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  • Is Dubai's Default a Black Swan Event? [View article]
    A Black Swan yes because the $3.5 billion Dubai World debt in December was widely expected to be repaid and it will now not be repaid. $60 billion is a big hole to fill for the global banks who will be presumably now told that they are getting cents on the dollar and will have to wait for that. Indeed we do not know what they will be told yet, hence this is a Black Swan. But this also has much wider implications for global bond markets. No major financial crisis in history has ever ended without a bond crash, this is the start of a failure of government bond markets, is it not? No wonder Rothchild's is advising Dubai on this now, for more see:

    arabianmoney.net/2009/.../
    Nov 28 00:40 am |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • 12 Stocks in Focus for the Obama Era [View article]
    Marc Faber is still hot on commodities but he thinks President Obama is a disaster for the US, hear the latest comments from this brilliant commentator on this post:
    arabianmoney.net/2009/.../
    May 17 01:06 am |Rating: +5 -2 |Link to Comment
  • A Bull Market That Few Are Buying [View article]
    Buy some gold and silver this time for downside protection, this will be the replacement for bonds as a safe haven, see:
    arabianmoney.net/2009/.../
    May 13 02:21 am |Rating: +1 -2 |Link to Comment
  • Nothing Suggests We're Anywhere Near the Bottom  [View article]
    Some sense at last, also see:
    arabianmoney.net/2009/.../
    May 12 08:28 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Why This Rally Is Unsustainable [View article]
    arabianmoney.net/2009/.../
    May 10 09:44 am |Rating: +1 -1 |Link to Comment
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