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  • 'Barnyard Forecast' Smells Good for Stocks [View article]
    Responding to logical thought: I will do a multiple regression of the inputs one of these days and share the results here. That would give us weightings mathematically for the inputs. In this case, however, we use EIEIO as a kind of diffusion index. It is really a Fed watcher, and it is well researched that the attitude and interest rate strategy of the Fed has a big long-term impact on stock prices. We, too, are watching the dollar, but we belive it will continue to be weak because with the budget deficit the US has, there will be a steady supply of dollars in foreign coffers that will need to be exchanged for local currencies.

    Finally, our model in for long-term investors. It is essentially useless for traders, other than to give a sort of momentum indicator.
    Aug 24 10:08 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Coca-Cola: Dividend Stock Analysis [View article]
    My compliments to you on the form of your write up. It takes a good look at KO from different perspectives. The concern that I believe the market has with KO and several other of the great consumer staples companies is that the payout ratio has been creaping higher. In our models lately we have been maxing dividend payouts at 50%. Anything over that is not counted in our valuation models. KO kind of breaks all the rules, though, as you know in payout ratios because they have so much free cash flow.
    Thanks again for your work,
    GCD

    Tha

    Jun 30 14:41 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • The Bottom Is for Real, but a Pause Is Due [View article]
    I read every post and thought, my, there are a lot of people who have the same bearish view.

    Thanks for your note. No telling in these days who is pulling strings.
    Jun 03 10:02 am |Rating: +1 -2 |Link to Comment
  • Dividends Are Still Very Much Alive [View article]
    Amen,Amen

    These are just excellant additions to my list. As I have said before, I am not a great fan of share buy backs. Too often, they are just making up for the stock option give aways. We dividend investors are by nature long-term investors. As each of us is doing our own research, let's post something on this website when find a company that is giving away the store via stock options. I think we can raise a ruckus.
    May 15 10:56 am |Rating: +4 -1 |Link to Comment
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