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Ravi Nagarajan's  Instablog

Ravi Nagarajan is a private investor and writer focusing on applying value investing techniques to find securities trading well below intrinsic business value. Ravi has over 14 years of experience in the financial markets and started investing on a full time basis in 2009. Over the past 13... More
My business:
The Rational Walk
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rationalwalk.com
  • The Rational Walk's 2009 Gift Guide for Investors
    Gift Guide For Investors

    Holiday BooksWith the holiday season upon us, now is the perfect time to select meaningful gifts for friends, family, and colleagues.  Rather than buying gifts which are destined to gather dust or end up “re-gifted” to others, consider purchasing a great book matching the interests of the recipient.  In this first annual gift guide for value investors, ten books have been selected which are certain to captivate the attention of anyone interested in the field of investing. Some choices will be familiar while others may be unexpected.  Happy Holidays!

    #1:  The Intelligent Investor

    The Intelligent InvestorThe Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham is perhaps the most widely cited but least followed book on investing.  Few investors on Wall Street have failed to read this classic and countless individual investors have done so as well.  Nevertheless, the vast majority have failed to absorb the lesson of “Mr. Market” that is the key to success or failure in the field of investing.  Why is this book ranked #1?  For those who have the appropriate temperament and capabilities, it serves as an outstanding introduction to the field of value investing in a format that will not intimidate those without formal training in finance.

    #2:  A Random Walk Down Wall Street

    RandomWalkDownWallStreetReaders of The Rational Walk may wonder why Burton Malkiel’s A Random Walk Down Wall Street appears on this list.  First, Mr. Malkiel presents the argument for market efficiency in a very clear manner that is easily accessible to those new to investing.  Second, it is critical for value investors to understand the prevailing views driving the decision making process of the vast majority of investors.  While most value investors reject the notion of market efficiency, there are worse outcomes than adopting an indexing strategy of the type advocated by Mr. Malkiel (despite the poor record of indexing over the past decade).

    #3:  Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits

    Common Stocks and Uncommon ProfitsOn the cover of Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Philip A. Fisher appears the following quote:  “I am an eager reader of whatever Phil has to say, and I recommend him to you.  — Warren Buffett”.  What is fascinating about Mr. Buffett’s quote is that, on the surface, the investing approach described by Mr. Fisher is very different from the Graham style of value investing.  In fact, Mr. Fisher’s views are regarded as key foundations for the field of growth investing.  If that’s the case, why does Warren Buffett find the book valuable?  For a full review of this book on The Rational Walk, click on this link.

    #4:  Security Analysis

    Security AnalysisSome will protest that Security Analysis by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd should rank #1 on this list.  After all, it is the undisputed Bible of value investing.  However, it is not nearly as accessible as The Intelligent Investor and I have known individuals who grow frustrated with the book, particularly some of the older editions.  While the 6th edition, reviewed in more detail on The Rational Walk earlier this year, is greatly improved with introductions and examples from contemporary investors, I still consider The Intelligent Investor to be a superior choice for those new to the concepts.  For those with more experience, Security Analysis is a better choice.

    #5:  Poor Charlie’s Almanack

    Poor Charlies AlmanackFrom first appearances, Poor Charlie’s Almanack, edited by Peter Kaufman, might appear as a book that can be read casually.  While it is true that the book is richly illustrated and produced, it would be a grave error to regard the content with any less reverence than Security Analysis or The Intelligent Investor. The great virtue of this book is the multi-disciplinary emphasis expressed in Mr. Munger’s speeches and other writings.  Those who are most likely to appreciate the message should have a grasp of basic concepts of investing.  However, anyone can benefit from the life lessons expressed in these pages.

    #6:  Essays of Warren Buffett:  Lessons for Corporate America

    Essays of Warren BuffettLawrence Cunningham has done a great service for investors everywhere by compiling information from Warren Buffett’s shareholder letters into a very accessible compilation in Essays of Warren Buffett:  Lessons For Corporate America. Why would anyone pay to read letters that can be downloaded for free on Berkshire Hathaway’s web site?  Mr. Cunningham adds a great deal of value by arranging the letters into a convenient and topical format rather than a purely chronological format.  Read this article on The Rational Walk for a full review of the book.

