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Richard Shaw

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  • Cap-Gain Expectations For 4 Passive, Active And Active/Leveraged MLP Portfolios [View article]
    Fidelity responded to my question with this note:

    " Fidelity currently has a policy in place to block opening trades for any and all ETN's that suspend issuance of new notes. As you are aware, one of the risks of ETN's and ETF's is that they may trade at a premium or discount to their NAV or indicative value. When an ETN suspends issuing of new notes the market's effect can be magnified over time. This could lead to increasing volatility and a situation where the performance of the ETN would no longer reflect the value of the underlying index it tracks. This is the reason Fidelity is no longer allowing opening trades in this particular ETN."
    Jan 8 10:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cap-Gain Expectations For 4 Passive, Active And Active/Leveraged MLP Portfolios [View article]
    This matter definitely deserves more research.

    I called Fidelity Active Trader (where we have assets), and can confirm that Fidelity has a block for all accounts on opening any new AMJ positions at Fidelity, although they allow sale of AMJ. The rep was not aware of all of the details behind the Fidelity decision, but is attempting to obtain those details and get back to me.

    I then called Schwab Active Trader (where we have assets) and can confirm that they have no restrictions on opening new positions in AMJ, nor any other restrictions of normal trading activity.

    This is a bit of a mystery at the moment and I ask that readers with any additional information chime in here.
    Jan 8 09:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cap-Gain Expectations For 4 Passive, Active And Active/Leveraged MLP Portfolios [View article]
    Our clients do not want the volatility.

    The funds are only example, not meant to be complete lists. We have published prior articles including most funds.
    Jan 4 12:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    The table does not provide the returns of the ETFs. It provides the returns of the MSCI country indexes. The ETFs are simply those products which put you in that country. The article states that the ETFs and the indexes are not in full sync,
    Dec 27 04:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 10 High Quality, Low Volatility, Persistent Dividend, Positive Price Trend Stocks [View article]
    The charts you reference come from http://bit.ly/Mh3bLL
    Dec 26 09:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    Yes, but not developed to the point of presenting an article on the topic. This article is purely historical, for whatever that may be worth to some. It does show those countries that came through the big mess in 2008 and the post-crash recovery better than others.
    Dec 26 09:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    Just did a quick correlation between UUP and the highlighted ETFs. All have negative correlations to that USD product over 1,3 and 5 years where data available.
    Dec 26 05:14 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    Did you mean correlation to the US dollar? not correlation to US stocks? just verifying.
    Dec 26 04:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    It's fixed. Thanks.
    Dec 26 12:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    Absolutely right -- we'll fix that. Thanks
    Dec 26 12:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 15 ETFs For Countries With Consistently Positive Total Returns For 10 Years [View article]
    Thanks
    However, the list is taken from MSCI, so while they may not consider Korea EM, but they still list it as EM in their data downloads. The lists are directly from spreadsheet downloads.
    Dec 26 12:04 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Writing Options To Get Paid Well To Wait To Buy YUM At Discount [View article]
    never was "determined" to own YUM, just willing to own YUM. evaluating at this time.
    Dec 23 04:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • ETF Investors: Ignore Ned Davis Ratings And Think Twice About S&P Ratings [View article]
    Thank you for that explanation.
    Dec 21 05:45 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Writing Options To Get Paid Well To Wait To Buy YUM At Discount [View article]
    Interesting. Thanks.
    Dec 21 02:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • ETF Investors: Ignore Ned Davis Ratings And Think Twice About S&P Ratings [View article]
    I have a low opinion, in general, of the ratings I have seen for ETFs, but I do believe that individual stock ratings are generally better.

    There are different kinds of analyst ratings. Some are purely fundamental, some purely techinical, some big on themes or macro issues, and combinations. Some are purely computerized, rules based rankings or filters; and some are based on qualitative analysis and subsequent analyst opinions.

    Of those that are purely computerized, there are some that are intended for frequent changes, and some that are quite stable for long periods. For example, an analyst that ranks companies on the basis of financial strength, profitability and growth would show infrequent changes, whereas an analyst that ranks companies on price ratio factors would see much more frequent changes.

    S&P surely uses computers to some degree, but their views or ultimately human analyst derived. They however do force the distribution of their stars ratings, so it is probably not correct that they do mostly BUY recommendations.

    Thomson/FirstCall simply averages ratings, but ThomsonStarMine ranks the analysts by accuracy for each sector and only average the ratings of those analysts that have been most accurate by sector.

    I do my own quantitative screening on a combination of fundamental factors and factors that change with price, then look at several rating sources for negative opinions. If a stock looks good in a filter, but has negative ratings, then I need to look deeper or look elsewhere. I use analyst ratings more to find stocks to avoid than to buy, but I don't mind at all if something that I come up with is also liked by analysts too.
    Dec 21 02:08 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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