I'm the Director of Research at Wonder. Come check it out (askwonder.com) Previously, I worked for Seeking Alpha from 2008-2015. During that time, I was involved in building out the PRO and Marketplace subscription platforms, and also spent time writing 'Wall Street Breakfast' and writing for the Breaking News team. Before joining Seeking Alpha, I co-founded a (short-lived) start-up for crowd-sourced angel investing and worked in the private banking division of a boutique bank. I've got an M.Sc. in applied economics from Georgia Southern University, and a B.A. in economics from Brandeis University. My husband and I live in Israel with our two children.
Director of Finance at Seeking Alpha. I joined Seeking Alpha from the world of assurance at Ernst & Young, where I was an audit manager in the technology division. Starting in the finance department of Seeking Alpha, and working on the Company's day to day operations, it was amazing to see it grow. I now work run the customer success team and am looking forward to being a continued part of the growth of the subscription business.
I am a reformed and recovering management consultant who, through multiple client engagements, applies deep exposure to the upstream and midstream oil and gas industry to create a picture of where these businesses will be in the next two years. With a background in both engineering and finance, I approach investing through a quantitative value approach for the medium and long term horizon.
The investment return profile looks to generate anywhere between 25 and 250 percent within a 12 to 36 month window and minimizes risk by focusing on businesses whose equity is liquid, and are large enough to allow a significant placement of investment assets (generally businesses with total enterprise values in excess of $250mm). The key elements of my investment style are:
1. Is there even the slightest chance the company is going bankrupt? If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can hang on to for long periods without significant risk.
2. Are the managers real artisans in their fields or have they fallen prey to the two most common corporate diseases: (a) their professional management activities are more important that the growth of the company or (b) their skills as financial engineers building masterpieces of leverage are more interesting to them than running a boring business. If not, I just stop. I want people running my investment that I can trust. Included in this category is skin in the game… they better own some measurable percentage of the business so that their own personal fortunes are tied up in it.
3. Is the business they are in one I could explain in under 30 minutes to my 10 year old son? For example, they suck natural gas out of the ground and sell it to whomever will give them the most for it. If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can understand without twisting my brain into a pretzel.
4. Do they build and/or sell stuff that during times of economic recession are truly discretionary items? If they are, I just stop. I want stuff that makes/sells things people need rain or shine.
Fundamentally, I believe self-directed investors can use their own experience and powers of understanding to make exceptional investments on their own, without turning to the professional investment advisory community... and obtain a much better return profile on their assets in the process. I like discovering value, whether because of cyclical down-on-hard-luck stories or secular growth stories and highlighting why I believe they are so.
Patience, low investment position turnover, true understanding of real value of a business, and the power of geometric compounding are the things for which I strive.
I joined Seeking Alpha in February 2014 as editor of the biotech vertical. In addition to onboarding new contributors, my job is to make sure Seeking Alpha provides high-quality and comprehensive coverage of the biotechnology and health care sectors. I am always looking for new ideas, so please reach out if you're interested.
Click the follow button if you want to continue learning more about the World Economy in depth and remain informed on developments in three plus two countries: US, Germany, Russia (deep analysis, including indexes and important stocks) & China, Japan (Economic development mostly). Knowledge will help you be prepared and know when it’s time to enter a market and when it’s time to leave.
Together we will also learn a lot about the banking and possibly the maritime shipping industries - two additional tools that will help us comprehend turning points in the World Economy.
Now a little bit about me:
Born in Germany and currently living in Greece, I have been investing and educating myself for over 8 years. I believe keeping a broad spectrum on knowledge in all levels (mico and macro environment), can help an investor truly understand how the business environment works and hence be able to profit with fairly low risk (comprehensive knowledge reduces risk). Hence, over the past years my financial knowledge has spread from financial statement analysis to macro-economics.
I rarely engage in day trading and I value standard procedure rules, discipline practicing and low risk investments (low risk does not translate into small earnings). I have a degree in Finance and I am operating a well-respected Macro-analysis & Geo-economics website (www.analyst.gr) and engage in facilitating exports (www.expohellas.gr).
Asia/U.S. Deep-Value Wide-Moat Stocks is a research service for value investors seeking value stocks with a huge gap between price and intrinsic value, leaning towards deep value balance sheet bargains (i.e. buying assets at a discount e.g. net cash stocks, net-nets, low P/B stocks, sum-of-the-parts discounts) and wide moat stocks (i.e. buying earnings power at a discount in great companies like "Magic Formula" stocks, high quality businesses, hidden champions and wide moat compounders).
Those who believe that the pendulum will move in one direction forever—or reside at an extreme forever— eventually will lose huge sums. Those who understand the pendulum's behavior can benefit enormously. ~ Howard Marks
Investment ideas for Asia/U.S. Deep-Value Wide-Moat Stocks are generated from screens, insider trades, 13Fs, fund manager letters, analyst reports, blogs and forums. The initial ideas sourced are subsequently evaluated using The Cheapness-Safety-Quality (CSQ) framework, applying customized investment checklists to ask the right questions of the investments in question, along the dimension of cheapness, safety and quality. Asia/U.S. Deep-Value Wide-Moat Stocks' value investing philosophy borrows from the wisdom of value investing gurus, using both quantitative screens and qualitative inputs to filter the global stock markets for investment ideas.
I am an experienced individual investor who has been trading merger arbitrage stocks and options since the 90's. I am a writer with a Master of Science from Northwestern University and I truly enjoy writing articles about the stock market. I try to look for opportunities where the odds are in my favor and there is a definite edge. On Seeking Alpha my articles will aim to provide insight and favorable risk/reward for the readers.However, I am not an investment advisor so any recomendations or ideas I write about in my articles, blogs, or comments shouldn't be taken as investment advice. I recommend using my writings as a starting point to which you should add your own research or that of an investment advisor.
"Any time you make a bet with the best of it, where the odds are in your favor, you have earned something on that bet, whether you actually win or lose the bet. By the same token, when you make a bet with the worst of it, where the odds are not in your favor, you have lost something, whether you actually win or lose the bet."
-David Sklansky, "The Theory of Poker"
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.