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  • Equity Momentum Strategies - February 2013 [View article]
    Thanks for your continued readership Augustus
    Feb 5 06:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity Momentum Strategies - February 2013 [View article]
    Yes - the results are fairly close - quarterly was superior in this instance, but not materially so - I use 1-3 month lookback that is consistent with academic research - this article will be updated monthly so wanted to use monthly holding period
    Feb 5 06:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The High Yield Bond Trade For The Long Run [View article]
    Thanks Eric - I used credit loss rates, which factor in loss severity - you are right about the market being dominated by ETF - thanks for reading
    Feb 5 06:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity/Fixed Income Momentum - February 2013 [View article]
    Drawdowns are oft requested. I am going to put a separate article together as the lower drawdowns is a strength of these trades. Thanks for reading and commenting,
    Feb 4 06:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity/Fixed Income Momentum - February 2013 [View article]
    John - part of that is just the way I have presented the data in cumulative return form - I will double check the 1990s return alone and repost. Thanks for reading and commenting,
    Feb 4 06:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity/Fixed Income Momentum - February 2013 [View article]
    A few thoughts:

    1) If the market completely understood the alpha that could be generated, we would see the excess return start to reduce.
    2) A fund manager would have to turn over the portfolio each period to fully replicate the strategy - hard to scale up a fund with that requirement - although using derivatives might be a decent alternative.
    3) I think we will see more funds begin to try and capture this phenomenon.
    4) I have never seen some of these ideas written about (although the concepts have been well vetted and researched)- you are getting some free Ploutos originals.
    Feb 4 06:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity/Fixed Income Momentum - February 2013 [View article]
    I will put together an overview article of these strategies that includes drawdowns. Good points.
    Feb 4 06:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity/Fixed Income Momentum - February 2013 [View article]
    Thank you Varan
    Feb 4 06:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity/Fixed Income Momentum - February 2013 [View article]
    Donraphaelo - I do not believe that there is an optimal day. I use the first of the month because of the ease of getting historical returns for the backtest. Academic literature suggests 1-3 month look back and 1-3 mo forward holding period. Thanks for reading.
    Feb 4 06:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Risky Are Bonds? Stocks? [View article]
    Thanks for the data, and your thoughts
    Feb 1 07:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The High Yield Bond Trade For The Long Run [View article]
    Thanks Ducaticorse
    Feb 1 07:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The High Yield Bond Trade For The Long Run [View article]
    Thank you Brian and Hfordwhaler for the suggestions.
    Jan 31 08:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 50 Fearless Predictions For 2013 [View article]
    Thanks David - would be interested to hear your thoughts on transaction some time
    Jan 29 06:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Doubling The Return Of The S&P 500 Over 20 Years [View article]
    For interested readers, I wrote a second version of this article with a hurdle rate that the high beta index has to clear before their is a switch - marginally improves performance and reduces risk

    http://seekingalpha.co...
    Jan 29 06:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Doubling The S&P 500 Over 20 Years - Part II [View article]
    As I alluded to in the article, I examined adding a fixed income component - for the 3mo lookback, it did not materially change return profile. For a 1mo x 1mo strategy, it adds value. I will write up details soon. Thanks Bob and Pound for sharing your thoughts.
    Jan 29 06:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
255 Comments
121 Likes