FROM INSIDE SILICON VALLEY: Sorting the truth or likely truth from the noise is a key attribute of the successful investor. My commentary is a distillation of some of this effort relative to particular stocks and investment areas. My publishing at this point in time is limited to the blogsphere, Stocktwits as a Tweeter (@RobertinGatos), and Seeking Alpha posts as both an author (one article and trying to find time for more) and frequent commentator. I have no doubt that this truth seeking effort has been a great aid in my own efforts to be a successful high tech stock investor, which now goes back over 30 years. Professionally, I was an Engineering Manager in two pioneering Silicon Valley high technology companies, Intel and Fairchild Semiconductor. Some will recall that Fairchild was formed by the group that William Shockley, co-inventor of the transistor of Bell Labs fame. had brought together at Shockley Labs to commercialize this device. I joined Fairchild Semiconductor R&D Labs in Palo Alto in 1973. It was at the time affectionately called "Fairchild Tech" due to its propensity to create spinoffs including National Semiconductor, AMD and Intel. I joined Intel in in 1977 as Manager of their Analytical Lab start up and retired from Intel's senior management ranks in 1998. I joined a startup called Metara as a BOD member and ultimately as VP and Chief Technology Officer. I facilitated the generation of 17 automated mass spectrometry patents and became an expert on analytical technology patents as a result. I retired a second time in 2006 due to the fact that Metara ran out of capital before the first product was fully debugged. Venture caps can be fickle people. Through out this time, I was surrounded by high tech business activity including management and ultimately startup financing. I stayed familiar with the high tech business press throughout this time and attended relevant Silicon Valley events including many Valley technology investment conferences and shareholder meetings beginning well before the Santa Clara Valley area was called Silicon Valley. My start as a high tech investor occurred in 1981 when my first Intel stock options became exercisable. I used margin to exercise, buy and hold my Intel stock while I added margin to buy companies like MSFT, CSCO, ORCL, JDSU, SUNW and QCOM from the 80's forward. Needless to say the returns were outstanding. I had the luck of being exposed to long term LEAP call investing by a follow Intel manager and used this technique as additional leverage for most of my tech investments since the very beginning. I used to love to bet against Merrill Lynch'sTom Kurlak who was known as THE Intel analyst of the time. He would make a negative call on Intel that I knew was way off the mark and use this opportunity for entry into my next set of Intel LEAP calls. That taught me to take advantage of Wall Street whenever possible rather than be their victim. My original investment specialty was tech stocks however I have expanded my expertise in many key sectors. I follow high tech trends and business activity on a daily basis. I have added Financials to this tracking in particular since the bad behavior of the Investment Banks and now regular Banks (derivatives and lending practices) has led to multiple ugly stock market crashes. Notable examples include the crash of 2008 and the 2000 dot.com bubble with more yet to come, at least in the absence of better regulation. I am a firm believer in understanding the business model, the business fundamentals and competitive environment for any company that I invest in. I look for competent management and high performance financials that demonstrate a strong possibility of on-going earnings and revenue growth. I read CEO pronouncements with my competence and BS detector on high (for example Ballmer pegs both needles - I'll let you guess which end of the scales). Drilling into a company’s financial fundamentals is a downstream step. Excessive debt is a red flag even if it is for so called good reason -- it limits company margins and business options, and can be representative a poofly performing business segment a company is in. I avoid those kinds of businesses in spite of what may be labeled as strong positive cash flow. Debt leads to sluggish earnings growth and limits company flexibility. It can also lead to ugly surprises, stock dilution for example. Technology company stock buybacks leave me cold. If they cannot make more money by growing their own business with the money, they will flatline or worse. When the opportunity permits, I try to be ready to buy good companies that I believe have been beaten up inappropriately or are under appreciated (the Tom Kurlak example). I also try to buy companies that I know and understand inside and out or work on getting to there if I invest. Fewer companies,
Brian is the founder of Investor in the Family and Online Investor Conference.
At Investor in the Family (http://investorinthefamily.com/), Brian's goal is to help protect investors from making big mistakes that jeopardize their portfolios and financial futures.
The Online Investing Conference (http://onlineinvestingconference.com/) was created to help link self-directed investors with carefully filtered and proven investing professionals to help save investors both time and money while building a portfolio that outperforms.