    #7:  Snowball:  Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

    SnowballAlice Schroeder was granted unprecedented access to Warren Buffett himself, his files, and his family and colleagues over a number of years and the end result was Snowball:  Warren Buffett and the Business of Life. This is not a book that outlines Mr. Buffett’s investing techniques in detail, but it is of interest to those who wish to know more about his history from a personal perspective.  To be sure, business topics are discussed, but the new insights tend to be more on the personal side.  For a full review of this book along with Roger Lowenstein’s 1995 Buffett biography The Making of an American Capitalist, please click on this link.

    #8:  The Great Crash:  1929

    1929“What has been is what will be, and what has been done is what will be done; and there is nothing new under the sun.” – Ecclesiastes 1:9.

    In The Great Crash: 1929, John Kenneth Galbraith describes in excruciating detail the human follies that led to the 1929 stock market crash along with some of the well intentioned, yet futile steps taken by market participants and government officials to remedy the situation.  This book was recommended by Warren Buffett at the 2009 Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting for a very important reason.

    #9:  How to Build a Business Warren Buffett Would Buy:  The R.C. Willey Story

    The R.C. Willey StoryThe R.C. Willey Story, skillfully told by author Jeff Benedict, is easily the most inspiring business book I read in 2009.  Anyone who is cynical about “up from the bootstraps” American success stories should read this book about Bill Child’s life story.  It is also an excellent choice for college students and other young people who are starting a career in business.  From an investment perspective, it is hard to come away from reading the book without thinking of at least a few attributes to look for when searching for investment candidates.  For a full review, please click on this link.

    #10:  Influence:  The Psychology of Persuasion

    PersuasionRobert B. Cialdini’s Influence:  The Psychology of Persuasion may be #10 on this list, but is critically important for anyone interested in communicating more effectively.  From an investment perspective, Mr. Cialdini will provide you with the tools to determine whether your investment advisor is manipulating you using common psychological tricks.  For example, it is hard to imagine that anyone who internalizes the techniques in this book would have fallen victim to Bernard Madoff’s scam.  It is therefore a “must read” for anyone who uses advisory services of any kind.

    Bonus Selection :)

    PlasmaFew of the value investors on your shopping list will have this Samsung 50 inch Plasma television hanging in their living rooms!

    From the manufacturer:  Samsung’s new PN50B650 plasma flat panel HDTV exemplifies the design and performance refinements for those with discerning tastes and a passion for innovation. Picture your favorite room filled with 50 inches of 1080p Full HD picture performance artistically accented in a new Touch of Color design.


    Disclosure

    OK, so you’re suspicious about that last selection, aren’t you?  In the interests of full disclosure, be aware that The Rational Walk receives a small commission from Amazon.com on each purchase made by clicking on the links in this article.  The bigger the purchase, the better the commission!  It should be noted that the customer does not pay Amazon.com any more for the product than if you directly purchase the merchandise rather than click on one of the links in this article.

    Best wishes for good reading (or viewing), and Happy Holidays!

    Oct 31 03:49 pm | Link | Comment!
  • Newsletter Review: The Manual of Ideas Downside Protection Report
    Newsletter Review: The Manual of Ideas Downside Protection Report

    By Ravi Nagarajan
    Published on October 20, 2009 at 3:10 pm

    “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.”

    -Warren Buffett

    When investors hear Warren Buffett’s famous quote for the first time, most simply smile and agree that this advice is “obvious”.  Mr. Buffett is simply saying that investors should only buy securities that go up in price, right?

    Well, in reality, this is not the point of the rule.  Value investors do not regard price fluctuations alone as equal to investment risk.  Losing money in this context refers to the risk of a permanent impairment in the intrinsic value of an investment.  Success or failure in investing depends on the degree to which an investor succeeds in identifying securities trading well below intrinsic value and has the financial and emotional ability to hold until the market recognizes the value.

    Ideas:  The Lifeblood of Investing

    Manual of IdeasWarren Buffett is famous for having read through the entire Moody’s manual in the early 1950s.  Today, the universe of securities is much larger and few investors have the stamina to persist in such a process.  Many of us need an idea sourcing process that efficiently identifies attractive investment opportunities fitting our criteria.  The Manual of Ideas, founded by John Mihaljevic, provides serious investors with publications that zero in on attractive investment opportunities using a proprietary research process that has succeeded in delivering a steady stream of ideas to readers.

