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Tyagrajan on Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer Interview It was nice to listen Mr. Eitan and his views o...
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Graham and Dodd Investor on Goldman Sachs Favors Discretionary Retailers in Wal-Mart Downgrade Is this the same Goldman Sachs that is calling ...
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highwaytoserfdom on Goldman Sachs Favors Discretionary Retailers in Wal-Mart Downgrade The US should downgrade no imprison Goldman and...
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Graham and Dodd Investor on MidAmerican’s David Sokol: Cap and Trade to Add $120/month to Electric Bills "Cap and trade" is better than merely...
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Wide Moat Investing on Clayton Homes Offers Payment Protection Plan: Sign of Strength or Red Flag? My intuition is to trust Clayton's access to go...
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The Rational Walk's 2009 Gift Guide for Investors
#1: The Intelligent Investor
#2: A Random Walk Down Wall Street
#3: Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits
#4: Security Analysis
#5: Poor Charlie’s Almanack
#6: Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Corporate America
#7: Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life
#8: The Great Crash: 1929
In The Great Crash: 1929, John Kenneth Galbraith describes in excruciating detail the human follies that led to the 1929 stock market crash along with some of the well intentioned, yet futile steps taken by market participants and government officials to remedy the situation. This book was recommended by Warren Buffett at the 2009 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting for a very important reason.
#9: How to Build a Business Warren Buffett Would Buy: The R.C. Willey Story
#10: Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion
Bonus Selection
From the manufacturer: Samsung’s new PN50B650 plasma flat panel HDTV exemplifies the design and performance refinements for those with discerning tastes and a passion for innovation. Picture your favorite room filled with 50 inches of 1080p Full HD picture performance artistically accented in a new Touch of Color design.
Disclosure
OK, so you’re suspicious about that last selection, aren’t you? In the interests of full disclosure, be aware that The Rational Walk receives a small commission from Amazon.com on each purchase made by clicking on the links in this article. The bigger the purchase, the better the commission! It should be noted that the customer does not pay Amazon.com any more for the product than if you directly purchase the merchandise rather than click on one of the links in this article.
Best wishes for good reading (or viewing), and Happy Holidays!
Newsletter Review: The Manual of Ideas Downside Protection Report
By Ravi Nagarajan
Published on October 20, 2009 at 3:10 pm
“Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.”
-Warren Buffett
When investors hear Warren Buffett’s famous quote for the first time, most simply smile and agree that this advice is “obvious”. Mr. Buffett is simply saying that investors should only buy securities that go up in price, right?
Well, in reality, this is not the point of the rule. Value investors do not regard price fluctuations alone as equal to investment risk. Losing money in this context refers to the risk of a permanent impairment in the intrinsic value of an investment. Success or failure in investing depends on the degree to which an investor succeeds in identifying securities trading well below intrinsic value and has the financial and emotional ability to hold until the market recognizes the value.
Ideas: The Lifeblood of Investing
I have been using The Manual of Ideas Downside Protection Report as part of my research process over the past six months and I can enthusiastically recommend this publication to readers of The Rational Walk (Disclosure: I am a contributing author on The Manual of Ideas Blog.) Downside Protection Report is published monthly and provides two ideas in each issue. The focus of each idea is to present an opportunity that has a significant margin of safety while also providing investors with the possibility of substantial returns.
Too Good To Be True?
Isn’t it only possible to seek substantial returns by taking on more risk? This simply is not the case as long as investors do not equate market volatility with risk. Most of the ideas presented in Downside Protection Report have balance sheets that present investors with a solid margin of safety. The Manual of Ideas research team seems to have a knack for finding hidden value that is not immediately obvious to readers of the balance sheet. In addition, the analysis carefully considers known problems that might be weighing on the stock price and evaluates the downside risk for known issues.
Downside Protection Report has provided actionable information that I have used on several occasions over the past six months. One example involves a developer and operator of commercial real estate that was under pressure due to well publicized problems at a subsidiary that obscured the intrinsic value of the core business. Another example identified a low cost producer of natural gas trading at a significant discount to intrinsic value with proven reserves that exceeded the company’s market capitalization even at depressed gas prices.
These are far from the only examples of successful ideas provided by Downside Protection Report. As a group, the monthly picks have far outpaced the S&P 500. Even though these selections are intended to be long term holdings, the initial performance delivered in a very challenging market environment cannot be ignored.
The Manual of Ideas offers a 30 day free trial for Downside Protection Report as well as a sample issue. In my opinion, value investors are making a mistake if they ignore this opportunity. I know that many investors are skeptical about the value provided by investment newsletters. It is never a good idea to make investment decisions solely on the basis of recommendations of a newsletter, even one that adheres to the high standards of Downside Protection Report. However, when these ideas are used as a starting point for further research and due diligence, it can be a great opportunity to boost investment returns while controlling risk.
Santulli Resigns from NetJets
www.rationalwalk.com/?p=1817
Goldman Sachs Favors Discretionary Retailers in Wal-Mart Downgrade
Goldman Sachs Favors Discretionary Retailers in Wal-Mart Downgrade
By Ravi Nagarajan
Published on June 15, 2009 at 8:57 pm
In what appears to be a downgrade based mostly on a macro call for economic recovery, Goldman Sachs downgraded Wal-Mart stores today from “buy” to “neutral” and lowered the price target on the stock to $56 from $58. While I have not been able to locate the full text of Goldman’s report online, the Wall Street Journal published a couple of excerpts which I have referenced in this article.
More »Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer Interview
Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer Interview
By Ravi Nagarajan
Published on June 14, 2009 at 9:55 am
In this Fox Business News video, Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer comments on the impact of the global recession on his company. Mr. Wertheimer discusses how lower automobile production will impact Iscar as well as his ability to avoid layoffs up to this point. The video also provides important insights into the qualities that Warren Buffett looks for in his managers. The acquisition of Iscar in 2006 was Berkshire Hathaway’s first purchase of a company based outside the United States.
More »Clayton Homes i-house Videos
Clayton Homes i-house Videos
By Ravi Nagarajan
Published on June 12, 2009 at 10:22 am
Clayton Homes, a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary, has been the subject of several articles on this site over the past few months. Clayton Homes maintained a very admirable track record related to mortgage financing throughout the housing bubble and, as a result, the company has experienced fewer mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures. Clayton recently unveiled a payment protection plan intended to protect buyers against a temporary loss of employment for a limited period.
More »