If you'd like to connect or learn more, please feel free to send a private message via Seeking Alpha platform.
Dana Blankenhorn http://www.danablankenhorn.com has been a business journalist since 1978, and a futurist all his life.He warned about the coming Houston oil collapse in 1979. He began making a living on the Internet in 1985. He launched the first e-commerce daily for CMP in 1994, warned of the coming dot-bomb at a-clue.com in 1997 and began covering the Internet of Things in 2003.Along the way he's written for a host of newspapers, magazines, news services and Web sites. Most recently he was at TheStreet.com, covering technology and investments. He still has time for freelance assignments. He lives in Atlanta.
Ellen Brown is an attorney, president of the Public Banking Institute, and the author of twelve books. Shedeveloped her research skills as an attorney practicing civil litigation in Los Angeles. In "Web of Debt," she turned those skills to an analysis of the Federal Reserve and “the money trust.” She showed how this private cartel has usurped the power to create money from the people themselves, and how we the people can get it back. In "The Public Bank Solution," her latest book, she explores the public banking model globally and historically as an equitable and efficient solution to our banking woes. Her earlier books focused on the pharmaceutical cartel that gets its power from “the money trust.” They include "Forbidden Medicine," "Nature’s Pharmacy" (co-authored with Dr. Lynne Walker), and "The Key to Ultimate Health" (co-authored with Dr. Richard Hansen). Her websites are www.webofdebt.com, www.publicbanksolution.com and www.ellenbrown.com.
A former stockbroker who became licensed in 1986. Later opened a small hedge fund and managed a modest amount of assets during the 1990s tech boom. We have recently launched a resource called Trader's Idea Flow that provides 5-10 actionable ideas per month. These ideas may be either long or short from the broader market.
Our companion resource called Wearables Go! covers stocks specific to the wearables industry. Our focus includes wearables in mHealth, virtual reality, augmented reality, and wrist wearables, etc. We follow companies, technology, and trends that are innovating and disrupting healthcare, communications, computing, and other industries.
We hope that investors and industry professionals will find these two resources useful. They are now available in the SA Marketplace. Please be sure to take advantage of your complimentary two week free trial to Trader's Idea Flow and Wearables Go! for its archives, updates, current content, and live chat forum.
I am an experienced journalist focusing on multi-disciplinary analysis of China's economy and business. I graduated from the Chinese University of Hong Kong and got my MBA from l'Ecole Superieure de Commerce de Paris.
Bert Hochfeld is a convicted felon and former hedge fund manager. He was convicted of mis-appropriating funds from his hedge fund in 2012. .Bert started his business career at IBM working in the areas of product planning and pricing after completing military service Bert worked for IBM in the late 1960's and early 1970's before he took as a post as head of sales and marketing for Memorex Telex and worked there for most of the 1970's until he joined Raytheon Data Systems in a similar capacity in the 1980's. Bert briefly became a real estate developer in the Boston area before joining BMC Software as a product planning director in the late 1980's and early 1990's. Subsequent to that he entered the brokerage business where he became an enterprise software analyst, first at Louis Nicoud and then at Josephthal.&; Co. After Josephthal closed Bert started his own independent research consultancy specializing in enterprise software, storage and IT outsourcing. Bert also ran a small hedge fund. After his arrest and conviction, Bert closed both of those ventures and have been on a sabbatical the past few years. Bert currently manage his own money and those of a few close friends. All of these investments are in tech and we also take positions in small start-up ventures. ..
I'm a financial analyst and consultant, specializing in the tech sector spending the last decade developing my profile in that area. After serving as a Sr. Financial Analyst in a Fortune 500 tech company for many years I founded Finro – an independent consulting firm that provides financial analysis services to the tech sector and tech related analysis to investment firms.
I work with startups, hedge funds, VCs, mutual funds and individual investors on valuating companies (private and public) and technologies, and analyzing investment strategies and complex securities. Additionally, I develop financial projections, financial modeling, and ad-hoc financial analysis.
I'm teaching finance courses in the top universities in Israel and I write for Seeking Alpha to share my analysis, research and thoughts with others who are passionate about finance and technology as I do.
I'm open to new opportunities. Feel free to contact me via the contact details below.
