Seeking Alpha

Robert Wagner

 
View as an RSS Feed
View Robert Wagner's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    Yep, more bad news for the climate alarmists.

    One-half of CO2 doubling achieved

    Detectable impacts on the climate are yet to be seen

    When the CO2 level in the atmosphere surpassed 400 ppm a short time ago, many alarmists would celebrate this symbolic achievement. Oh, the CO2 concentration is so high! It's a signal from the heaven, a shot from the Aurora telling us to start another world revolution because our previous one, that of 1917, has already faded away and it wasn't enough for us, anyway. The number is so round, and so on. Of course, nothing new happens when the CO2 level reaches 400 ppm – it's just another number that only looks special because of an arbitrary decadic numeral system we happen to use today. The Earth has seen concentrations around 6,000 ppm as well and 4,000 ppm would be just fine for all life forms we know today. By far the closest worrisome CO2 concentration is 150 ppm in which most existing plant species stop growing (ice ages have only forced them to easily withstand 180 ppm or so).
    http://bit.ly/1oREabO
    Sep 15, 2014. 06:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    Oh my, another real scientist actually looked at the data. The bad news just keeps rolling in.

    Science is never settled, but the current state of “climate change” science is quite clear: There is essentially zero evidence that carbon dioxide from human activities is causing catastrophic climate change.

    Yes, the “executive summary” of reports from the UN’s International Panel on Climate Change continues to sound the alarm — but the summary is written by the politicians. The scientific bulk of the report, while still tinged with improper advocacy, has all but thrown in the towel.

    Oregon-based physicist Gordon Fulks sums it up well: “CO2 is said to be responsible for global warming that is not occurring, for accelerated sea-level rise that is not occurring, for net glacial and sea ice melt that is not occurring . . . and for increasing extreme weather that is not occurring.”

    Consider:

     According to NASA satellites and all ground-based temperature measurements, global warming ceased in the late 1990s. This when CO2 levels have risen almost 10 percent since 1997. The post-1997 CO2 emissions represent an astonishing 30 percent of all human-related emissions since the Industrial Revolution began. That we’ve seen no warming contradicts all CO2-based climate models upon which global-warming concerns are founded.
    Rates of sea-level rise remain small and are even slowing, over recent decades averaging about 1 millimeter per year as measured by tide gauges and 2 to 3 mm/year as inferred from “adjusted” satellite data. Again, this is far less than what the alarmists suggested.
     Satellites also show that a greater area of Antarctic sea ice exists now than any time since space-based measurements began in 1979. In other words, the ice caps aren’t melting.
     A 2012 IPCC report concluded that there has been no significant increase in either the frequency or intensity of extreme weather events in the modern era. The NIPCC 2013 report concluded the same. Yes, Hurricane Sandy was devastating — but it’s not part of any new trend.

    http://bit.ly/1oRDQd6
    Sep 15, 2014. 06:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    This Climate Change movement is simply dirty and corrupt/ing:

    eport – emails reveal ‘collusion’ with green activist groups over EPA climate agenda
    Anthony Watts / 2 hours ago September 15, 2014

    NEW REPORT: FOIA’d Emails show outside ‘green’ lobby groups staffed up, collude with Obama EPA, calling rules’ legality into question

    For Immediate Release:September 15, 2014 |

    Obama’s EPA in collusion with “green” lobby groups — Report details the conflicts of interest, “unalterably closed minds”, internal activism and influence of outside interest groups on the Obama Administration EPA. Documents raise questions re EPA rules legality
    http://bit.ly/1m9nfpB
    Sep 15, 2014. 06:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    " There is a big ozone hole over the Antarctic, which allows atmospheric heat to escape"

    Really, I thought that banning CFCs was supposed to fix all that. BTW, Ozone is way up in the stratosphere and has nothing to do with the ground temperatures. Sorry, but your argument is nonsense. You should do your homework before you post. You simply destroy your own credibility.

