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Robert Duval

 
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  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    I'm buying the crap out of this here.

    Toronto futures, long Crude, Bought more MBT 6.10, RSX via short puts.

    Toronto is screaming higher as I type.

    Short volatility too.

    Note Russia and MBT are still quite small positions. Toronto and the energy stocks are multiples larger
    Dec 16, 2014. 09:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Retirement Strategy: I Will Not Follow The Herd, Will You? [View article]
    Apparently not.

    Hence the space is lower this morning.
    Dec 16, 2014. 09:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    Wild morning. Stopped out of the roubles, Crude, back in Crude at 54, short gold, treasuries, looking for a panic low this morning.
    Dec 16, 2014. 07:38 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Retirement Strategy: I Will Not Follow The Herd, Will You? [View article]
    RS,

    Any capitulation from the DGI crowd? I wish you'ed get on with it so some of us can make some money on the capitulation rally......
    Dec 15, 2014. 10:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dec 6th Market Update, Positions, Charts And Targets [View instapost]
    TODAYS UPDATE:

    First, I am no longer short anything other than holding a few GPRO puts, which has largely been a waste of time as premium was too expensive; out of TLT exposure, which worked nicely; and (mostly) out of GDXJ, SLW at a modest loss.

    I've made a few changes to the energy trade, completely out of GST, MDR, PDS, SDRL, all at close to a scratch.

    Instead, I've put a size trade on what appears to be a hiigher quality asset, one very mispriced MLP; ATLS. Leon Cooperman agrees, just bought @ $10 million in it at 30. I'm in @ 27. Read the SA article just out on ATLS.

    I've also added outright HAL at 38, in addition to short puts, and shorted puts on Russia large cap (RSX).

    I also hold one junior, CPE. Everything else is well hedged / or gas focused / with a strong balance sheet.

    Otherwise standing pat with this trade, fading the panic in energy.
    Dec 15, 2014. 08:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    I am likely to short an airline tommorrow. Any one thats better to pick on?
    Dec 15, 2014. 08:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    I agree---- oversold bounces from this extreme tend to be explosive....can't buy easily, and certainly no size.
    Dec 15, 2014. 07:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    I posted my position names above, D.

    In addition I like DVN EOG. Don't know the others.
    Dec 15, 2014. 07:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    Yep. Short the airlines. I'm thinking about it, although if they are smart they are hedging like mad now.
    Dec 15, 2014. 07:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    D;

    The entire sector. Not involved Line / LNCO
    Dec 15, 2014. 07:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    I'll worry later after the bounce and the pro's on CNBC FM tells us the coast is clear and to pile in long.

    Then will be time to worry about energy exposure.
    Dec 15, 2014. 07:26 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    "no signs of capitulation"

    Boy I don't know -- check out price and volume on LINE.

    Don't own that one. I think a big bounce is imminent. Its what follows that bounce.....
    Dec 15, 2014. 07:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    "Oil isn't done falling. It may even go below $50. Once oil does stop, it won't go up that fast. Might not get north of $60 for over a year."

    I can't but be curious what analysis leads to this definite conclusion.

    I am obviously taking the other side with my single biggest energy trade I've ever done in stocks; long crude, long nat gas, long Russia even!

    We will see. I sense your comment reflects something close to a developing consensus from the widespread commentary out there, people have given up on energy, and we are approaching an inflection point.
    Dec 15, 2014. 06:44 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    Russia after the close raised rates to 17%, I bought a few roubles for a trade, its rallying on the intervention
    Dec 15, 2014. 06:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #5Best Ways To Invest -- What's Your Opinion? A Place To Share Ideas! #52 [View instapost]
    D -- thats exactly what I'm looking for. Many want to wait for the dust to settle --- in my experience when an asset falls with this much panic, unless its an Enron --- even if it settles even lower in time, I am looking for a breathtakingly violent rally, that would be extremely hard to get positioned in some of these stocks, once it starts.

    I will lighten, into that rally, then assess whats going on.

    Even Natural gas, which has nothing to do with OPEC, has gotten severely pounded during a favourable time of year.
    Dec 15, 2014. 05:07 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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