Email: email@example.com | LinkedIn: https://il.linkedin.com/in/lronen | Skype: lior.ronen.finro
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
To avoid criticism, do nothing, say nothing, be nothing. -Elbert Hubbard
I have a Masters degree in Computer Science, and worked for 14 years in development, technical publications and software quality assurance. I have been investing for 20 years. Currently, I do writing, photography, and FileMaker Pro programming on contract.
My short fiction can be found (under pseudonym J. Seunnasepp) at http://50centflash.com/
"The fascination with the human face has never left me... Every face I see seems to hide - and sometimes fleetingly to reveal - the mystery of another human being. Capturing this revelation became my goal and passion." – Photographer Philippe Halsman
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Stone Fox Capital Advisors is a registered investment advisor founded in 2010. The firm offers portfolio management with a focus on opportunistic stocks providing secular growth trends at an affordable value. An emphasis is placed on fundamental analysis though charts are used for timing entry and exit points.
Mark Holder graduated from the University of Tulsa with a double major in accounting & finance. He's been interested in the stock market since college and began managing investments for friends and family more than 20 years ago. Mark has his Series 65 and is also a CPA.
Invest with Stone Fox Capital's model portfolios on Covestor.com as he makes real time trades. Covestor also allows followers to duplicate the model portfolio in their own brokerage accounts. You can find the portfolio and more details here:
Follow Mark on twitter: @stonefoxcapital
I am a market enthusiast and part-time trader. I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2011, and it has been a tremendous opportunity and learning experience. I have been interested in the markets since elementary school, and hope to pursue a career in the investment management industry. I have been active in the markets for several years, and am primarily focused on long/short equities.
I hold a Bachelor of Science Degree from Lehigh University, where I double majored in Finance and Accounting, with a minor in History. My major track focused on Investments and Financial Analysis. While at Lehigh, I was the Head Portfolio Manager of the Investment Management Group, a student group that manages three portfolios, one long/short and two long only. I have had two internships, one a summer internship at a large bank, and another helping to manage the Lehigh University Endowment for nearly a year.
Disclaimer: Bill reminds investors to always due their own due diligence on any investment, and to consult their own financial adviser or representative when necessary. Any material provided is intended as general information only, and should not be considered or relied upon as a formal investment recommendation.
I am an individual investor, who takes pride in analyzing companies in detail by combining qualitative analysis's with quantitative models.
To optimize my models, I read read everything I can about the company. This includes, annual- and quarterly reports, earnings call transcripts and general news.
When I am not analyzing or writing about stocks, I am studying for my MSc in Finance/Economics
Chief Information Officer ERA Living 1999 - 2009,
Owner Integrated Networks 1995-1999,
Information Technology Engineer Digitech Solutions 1987-1995,
Registered Investment Advisor 1980-1987,
Managing Partner Buttonwood Securities 1975-1980,
Registered Rep. Tucker Anthony & R.L. Day 1973-1975,
Amherst College, B.A. 1973
Daya Baran, is the founder of Stocknomics, which is a culmination of his expertise spanning social commerce, technology and finance. Previously he founded a series of companies in eFinance, storage and search. Prior to that, he was a fund manager for an internet fund focused in the build out of the first internet wave. He is an active investor, trader and specializes on the Apple ecosystem. He is also a well know technology blogger and speaks frequently at conferences and events.
A new age platform for the latest in finance and everything else.
Through Bidness Etc, we’re bringing the 99% back in the loop by presenting the best financial research in the simplest and most creative ways possible.
We have distilled a decade and billions of dollars’ worth of trading experience into developing the idea behind Bidness Etc, and we feel we can do a better job of analyzing and reporting financial matters than anyone else.
We are a team of more than 60 financial wizards, musicians, rock stars, artists, singers, aspiring philosophers and tech geeks working hard to change the way human beings think and interact with finance.
We know that quality financial analysis requires a higher level of intelligence, and that what is reported by financial media is too far behind the curve to be of any relevance to the savvy reader. Here’s our solution to that problem: a platform that gives away the best information and analysis out there for free, thereby democratizing individuals’ access to finance. We’re also pushing the envelope by delivering it visually.
We feel that by doing so, Bidness Etc. will become humanity’s first step into a new age for financial media, and that we’ll set the standards for tomorrow with our revolutionary new product.
And that’s not all.