    I have been using The Manual of Ideas Downside Protection Report as part of my research process over the past six months and I can enthusiastically recommend this publication to readers of The Rational Walk (Disclosure:  I am a contributing author on The Manual of Ideas Blog.) Downside Protection Report is published monthly and provides two ideas in each issue.  The focus of each idea is to present an opportunity that has a significant margin of safety while also providing investors with the possibility of substantial returns.

    Too Good To Be True?

    Isn’t it only possible to seek substantial returns by taking on more risk?  This simply is not the case as long as investors do not equate market volatility with risk.  Most of the ideas presented in Downside Protection Report have balance sheets that present investors with a solid margin of safety.  The Manual of Ideas research team seems to have a knack for finding hidden value that is not immediately obvious to readers of the balance sheet.  In addition, the analysis carefully considers known problems that might be weighing on the stock price and evaluates the downside risk for known issues.

    Downside Protection Report has provided actionable information that I have used on several occasions over the past six months.  One example involves a developer and operator of commercial real estate that was under pressure due to well publicized problems at a subsidiary that obscured the intrinsic value of the core business.  Another example identified a low cost producer of natural gas trading at a significant discount to intrinsic value with proven reserves that exceeded the company’s market capitalization even at depressed gas prices.

    These are far from the only examples of successful ideas provided by Downside Protection Report.  As a group, the monthly picks have far outpaced the S&P 500.  Even though these selections are intended to be long term holdings, the initial performance delivered in a very challenging market environment cannot be ignored.

    The Manual of Ideas offers a 30 day free trial for Downside Protection Report as well as a sample issue. In my opinion, value investors are making a mistake if they ignore this opportunity.  I know that many investors are skeptical about the value provided by investment newsletters.  It is never a good idea to make investment decisions solely on the basis of recommendations of a newsletter, even one that adheres to the high standards of Downside Protection Report.  However, when these ideas are used as a starting point for further research and due diligence, it can be a great opportunity to boost investment returns while controlling risk.

    Oct 20 03:12 pm | Link | Comment!
  • Santulli Resigns from NetJets
    Very surprising story in my opinion ... see this post I wrote back in June along with a CNBC interview with Santulli.  The most surprising aspect is the lack of an internal successor to Santulli and the fact that Sokol is taking over on an "interim" basis.  

    www.rationalwalk.com/?p=1817

    Tags: BRK.A, BRK.B
    Aug 04 11:09 pm | Link | Comment!
  • Goldman Sachs Favors Discretionary Retailers in Wal-Mart Downgrade

    Goldman Sachs Favors Discretionary Retailers in Wal-Mart Downgrade

    By Ravi Nagarajan
    Published on June 15, 2009 at 8:57 pm

    In what appears to be a downgrade based mostly on a macro call for economic recovery, Goldman Sachs downgraded Wal-Mart stores today from “buy” to “neutral” and lowered the price target on the stock to $56 from $58.  While I have not been able to locate the full text of Goldman’s report online, the Wall Street Journal published a couple of excerpts which I have  referenced in this article.

    More »
    Tags: WMT, GS
    Jun 15 08:58 pm | Link | 2 Comments
  • Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer Interview

    Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer Interview

    By Ravi Nagarajan
    Published on June 14, 2009 at 9:55 am

    In this Fox Business News video, Iscar Chairman Eitan Wertheimer comments on the impact of the global recession on his company.  Mr. Wertheimer discusses how lower automobile production will impact Iscar as well as his ability to avoid layoffs up to this point.  The video also provides important insights into the qualities that Warren Buffett looks for in his managers.  The acquisition of Iscar in 2006 was Berkshire Hathaway’s first purchase of a company based outside the United States.

    More »
    Tags: BRK.A, BRK.B
    Jun 14 10:00 am | Link | 1 Comment
  • Clayton Homes i-house Videos

    Clayton Homes i-house Videos

    By Ravi Nagarajan
    Published on June 12, 2009 at 10:22 am

    Clayton Homes, a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary, has been the subject of several articles on this site over the past few months.  Clayton Homes maintained a very admirable track record related to mortgage financing throughout the housing bubble and, as a result, the company has experienced fewer mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures. Clayton recently unveiled a payment protection plan intended to protect buyers against a temporary loss of employment for a limited period.

    More »
    Tags: BRK.A, BRK.B
    Jun 12 10:34 am | Link | Comment!
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