
    Reply (1)
    • FortSumter: buy and hold, brother, buy and hold........obviously works great.
      7/8/12
      • Peter Brock
        Moody's Aaa weekly rate hits new cycle low, lowest since the 1950s. Intrinsic value of the S&P now 2275. http://brockvalue.com
        6/26/12
        Reply
          • Peter Brock
            Market mired in gloom, 41% below fair value. Upside beckons. $SPY $DIA http://brockvalue.com
            6/20/12
            Reply (5)
          • View all 5 replies
            • jdub2788: i heard there was no recession.
              6/20/12
            • DaLatin: jdub,there r 2 Americas.With GDP under 3% we don't keep up with pop growth.There is a recession 4 1/2 the US & happy days 4 other 1/2. :>(
              6/20/12
              • Peter Brock
                According to a decades-long link between stock prices, interest rates and GDP, the SP500 is 41% undervalued. $SPY http://brockvalue.com
                6/11/12
                Reply
                  • Peter Brock
                    Moody's Aaa down to levels last seen in 1958. Fair value of the SP500 a lofty 72% above today's close. $SPY $DIA http://brockvalue.com
                    6/7/12
                    Reply (1)
                    • pk123: I would like to short Moody left and right... they are always behind and useless
                      6/8/12
                      • Peter Brock
                        Lost Decade Tracker: 12 years, 5 months = 0.42% per year including dividends and inflation $SPY $DIA http://lostdecades.com
                        6/5/12
                        Reply
                          • Peter Brock
                            "The Kneeling Bull" - the May issue of my new monthly summary of stock market conditions is here. $SPY $DIA http://bit.ly/L9se4n
                            6/2/12
                            Reply
                              • Peter Brock
                                My weekly reading of intrinsic value puts the SP500 40% below what history says is fair. $SPY $DIA http://brockvalue
                                5/29/12
                                Reply
                                  • Peter Brock
                                    High-grade corporate yields now at 50 year lows, pushing up intrinsic value of SP500 to 2228, 70% higher. $SPY $DIA http://brockvalue.com
                                    5/22/12
                                    Reply (1)
                                    • Hillbilly Stock Star: I expect heavy offshore buying of USA short Treasuries! LoL!
                                      5/22/12
                                      • Peter Brock
                                        Lower interest rates and weak stocks have increased intrinsic value of SP500 to 2141, 58% above market $SPY $DIA http://brockvalue.com
                                        5/16/12
                                        Reply
                                          • Peter Brock
                                            Fair value for the SP 500 unchanged this week, at 2098.11. That puts the market 35% below. $SPY http://brockvalue.com
                                            5/8/12
                                            Reply (2)
                                            • Bob de'Long: Obviously, you don't believe that the market determines value. Yours is the post-moderenist view of 2 + 2 = 5.
                                              5/8/12
                                            • Peter Brock: Very funny. My view is actually empirical. Intrinsic value is calculated. Market value, on the other hand, is any number it feels like.
                                              5/8/12
                                              • Peter Brock
                                                From the top 12 yrs 4 mos ago, the Dow has returned 0.91% per year, real total return. http://lostdecades.com
                                                5/7/12
                                                Reply
                                                  • Peter Brock
                                                    Running a 75/25 equity/bond ratio since October 21. I $SPY with my little eye.
                                                    5/3/12
                                                    Reply
                                                      • Peter Brock
                                                        The intrinsic value of the S&P 500 ($SPY), as defined by moi, is 2098, almost 50% higher than Friday's close at 1403.
                                                        4/30/12
                                                        Reply (6)
                                                      • View all 6 replies
                                                        • Canary Cash: Tho I'm being cynical..gotta stop that to some degree
                                                          4/30/12
                                                        • Peter Brock: I agree with you Canary Cash. It doesn't pay to argue with the market. Intrinsic value is information, not a trading plan.
                                                          5/1/12