    The ozone hole does not directly affect air temperatures in the troposphere, the layer of the atmosphere closest to the surface
    http://bit.ly/1s4xecs
    Sep 15, 2014. 06:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    "I'm not aware of any scientists that suggest El Nino is related to climate change."

    That is the whole problem with this field of climate "science." They totally overlook the obvious causes and only look at CO2. The oceans are the earth's thermostat. What warms the oceans warms the atmosphere. Not vice versa. Al Gore made his entire argument based upon the El Nino year in the 1990s. He picked an ocean driven temperature spike in temperatures and attributed it to man made CO2. That is how pathetic this field of climate "science" is.
    Sep 14, 2014. 09:42 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    Gasp!!!! Antarctic Sea Ice is hitting a record HIGH!!! This must be undeniable of global warming!!! The proof is irrefutable. Global warming results in increased polar ice, yea, that is it, CO2 caused global warming caused an increase in global ice. It is simple common sense physics, ice increases as the earth warms due only to man made CO2. That is surely a "scientific" theory worthy of a Nobel Prize in "Science." Hurry up, this is an emergency of global proportions, we must pass higher taxes, increase regulations and allow the Government more controls over our lives before the Antarctic Ice grows so large that it covers the entire S Hemisphere. We must stop global warming to stop the ice from growing...yea, that is it. Makes all the sense in the world...to those who are gullible enough to believe such nonsense.

    Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Sept 13 2014 – NEW ALL-TIME RECORD!!!!
    http://bit.ly/1qzQ13Z
    Sep 14, 2014. 09:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Global Warming "Science"; What Investors Need To Know, Don't Just Trust The "Experts" [View instapost]
    Yep, you got it. As per "Scientific Consensus" we should be ice free sometime soon in the future. This climate "science" is a joke.

    Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Sept 13 2014 – NEW ALL-TIME RECORD!!!!
    http://bit.ly/1qzQ13Z
    Sep 14, 2014. 09:31 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    ""If humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase, the average temperature of the Earth’s lower atmosphere could rise more than 4°C (7.2°F) by the end of the 21st century. But what does a global average temperature rise really mean? How would we experience it on a daily basis?"

    Really, we have 800k years of ice core data and 800 million years of geological CO2 and temp reconstructions. Care to point out where CO2 drove temperatures higher? Simply show me the data of higher CO2 LEADING to higher temperatures. I can show you when 4000 PPM CO2 resulted in an ice age. Care to point out where 400 PPM resulted in abnormal warming? Just show me the data, not come corrupt and biased "scientists" failed model and forecast, show me the actual data.


    BTW, this is just out: Your "science" is a joke.

    A new paper published in Climate of the Past compares temperature reconstructions of the last interglacial period [131,000-114,000 years ago] to climate model simulations and finds climate models significantly underestimated global temperatures of the last interglacial by ~0.67C on an annual basis and by ~1.1C during the warmest month.

    This implies that climate models are unable to fully simulate natural global warming, and the error of the underestimation is about the same as the 0.7C global warming since the end of the Little Ice Age in ~1850. Thus, the possibility that present-day temperatures could be entirely the result of natural processes cannot be ruled out in comparison to the last interglacial period.

    Further, during the last interglacial, Greenland temperatures were naturally up to 8C higher and sea levels up to 43 feet higher than today. And, during another interglacial, all of Greenland and West Antarctica melted & sea levels were 79 feet higher. Since this low-CO2 global warming occurred entirely naturally, there is no evidence that global warming during the present interglacial is unnatural or man-made.

    http://bit.ly/1sY0fYU
    Sep 13, 2014. 04:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    If climate "science" was a real "science" this finding would pretty much mean put a fork in the AGW theory, but it won't even phase the climate alarmists. This is a political movement and they will milk it for all its worth. The one thing I like is that the people that are planing to protest in NYC during an unusually cold spell simply look gullible, and the pictures that get printed simply show America and the world some people will just believe anything. Most people with an ounce of common sense can figure out the truth, and the truth doesn't side with the climate alarmists.