We know that figures, facts, numbers and stats can get quite mind-numbing after a while. Therein lies the kicker: we’re presenting our data in the most visually appealing ways possible. By doing so, we are quite literally transforming financial reporting into a new form of art. We have also incorporated an entertainment section in our website, which tracks the global zeitgeist and provides our take on the hottest topics trending on the web. We feel that this will help us take finance to the mainstream, and complete what the Bidness Etc. experience is all about.
This is a beta version of our web portal. We hope it will keep you coming back for more, because we have a major surprise in store for readers for the month of November. Here’s a spoiler, though: finance will never have looked better once we go all out! And you’ll know we’ve meant Bidness all along when we claim to become the best place on the web.
For the past five years I have worked in corporate strategy for fortune 500 companies. I started my career as a management consultant for Oliver Wyman. There I worked in the financial services division, and my clients included banks and insurance companies. Following my time at Oliver Wyman, I went to work on an internal consulting and operations team at Aon, a global insurance and reinsurance brokerage.
In 2007 I graduated from Harvard University with a Bachelors degree in Economics. I am also a CFA Charterholder and an individual investor.
Efsinvestment.com website offers simple do-it-yourself type of investment ideas. You can download excel files that can easily calculate the Fair Value of a stock, along with O-Metrix score and Margin of Safety.
Investment philosophy is to first determine the maximum loss, and invest accordingly. Like many value investors, we prefer to invest in stocks with the highest dividend yields, and highest EPS growth potentials. Telecommunication and energy stocks in emerging markets are among the favorites.
Seeking Alpha offers a great opportunity to become a part of a strong finance network. Based on extensive quantitative analysis, in any market, going short is risky. Statistical analysis shows that technical indicators work only if they are strong enough to convince the majority of the investors. Do not buy a stock at the top, do not sell a stock at the dip.
David Gross blogs about data center and cloud computing economics at DataCenterStocks.com.
He previously spent over four years at Salesforce.com, managing Capacity Planning, and worked in the telecommunications and data center industries prior to that.
I am a Portuguese independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions.
I've been trading professionally for about 20 years and also launched www.thinkfn.com in 2004. Thinkfn (Think Finance) carries thousands of educational articles on finance and the markets.
I trade futures, stocks from the long and short side, forex and options. I trade both discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader, Quantshare and others).
I can be reached at paulo.santosATthinkfn.com or followed on Twitter at twitter.com/ThinkFinance999
VineSecurityJournal provides original research and content covering physical security, wireless and wired networking, and alternative energy (Greenvestor). Our research is based on financial fundamentals, plus a solid understanding of the underlying business, market, technology, competition and product development process. The journal was founded by Mitch Vine, Professional Engineer, product developer and long time investor.
Mitch Vine has been actively investing for 30 years. He has held executive positions in product development and marketing for companies like IBM Corporation, Telus Mobility and Motorola plus he's helped several startups to analyse technology investments, markets, regulation and competition.
Mitch is a graduate of the University of Western Ontario Engineering and MBA programs. He can be reached at mitchvine@securitynr.
I am the founder of the Braeburn Group of independent AAPL analysts and author of the Posts At Eventide web presence.
The objective of my work is to benefit readers seeking to understand Apple's financial performance and to provide a repository of information and analysis at my web presence for other independent AAPL analysts preparing quarterly estimates and share price forecasts.
In addition to following Apple, I maintain a keen interest in the personal technology product markets and follow publicly traded enterprises offering technology products and services to consumers.
Robert Paul Leitao
Moon Kil Woong is currently a VP at a SME. Previously he was a tech stock consultant, VP of Research at ING, and sell side Director at Crédit Agricole Indosuez. Moon Kil Woong has a Masters in Public Administration from SJSU.
Michal Slawny joined Seeking Alpha in August 2008 as the contributor relations manager where she builds and strengthens relationships with SA's contributors. She also oversees new contributor intake, creates contributor newsletters, and manages SA's author database.
Prior to joining Seeking Alpha, Michal was the media communications assistant for The Israel Project, an organization dedicated to educating the press and the public about Israel by providing journalists, leaders, and opinion-makers accurate information about Israel. Among other things, in this role Michal was involved in the inception and implementation of press events which were covered by major media outlets ranging from NBC News, ABC News, CNN, and Fox News to the Associated Press, Reuters and The Independent (London). She also conducted research, wrote and edited press material, and created and updated Web page content.
