I looked at Wendy's last year, but the fact it couldn't string 3 consecutive years of increasing EPS going back to '96 was enough to put me off. The dividend hasn't been stable historically either. For me, it would be McDonald's every time!
During Accumulation Phase, It's OK To Be Concentrated [View article]
This is a timely article for me as it relates to the position I find myself in. I am in the early stages of building a portfolio and it looks like I have a similar watch list to yourself. But I too have been aware I may be overconcentrating in certain stocks, namely tech at what appears excellent value. But I like your line of thought. Its always nice to get some reassurance from reading the decision making process of another SA contributor that you can identify with. Best of luck with your portfolio building!
Walgreen Co. - Good Value Long Term But Wait For A Better Upcoming Entry Point [View article]
Hi pmheindl, I am in agreement with you. By including a short piece on market timing, my aim was to cover all aspects one might consider when initiating a position and create an extra discussion point.
To clarify my own personal position, I did own WAG and sold recently, crystalizing a nice profit. I did so not as a trade, but due to personal circumstances at the time. Because I still like WAG, and think its good value, I am looking to re-enter at some point. But I am deciding to wait a while, for the possibility of a modest pullback.
Whether that proves to be the best decision, I am not certain. But I believe our discussion highlights the choices an investor is faced with when deciding to allocate their money to an certain stock after a run up.
Walgreen Co. - Good Value Long Term But Wait For A Better Upcoming Entry Point [View article]
Thanks pmheindl and dernermit for taking the time to read and to leave some feedback. By showing where the current price was compared to the 30W moving average, I was trying to show when the WAG price gets between 20-30% above the moving average, as it is now, then the price quickly reverts to the mean. It will do this either by pulling back, or by trading sideways for a while. That means the price is unlikely to move too much higher from here in the short-term, with the possibility that it may pull back some. Therefore, waiting a couple of months may provide a better entry point.
Time will tell, but I hope you found aspects of the article useful. Thanks again for taking the time to comment.
Silver: Do You Think It Is Breaking Out? [View article]
Interesting summary on the mathematical history of phi. This is something I'd like to read into more. Following your articles closely Avi. I started a long position in silver last spring and over that time I have come to fully agree with you that silver cannot be predicted based on "fundamentals". Always look forward to your latest views on the subject.
Looking For Value In Household Products Companies [View article]
Hi Sneaker, I'm glad you found the graphs useful. As the yields are also at historically high levels, and both PG and CL have very long track records of increasing their payments, I can only see the PE ratios closing back in on their means. Of course, this may take a number of years - it took 10 years for their PE ratios to go from peak to trough, so I believe there is plenty of time to pick these shares up at decent valuations. Peak value has probably passed, but that can be said about most shares after the collapse of 2008/09.
CHD has also gone on my watchlist now. Had never looked at it before writing this article and am always happy to find another company that fits my potential investment criteria.
Thanks for reading and taking the time to comment!
How To Profit From Brazil's Coming Infrastructure Boom [View article]
Yes, perhaps in the construction sector. However, in the BRXX fund there are companies from the telecommunications, utilities, financials, transportation, real estate etc..... sectors. All these companies would benefit from the infrastructure investment. How much they will benefit directly, I have no idea, but indirectly, once the investment has been made, it will surely be easier for them to do business in the future. The stat in the article saying only 6% of roads in Brazil are paved is shocking to me. It shows how far Brazil still needs to go, so ultimately, an investment along the theme of its infrastructure could well be a very long term play.
Johnson & Johnson: A Good Time To Get In For The Long-Term Investor [View article]
I agree Gateway that one shouldnt expect rapid growth in JNJ as a business. But there is the possibility of higher growth in the share price purely due to the fact the shares are trading at such a low P/E to history. So long as earnings keep coming in with modest growth, the share price should catch up. How long this will take to realise we will have to wait and see!
Johnson & Johnson: A Good Time To Get In For The Long-Term Investor [View article]
Hi MexCom, thanks for reading and the constructive feedback! I will take that on board for a future article hopefully. Long term earnings growth like JNJ acheives is not easy to come by and deserves to be priced at a premium if anything. Picking it up at historically low valuations is the easiest way of ensuring outperformance.
Wendy's - Do What Tastes Right! [View article]
During Accumulation Phase, It's OK To Be Concentrated [View article]
During Accumulation Phase, It's OK To Be Concentrated [View article]
Walgreen Co. - Good Value Long Term But Wait For A Better Upcoming Entry Point [View article]
To clarify my own personal position, I did own WAG and sold recently, crystalizing a nice profit. I did so not as a trade, but due to personal circumstances at the time. Because I still like WAG, and think its good value, I am looking to re-enter at some point. But I am deciding to wait a while, for the possibility of a modest pullback.
Whether that proves to be the best decision, I am not certain. But I believe our discussion highlights the choices an investor is faced with when deciding to allocate their money to an certain stock after a run up.
All the best,
Richard
Walgreen Co. - Good Value Long Term But Wait For A Better Upcoming Entry Point [View article]
That means the price is unlikely to move too much higher from here in the short-term, with the possibility that it may pull back some. Therefore, waiting a couple of months may provide a better entry point.
Time will tell, but I hope you found aspects of the article useful. Thanks again for taking the time to comment.
Silver: Do You Think It Is Breaking Out? [View article]
Buy Microsoft On 20% Pullback: Dividend Grower With Moderate Growth [View article]
Johnson & Johnson: Not Likely A Winner [View article]
Microsoft: Dead Money [View article]
http://seekingalpha.co...
Looking For Value In Household Products Companies [View article]
CHD has also gone on my watchlist now. Had never looked at it before writing this article and am always happy to find another company that fits my potential investment criteria.
Thanks for reading and taking the time to comment!
How To Profit From Brazil's Coming Infrastructure Boom [View article]
How To Profit From Brazil's Coming Infrastructure Boom [View article]
How To Profit From Brazil's Coming Infrastructure Boom [View article]
Johnson & Johnson: A Good Time To Get In For The Long-Term Investor [View article]
Johnson & Johnson: A Good Time To Get In For The Long-Term Investor [View article]
Long term earnings growth like JNJ acheives is not easy to come by and deserves to be priced at a premium if anything. Picking it up at historically low valuations is the easiest way of ensuring outperformance.