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Robert Duval

 
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  • CONSTRUCTIVE ON EMERGING MARKETS -- AND (TOUGH) LESSONS LEARNED [View instapost]
    I'm liking this action as a wall of worry is rebuilt, partial list would be Ukraine, ISIS, higher rates, hawkish FED, Europe slowdown, and scotland separation fears.

    All of that coming off such an overbought state -- again we bend and don't remotely break.

    Emerging markets corrected 5% off of major sloped resistance, but India, China A, Vietnam, and even Russia held tough.

    When EEM takes out that resistance above 46 area, those 4 will likely lead the way ---

    Also a great setup in solar, and capitulation type selling in energy. All in all a good week to measure correct positioning.

    Think we likely close the year, strongly. We are working off the overexburant state of the market.
    Sep 12 04:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CONSTRUCTIVE ON EMERGING MARKETS -- AND (TOUGH) LESSONS LEARNED [View instapost]
    BTW -- There is NO CHANCE The Fed will be overtly hawkish at this week's coming meeting --- and it's "fully priced" anyway.

    Expect a softer Fed and Dollar selloff!
    Sep 12 03:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill Angers EU With Rosneft Deal, New Sanctions May Hurt [View article]
    Capitulation in the whole energy sector. Listening to CNBC you'ed think there would never be a rally in oil and related ever again. I'm a buyer of SDRL, BP, and Russia via RSXJ.
    Sep 12 03:37 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill Angers EU With Rosneft Deal, New Sanctions May Hurt [View article]
    Volume is indicating capitulation action in this name today.
    Sep 12 03:02 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CONSTRUCTIVE ON EMERGING MARKETS -- AND (TOUGH) LESSONS LEARNED [View instapost]
    Yep, yep, and yep. Look closely at a (FSLR) weekly chart
    Sep 12 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill Angers EU With Rosneft Deal, New Sanctions May Hurt [View article]
    You Short KG?
    Sep 12 02:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CONSTRUCTIVE ON EMERGING MARKETS -- AND (TOUGH) LESSONS LEARNED [View instapost]
    I've been an aggressive buyer of (FSLR) today stock and calls, looks like an imminent test of 2014 resistance upcoming above 74.

    Also think energy is capitulating here and is a great long term buy.
    Sep 12 01:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CONSTRUCTIVE ON EMERGING MARKETS -- AND (TOUGH) LESSONS LEARNED [View instapost]
    I changed my mind and covered shorts. I don't wish to have this as my focus.

    Today I'm adding to (SDRL) on the panic over Russian Sanctions. I continue to expect a deal to be made at some point. I've bought shares and sold puts.

    Also long (EXXI) as they throw energy out the window.

    I note China A shares and India continue to quietly work higher.

    Thinking this grinding correction is healthy and working off the market's overbought condition.
    Sep 12 11:52 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seadrill Angers EU With Rosneft Deal, New Sanctions May Hurt [View article]
    Yep. Something like that. Of course no-one wants to buy when they should.
    Sep 12 11:26 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bad News For Gazprom As Russia Sinks Lower [View article]
    Don;

    Thanks for answering -- not.

    I'm looking for clarity on your actual or recommended positioning, please.
    Sep 12 11:09 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bad News For Gazprom As Russia Sinks Lower [View article]
    Don,

    Thank you for your article. Are you advocating shorting Russia at this time?

    Regards --
    Sep 12 07:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • China: ETFs For Investing In The Dragon [View article]
    I'm with you in the A shares.

    Again no comments on a china article. Totally out of favor.
    Sep 11 08:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Infrastructure Could Be The Next Big Investment Opportunity [View article]
    Thanks for writing. I fully agree and expect a major infrastructure program will appear in the future. It's a rational step and needed in this country.
    Sep 11 05:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • CONSTRUCTIVE ON EMERGING MARKETS -- AND (TOUGH) LESSONS LEARNED [View instapost]
    Mostly standing pat. Trimmed a little BP bought 45 at 46.50, keeping a position there.

    Put three small shorts back on, very small.

    AMZN --- weak technicals and some questionable fundamentals.
    KORS-- weak retail and major insider -- has sold all shares.
    MBLY -- extremely overbought.

    Main longs continue to be China and India small caps ETF's, Russia and Vietnam, plus energy exposure purchased on this dip, some of which I will trim on an oversold bounce, while keeping a core position.
    Sep 10 04:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dollar May Drag Down Emerging Markets [View article]
    Chris, true. I give other factors greater weight, but Asia specific.

    My thoughts:

    http://seekingalpha.co...
    Sep 9 07:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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