In 2005, Michal interned with Manning Selvage & Lee, one of the world's leading public relations firms. She also gained extensive public relations experience at Koteret Public Relations in Tel Aviv, where she was responsible for writing press releases and organizing photo shoots pitched to the Israeli and international press. Slawny graduated cum laude with a B.A. in journalism, focusing on public relations, and a B.A. in Romance Languages from the University of Georgia. While there, Slawny was heavily involved in student activism and reinstated Dawgs for Israel, heading the group for almost three years.
Michal may be reached at mslawny [at] seekingalpha.com.
Our small-cap hedge fund strategy beat the market by 44 percentage points since its inception 18 months ago. Visit our website to learn how you can do the same. Insider Monkey is a finance website that provides free hedge fund and insider trading data. We believe ordinary investors can beat the market by imitating insiders and best hedge fund managers. They have access to better information and experts than ordinary investors do. Take advantage of the SEC filings where hedge funds and insiders disclose their stock transactions.
Here is our team:
Ms. Krishnamsetty is the Editor of Insider Monkey. Prior to creating Insider Monkey with Dr. Dogan, Ms. Krishnamsetty was Associate Producer at Bloomberg Television. Prior to that, Ms. Krishnamsetty was on the afternoon news team at CNBC. Additionally, Ms. Krishnamsetty reported for NPR and worked as a risk management consultant at Marsh & McLennan. Ms. Krishnamsetty has a M.S. in Journalism from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism.
Insider Monkey’s hybrid evaluation system ...More was created in 2003 by Dr. Ian Dogan. Dr. Dogan has a Ph.D. in financial economics with a specialization in insider trading. Dr. Dogan has provided consulting services to institutional investors and hedge funds, and managed a $200+ million fund using a strategy he developed utilizing insider transactions. Dr. Dogan recently authored the insider trading chapter of soon to be published “The Handbook of Investment Anomalies” by Zacks Investment Research. Insider Monkey will serve the outcome of the methodologies developed by Dr. Dogan to ordinary investors who don’t have access to academic quality research and tools to shape their investments.
For your inquiries please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org
For the past 30 years, I have been involved in startups, as a founder, and active investor. My first company was purchased by Johnson & Johnson, which set the foundation for future investments.
My level of trading escalated after graduating from college, primarily as a result of my relationship with the founder of the Silicon Valley venture capital firm, Institutional Venture Partners, (Netflix, Twitter, Oracle). By focusing on VC backed companies, I soon learned the advantage of investing in promising companies before they became household names. My interest in startups has never waned, and has become my primary focus today.
Chose to walk away from the corporate world and its dogma; couldn't be happier!
I find it interesting that people seem to have strong opinions about the market like Religion when all that really matters in the end is making money (long or short).
Why do I write? Two reasons: (1) I'm grateful for the market and what it has given me, I'd like to be able to share so I may be able to help others, and (2) I hope that any inspired intellectual discussions that follows helps me improve my investment thesis and approach.
My goal? To keep us in the game with specific actionable items! Track record on published articles:
2011 : 85.6% on RIMM short; 5.3% on AAPL long
2012 YTD : 81% (closed May 2012) on AAPL long; 55.3% on MoneyBall portfolio
I'm an individual investor based out of Seattle, WA. As I am currently surrounded by some of the world's most dominant technology companies, the majority of my analysis revolves around tech. While I do make small trades on a near-daily basis, I do not consider myself a day-trader and instead look for trends and momentum plays in the tech sector as favor shifts from one product to another. I look forward to sharing my articles with the community!
Jiang is not a value investor nor a growth investor. He believes that it does not matter if a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice.
Jiang has a BSc in Management from Lally School of Management at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and an MBA from Rotman School of Management at University of Toronto.
Chinese Internet/Media: AMAP, BIDU, CTRIP, DANG, FMCN, LONG, JOBS, RENN, SINA, SOHU, SPRD, VNET, YOKU
NA Tech/Media/Telecom: AAPL, AMZN, EBAY, FB, GOOG, GRPN, KYAK, LNKD, NFLX, PCLN, RIMM, T
NA Consumer Staple/Discretionary: CMG, COH, KO, LULU, MCD, SBUX, TIF, YUM
Special Situation: F, TSLA, EDU