Robert McDonald
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Apple: Is It HP All Over Again? [View article]
Is The Market Right? Is Apple Going Down In Flames?
http://bit.ly/15zRrQX
Qualcomm: The New Intel? [View article]
Of course they do not fabricate the chips they design. The majority if not all of this is done by TSMC and Samsung.
Is Apple Such A Lousy Business? Mr. Market Wrongfully Thinks So [View article]
Intel: Read This Before Earnings [View article]
Why Apple Is Floundering And The Stock Price Is Down [View article]
Technical analysis is number 2 for many investors - ask Andy Zaky, teh Apple fund manager who just went bust. Technical analysis is just one of many indicators of past behavior which can at best only be extrapolated into the future witha significant risk of being wrong. Many studies have shown that it has no more probability of success than flipping a coin.
What very important for the astute investor is that Apple has a number of new products in the pipeline. These products are highly likely to have features that will be seen as killer aps if not seen as on-going innovation.
The probability that this statement is correct is much higher than being wrong for many reasons . Not the least of which the Samsung's Galaxy IV demonstrates that Samsung has hit the wall in its ability to one up Apple in the high end marketplace.
As part of the new product lineup it is highly likely Apple will be in a positon to compete strongly in rapidly in the mid-range iDevice marketplace.
Ignore this likely realities at your own risk.
Microsoft's Windows 8 Isn't A Flop ... Yet [View article]
Note that Apple has not added touch to its PC line, at least not of as yet. And there aren't even any good rumors to that effect. If they thought it was a worthwhile innovation, it is reasonable to assume they would have done it by now.
Microsoft just makes things that are too complicated, awkward and un-intuitive. In a nut shell, bloatware that is unnecessarily hard to use and unreliable . I have even gotten a blue screen several times on my relatively new Win 7 PC and multiple browser crashes. I also had many problems with Word opening documents in a read only fashion and Word crashes that create the nead to deal with recoverd file lists where each document has to be resaved individually. The Win 7 "repair process" fixed the blue screens and browser problems but I still have problems with Word. There is also a lack of continuity between Windows and Office versions forcing customers to retrain on key functions that they take for granted and use every day. Win 8 has graphically, pun intended, illustrated the problem in spades.
Microsoft has a chronic problem understanding what customers really want and need. It isn't always what they say nor is adequately gleaned up in surveys. No survey could have anticipated the iPad because the technology did not exist before Apple made one. Witness the early responses to the iPad: "Who needs it? What good is it?" The sarcasm sunk to the extremes: "Is it some kind of feminine product?"
Apple management will tell you you don't get what you really need from surveys and they have the evidence to prove it.
Windows 8 is a failure because Microsoft tried to include something for everybody. And the rush to market was so fast that the products that might have really demonstrated some "killer" aps are still only in development. Too little to late.
Microsoft management has never learned to say no to what might first appear to be a good idea. If they wanted to do something useful they would survey products already in the field and see what they have been doing wrong. The need to understand what people are really using and how often they do so. They need to understand how users feel about ease of use or lack there of and in particular reliability. They need to understand what features users are really hungry for vs a feel good response.
Steve Jobs talks about the attribute of knowing when to say no serveral times over in the Walter Isaacson biography. That attribute obviously led to better products.
I have said it before and I will say it again, it is just too risky to own Microsoft and unfortunately Intel now. I sold the Intel shares I had bought a month or so ago with the expectation that the hype over mobile would add a few bucks to the share price, which it did. So I made a small profit.
Is Apple Using Share Buybacks To Support Its Stock Price? [View article]
Apple's March Quarter Madness [View article]
http://bloom.bg/VF0Uxy
"While 90,000 Lumia 920T models were ordered through Jan. 30, Nokia only shipped 30,000, said Li Yan, a China Mobile spokeswoman"
The iPhone 5 and the potential 5S model will only capture a very small fraction of the available China Mobile market due to their high costs and lack of a sufficient carrier subsidy. Yet a small fraction will still yield significant new revenues and earnings for Apple.
I submit that an additional lower cost iPhone will result in a much larger overall revenue and earnings gain for Apple. Yes some of this will be at the expense of higher end phone sales. Overall however, this will result in even larger revenue and earnings gains and very significantly, add a huge number of new ecosystem customers.
ADDENDUM: I would submit that it is likely that there will be no Apple deal with China Mobile unless it includes a lower cost iPhone. The good news is that the government does not like China's dependence on phones that use Google's Android operating system and the People's Daily is lobbying for Apple to be more consumer friendly if you read between the lines. Since China Mobile and the People's Daily are government owned this is all a good sign for an Apple-China Mobile deal but it will require some Apple margin sacrifice.
Apple's March Quarter Madness [View article]
Apple is a durable growth as well as value stock for the foreseeable future. It is not going down in flames in the face of new competition as Nokia and Blackberry did despite the wild and unfounded statements to the contrary. Apple's established ecosystem and broad mobile and leading edge PC product line locks customers in and will continue to bring in new customers. Broadening the handset line to include lower cost versions will bring many new ecosystem customers into the Apple fold.
My bet is that the lower cost headset and on-going leadership at the high end are all that are needed now to lock in China Mobile. This lockin will be sufficient to re-establish sales growth rates for several more years in and of itself. Margins in the 30-40% range will still provide huge earnings growth.
And then there is the wide open opportunity for other new products including the iWatch, automotive design ins, Apple "TV," etc. Innovation is far from dead at Apple.
Has Samsung Dethroned Apple? [View article]
Intel: There Is No Apple Foundry Deal [View article]
The immediate Apple need is to get out of Samsung. Going fully to TSMC has a lot of jeopardy and possible very high cost in the form of additional wafer fab capacity. Intel already has that capacity with more of it going idle every day. There is going to be a lot of pressure on Intel's treasury and stock price if they do not find a way to take those fabs back to 90% capacity this year.
Intel: There Is No Apple Foundry Deal [View article]
Apple: Is It Really Too Cheap To Ignore? [View article]
Intel Won't Build Apple's iPhone Chips [View article]
Intel Can't Let Samsung Win [View article]