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  • Trillium Therapeutics Is An Overvalued Biotech Stock [View article]
    I wanted to include an update for anyone who is currently 'short' TRIL. The first downside target to consider covering part of your position, is around $20.00 per share. There are no positive catalysts to propel this overvalued stock any higher in the short term, and many investors who bought in at these inflated prices will be looking for the exits on continued weakness. $20.00 is an area where you could see some support and have some 'new' speculators take a run at driving prices higher. The conference that took place this past weekend was obviously a 'dud' or a 'sell the news' event and what little boost the share price received is long gone now.

    However, I fully expect for TRIL to be trading at $15.00 or lower within 30 days time from today. If you can hold your short positions until that time, you will have very nice profits to lock in. There is nothing but hope and speculation holding this price up, and we all know what happens when this biotech bubble bursts (there are signs already of this happening now) and people 'sober up' and realize that a company with a pie-in-the-sky dream and effective marketing team can only get so far. An issue that was a penny stock 6 months ago before a reverse-split and that will have absolutely 0 revenues for several years has no business with the market cap that TRIL currently enjoys.

    Longs, it is time to look in the mirror and ask yourself, 'Why did I buy TRIL?'

    If it was because of momentum, hope, fantasy, dreams, and because all biotechs just 'go up'. Get out now!

    If you have a several year timeline for very low probability 'lottery ticket' type bets, and are willing to hold on through thick and thin with TRIL, then you have a reason to hold on and watch this price do as it may.

    Best of luck to all.
    Apr 21, 2015. 04:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trillium Therapeutics Is An Overvalued Biotech Stock [View article]
    What company earnings are you referring to?
    Apr 14, 2015. 03:54 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Trillium Therapeutics Is An Overvalued Biotech Stock [View article]
    Less than 7% reported here:
    http://yhoo.it/1IJ8Utv

    202% reported here: http://bit.ly/1IJ8Utx

    70% according to your 'slideshow' that is dated Feb 9th.

    3 numbers, does anyone have a link to accurate and complete current institutional ownership?
    Apr 14, 2015. 03:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Trillium Therapeutics Is An Overvalued Biotech Stock [View article]
    There is an obvious reason this company has nearly 0 institutional ownership.....
    Apr 14, 2015. 02:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Trillium Therapeutics Is An Overvalued Biotech Stock [View article]
    My position in the stock is irrelevant to the facts presented in the article, did you find anything that you disagreed with fundamentally that you can use facts to contradict? The gist of the article is that 99% of the investors who are long this company have no idea why, just that it is a 'hot' biotech stock and they are hoping in the 'greater fool' theory that someone else more foolish will pay an even higher price at some point in the future. This dangerous game of musical chairs and rampant speculation always ends up with the same result....
    Apr 14, 2015. 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Danger: Titan Machinery Bond Hits All-Time Low [View article]
    Thank you. Just bought 1500 shares at 12.50. I am pretty much guaranteed to make money, just a question of how much. For a seeking alpha hit job you sure don't make too many insightful arguments, but just point to basic facts that are already PUBLICLY KNOWN. But you did scare a few sheep into panic selling, so for that, I thank you.
    Aug 27, 2014. 10:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • China Mobile Games: De-Listing Ahead? [View article]
    You guys are pathetic. Delisting? You gotta be smoking something. This will be back at $20 before you know it. Just a little uncertainly at the moment, but you are suppose to BUY the panic when the other sheep dump at the bottom. Not piss & moan like scaredy cats. Geez get long and make $$$$ dont be a sheep
    Jul 1, 2014. 12:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Intrepid Potash Cheap Enough? [View article]
    Pot is a great buy here, and is likely the 'safest bet'. IPI has more upside, as being a 'higher cost' producer the shorts and panic stricken public has thrown this baby out with the bathwater. There are still lots of unknowns as far as future pricing and the cartels will shake out, but IPI has certainly been shot first, and questions will be asked later.

    Buy IPI below $12 while you can, it will be back at $15+ in a months time.
    Aug 7, 2013. 02:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Linn Energy: Many Ponzi-Like MLP Blow-Ups To Follow [View article]

    "You don't need to be a genius to have figured out that LINE was a stock that was overvalued and that its owners were looking for trouble."

    Hard to believe this can be anything but Monday Morning Quarterbacking at its finest. Where was your article on how obviously LINE was blatantly overvalued before it was cut in half recently?

    I commend your strategy of 'stirring up the hornets nest' to get increased page views and revenues from SA. If you are a satirist and playing devil's advocate I respect your success, but something here reeks of capitalist manipulation of the masses without caring to portray anything of a balanced or in depth analysis.