    A new paper published in Climate of the Past compares temperature reconstructions of the last interglacial period [131,000-114,000 years ago] to climate model simulations and finds climate models significantly underestimated global temperatures of the last interglacial by ~0.67C on an annual basis and by ~1.1C during the warmest month.

    This implies that climate models are unable to fully simulate natural global warming, and the error of the underestimation is about the same as the 0.7C global warming since the end of the Little Ice Age in ~1850. Thus, the possibility that present-day temperatures could be entirely the result of natural processes cannot be ruled out in comparison to the last interglacial period.

    Further, during the last interglacial, Greenland temperatures were naturally up to 8C higher and sea levels up to 43 feet higher than today. And, during another interglacial, all of Greenland and West Antarctica melted & sea levels were 79 feet higher. Since this low-CO2 global warming occurred entirely naturally, there is no evidence that global warming during the present interglacial is unnatural or man-made.

    http://bit.ly/1sY0fYU
    Sep 13, 2014. 04:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    I almost feel as if these researchers read these posts and then release there research. It is eerie how I can post something and then a week or so later research gets published to prove my point. Here is just the latest, and proves what I've been saying about the ice core data.

    Inconvenient: New paper finds the last interglacial was warmer than today – not simulated by climate models

    A new paper published in Climate of the Past compares temperature reconstructions of the last interglacial period [131,000-114,000 years ago] to climate model simulations and finds climate models significantly underestimated global temperatures of the last interglacial by ~0.67C on an annual basis and by ~1.1C during the warmest month.

    http://bit.ly/1sY0fYU

    The facts are the data is out there. The data tells one story and the "scientists" tell another story. In the long run the data will always win.

    Sep 13, 2014. 04:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GOP Hearings On Climate Change May Threaten Entire Green Economy [View article]
    Thanks for pointing that out. As I've always maintained, if people would simply look at the data the conclusion is obvious, this AGW theory is the greatest "scientific" fraud in history.

    This year looks to be a record setting cold. How in the world can CO2 trapping heat result in record colds, as well as a warming ocean? The oceans are like the thermostat of the globe, and IR and especially 15 nm IR doesn't warm the oceans. There is 2000x more heat in the oceans than in the atmosphere. Don't you think the "scientists" would be focused on the factors that warm the ocean?

    NOAA – 246 Low Max Records Broken or Tied From Sept 1 to Sept 10. Some records broken by 16F
    http://bit.ly/YGOEVH
    Sep 13, 2014. 03:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    This is the greatest threat to this climate change nonsense, the Press actually gives gives this "science" a fair hearing. Almost every claim made by the warmists crumbles under scrutiny. It requires a monolith of the press, academia and Democrats to keep the lie alive. Sooner or later the truth will become so evident that they will have to manufacture another crisis to get people to forget they were behind the climate change hoax. Just like they did for the coming ice age. They rely of the public having short memories and an unwillingness to look behind the curtain and trust and rely on "expert" opinions.

    Has the tide turned on polar bears as icons of global warming?

    The CBC in Canada is pretty much a mirror image of the BBC in the UK, ABC in Australia and PBS in the US. So you might appreciate my shock at the almost unbelievable balance contained in the recently broadcasted CBC documentary, “The Politics of Polar Bears: Tracking the Celebrity Bear.”

    The film is a profound change from the hype and pessimism that has dominated the polar bear issue in Canada and abroad, supported unchallenged by the CBC. Finally, TV viewers were given some decently balanced perspective on the status of polar bears in Western Hudson Bay.

    If the take-away message tipped towards reason and optimism rather than panic over the status of polar bears, it’s because the evidence was strongly in that direction.
    http://bit.ly/1nT8SBg

    “Polar bears miss the message on global warming” – my article in RANGE Magazine

    Last summer, one of the most experienced polar bear researchers alive, Ian Stirling (formerly of the Canadian Wildlife Service), speculated at The Guardian newspaper in the United Kingdom that the death of a single old bear on Svalbard, Norway could be blamed on global warming. “This 16-year-old male polar bear,” said the caption of a photo of an emaciated bear splayed out on the tundra, “died of starvation resulting from the lack of ice on which to hunt seals, according to Dr Ian Stirling.” The story was picked up by news outlets all over the world.