    Hard for me not to see this article and not think that MLP's are ripe for a nice bounce soon. I would buy BBEP below $16.00 and enjoy the ride back up to $18+ It will be there in a months time.
    Jul 6, 2013. 02:12 AM | 16 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ganging Up On Gold [View article]
    Bought a Computer? LOL

    I'd love to see a chart showing the correlation between computers and gold as an investment over the past 10 years....
    Jun 27, 2013. 02:24 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Generational Buying Opportunity In Gastar Exploration [View article]
    Bottom line is that this lawsuit changes the whole ball game in regard to GST. I am not a lawyer and do not know enough about these issues to make a reasonable assumption about who is right/ wrong, and or what a potential lengthy legal battle could cost to a company who is not cash rich.

    The reason for the price depression vs. the asset base/ future potential in the past 6 months is now apparent for those who wondered how this stock was trading so far below intrinsic value (me included). Obviously some big players, lawyers, CHK executives, GST executives, potentially hedge funds shorting, etc. all knew about the impending law suit and the effect it would have when the sheep got wind of it.

    While most panic selling and over-reaction has likely been concluded at this point, there is just no true clarity to the situation other than initial salvos by the companies involved.

    Also worrisome is the fact that Gastar has settled other business related lawsuits in the past for millions of dollars. Even if they win and get this case dismissed it will surely cost more millions of dollars in lawyers fees and/or settlement costs. GST's management is looking increasingly incompetent and non-professional in my opinion. They need to come out with much stronger public statements, press releases, clarity about lawsuit and the company's prospects, and probably replace an exec or two with some new blood.

    I honestly think the best play here is to wait for pertinent news to come out regarding the lawsuit's potential outcome or proceedings, and then make your purchase decision. Buying now, or anytime before there is a much clearer picture of where this is headed, and what it will cost the company, is purely speculative in it's purest form. The good news is the company really doesn't have a huge debt load for its situation, and BK seems highly unlikely in the current circumstances. The trading of the preferred also leads me to believe investors aren't thinking BK is a possibility anywhere in the near future. The yield is only 13% and does not indicate any true panic on the debt levels, cash situation.

    I am fine with buying above $1.00 as long as I know this legal issue will be resolved in a satisfactory manner, and not irreparably damage GST's prospects going forward.

    It is most important to be on the RIGHT side of the trade, not get the lowest possible price IMO.

    Having said that, taking a highly speculative position with the common stock very well may have it's purpose within your investing criteria depending on your personal situation. But I would not risk money you are not perfectly willing to lose for the chance of getting 5x and higher returns long-term.

    I am personally out of this stock, but am waiting and researching to be prepared to possibly purchase additional shares as things develop.

    Sometimes price action is a future indicator for news, as we all know that insider trading is alive and well on greedy wall street, and it is only the bag-holding shareholders who truly get burned over and over again. Tread with caution here. If you initiate a long position, give yourself a reasonable stop with good risk/reward ratio.

    IE Buy @ $0.70, stop order at $0.60, profit target minimum of $1.15.

    Best of luck.
    Nov 26, 2012. 02:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why ATP Oil May Not Go Bankrupt [View article]
    The preferred shares, ATPGP, traded at $5.00 friday. This is with a $2.00 dividend that will be paid in September, before the looming bond payment. So really you are risking $3.00 to own a $100 par value preferred convertible that pays $8.00 per year. Just buy it and if they can keep the doors open for 6 months you are paid back for your investment. I think thats the way to play ATPG for now. Or using options. Great article though.
    Jul 30, 2012. 09:37 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Generational Buying Opportunity In Gastar Exploration [View article]
    I am a pretty big fan of the preferred as well. Hard to find anywhere else in the world with an 8% yield I find to be extremely safe based on fundamentals. Best of luck!
    Jul 25, 2012. 10:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't trust this rally; it's a major bull trap, says currency analyst Christopher Vecchio. Pressures on global financial markets are too intense to support a sustained run in stocks right now. All it will take is just a few gusts of negativity to derail the entire train.  [View news story]
    Just another Monday Morning Quarterback if you ask me. Look into the future moron, not the past.
    Jun 13, 2012. 01:26 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake Energy (CHK) is saddled with $1.4B of previously unreported liabilities due over coming years from off-balance sheet deals, WSJ reports. The company has commitments to banks requiring delivery of specific amounts of oil and gas. These so-called VPPs are essentially debts, with payments due in fuel rather than cash. Shares take a tumble, -1.7%.  [View news story]
    How do you think Goldman Sachs got started?
    May 12, 2012. 02:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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130 Comments
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