    Most disturbing was that there was no disclaimer from Ian Stirling pointing out that 16 years is near the maximum life expectancy for polar bear males in the wild, or that starvation is the primary cause of death for very old and young bears alike, whatever the state of sea ice coverage.

    Many people picked up on the irrationality of the claim that one old bear had “died of climate change,” even committed conservationists who accepted the tenets of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW). Some of the criticisms of Stirling in social media were harsh.

    http://bit.ly/1nT8Rx2
    Sep 13, 2014. 11:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    "A Reuters analysis finds that flooding is increasing along much of the nation’s coastline,"

    1) flooding is due to rain, not an increase in sea level.

    2) Here is the raw data for the sea level. Clearly the trend in flattening, not accelerating as one would expect if ice was melting at an increasing rate.
    http://bit.ly/1AohaH1

    BTW, at 3.2mm/yr, you have a pretty tough case to make that sea level is causing flooding, unless you are talking ant colony size cities.
    Sep 7, 2014. 07:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    ""However, while few scientists doubt that carbon-dioxide emissions cause global warming, and that this has caused Arctic ice to decline, there remains much uncertainty about the speed of melting and how much of it is due to human activity. But outside the scientific community, the more pessimistic views have attracted most attention.""

    Let me get this straight. Atmospheric CO2 is causing loss of ice in the N Pole, and a record level of ice in the S Pole. That is the whole problem with this "science." How in the heck can CO2 cause both ice loss and ice gain? It is as if these "scientists" only have one answer to everything, and they never bother to look at the big picture. Yes, we have been warming. We have been warming for over 12K years. In the last 12K years we have had 3 warming periods and each time the peak in temperatures is BELOW the previous peak. CO2 is higher than anytime in the past 12K years according to these "scientists," and yet temperatures remain below the previous peaks. Simply look at Al Gore's charts.

    If you choose to believe that CO2 can cause ice melt in the N Pole and ice gain in the S Pole, go ahead, but don't try to pass that kind of conclusion off as real "science." It is pure nonsensical politics, that is all it is. Fortunately not everyone is as gullible as the warmists and the the truth will eventually be known. Facts are we have 800 million years of history that proves the odds favor an ice age, not continued warming. We should be thankful for the warming, and this nonsense of preparing for warming puts us as risk of being unprepared for the real threat, that being global cooling.
    Sep 7, 2014. 07:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors' Guide To El Nino, Climate Change And Summer Weather Forecast [View article]
    Once again, you fail to grasp the basic concepts regarding this issue.

    1) Atmospheric CO2 doesn't warm the oceans, shorter wavelength viable light does. How does atmospheric CO2 melt floating ice? It doesn't.

    2) Antarctica is reaching record levels of ice.

    3) The average used for the arctic ice starts with the coldest year of the last 1/2 century, so of course the average is going to decline over time.

    4) There are plenty of Navy Sub photos from the past documenting an ice free N Pole. Only warmists make natural events look unnatural. Here are the photos documenting the faux alarmist approach of the warmist who are either ignorant of natural history or choose to only tell half the truth. The problem with you warmists is that you fail to do your homework and are either intellectually lazy and fail to look for other reasoning, or you simply choose not to because you aren't interested in the truth.
    http://bit.ly/1w4j0iv

    5) The N Pole doesn't lose ice in a symetric manner, it loses it in the area close to the Ring of Fire and increased levels of volcanic activity. It is kind of easy to melt ice when it sits on a volcano.
    http://bit.ly/1uF3WEf

    You warmist are like the Witch Doctors and Oracles of the past. You try to use sorcery to explain natural phenomenon.
    Sep 7, 2014. 10:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
2,259 Comments
1,731 Likes