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Robert Weinstein

 
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  • Micron Approaches Its First Quarter Earnings Release Near Highs
    Dec. 30, 2014 MU 24 Comments

    Summary

    • MU has increased more than 400% over the last two years.
    • Management continues to dilute shareholders with millions of new shares.
    • Samsung's 850 entry demonstrates Micron has its work cut out if it wants to capture marketshare.
  • Walgreen First Quarter Earnings Preview: Making New Highs
    Dec. 18, 2014 WBA 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Walgreen is currently trading above the average analyst price target.
    • Shares are highly volatile and options may help long-term investors cope with earnings.
    • Walgreen is attractive compared to its peers, especially with its dividend yield.
  • Oil Is Reaching A Bottom Quickly
    Dec. 1, 2014 USO 9 Comments

    Summary

    • OPEC's decision not to cut production shouldn't have come as a surprise.
    • The average cost of production is near the average sale price.
    • While prices tend to overshoot on the way up and down, for those willing to hold, we are near a long entry level.
  • Walgreen Fourth Quarter Earnings Preview: All About Taxes
    Sep. 23, 2014 WBA 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Management's decision to not take advantage of a lower tax jurisdiction is disappointing.
    • A greater mix of generic drugs means lower near-term profits.
    • If the company can beat, or if the upcoming Federal election is favorable, expect a large rally.
  • J.C. Penney Is Last Year's Fashion This Earnings Season
    Aug. 8, 2014 JCP 15 Comments

    Summary

    • Short sellers have called it correctly and remain heavily short.
    • Beyond the usual suspects, Alibaba could be the final straw to break J.C. Penney's back.
    • The retailer is in a race to become profitable before running out of cash.
  • Cisco Reigns As King Of The Internet Into Earnings
    Aug. 7, 2014 CSCO 9 Comments

    Summary

    • Falling revenue during the last three quarters overshadows earnings growth.
    • Partnership with NetApp will come under margin pressure as competition for cloud services heats up.
    • Cisco's lower price means a higher net effective yield for dividend seekers.
  • Groupon Is Reporting Earnings, But It's Not A Bargain Yet
    Aug. 4, 2014 GRPN 5 Comments

    Summary

    • Groupon's short interest is sky-high, and short sellers are the smart money.
    • Option traders are betting on a 19% price move following the release.
    • The online coupon cutter should report a profit, but I'm remain skeptical.
  • GT Advanced Technologies Reports Soon, But Holiday Numbers May Mean More
    Aug. 1, 2014 GTATQ 115 Comments

    Summary

    • If GT took the iPhone share from Corning, this earnings report diminishes in importance.
    • This stock is highly volatile and you should expect wild swings in equity if you want to jump on.
    • The market is expecting one more in a string of quarterly losses. Maybe this is the last.
  • Twenty-First Century Fox: The Big Studio Has Enough Star Power This Earnings Season
    Jul. 29, 2014 FOXA Comment!

    Summary

    • Merger with Time Warner on ice, but shares are at pre-speculation support again.
    • Option premium is high - creating opportunity for longs and shorts.
    • Analysts like the stock and expecting a big gain when the studio reports.
  • Why Zynga's Earnings Are A Non-Event
    Jul. 29, 2014 ZNGA 28 Comments

    Summary

    • A break-even quarter is as lackluster as you get, but options are pricing in a big move.
    • The potential for a buyout offer or further expansion into real money poker is the real value.
    • Zynga has tons of cash - investors can consider the stock as options without expiration.
  • I Love Microsoft Before, Now, And Into Earnings; It's Better Than Apple Or Amazon
    Jul. 18, 2014 MSFT 8 Comments

    Summary

    • The shares are stable compared to most other technology stocks and the overall market in general.
    • Microsoft is making a new multi-year high this week.
    • Management is growing much more aggressive against competitors.
  • AT&T Sounds Good Going Into Earnings Compared To Verizon
    Jul. 18, 2014 T, VZ 14 Comments

    Summary

    • AT&T and Verizon share the same DNA, but AT&T's higher dividend makes it more attractive.
    • Option buyers are willing to pay much more premium than the stock's historical volatility suggest is profitable.
    • All eyes will focus on revenue and margins, including landlines.
  • Ford Races Past Tesla And GM Into Earnings
    Jul. 17, 2014 TM, GM, TSLA 13 Comments

    Summary

    • Ford is the best automaker to own.
    • Tesla may be the hot momo-stock, but Ford drives profits, not dreams.
    • Ford pays an above average dividend yield and is discounted for zero growth.
  • Does Verizon Sound Good Into Earnings Compared To AT&T And Sprint?
    Jul. 16, 2014 VZ 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Verizon is the premium-priced carrier, but that may backfire.
    • AT&T offers a higher dividend yield.
    • Earnings continue to improve, although you shouldn't expect to get rich quick.
  • Facebook Locks Horns With Google, LinkedIn, And Twitter Into Earnings
    Jul. 16, 2014 FB 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Facebook's relatively low Beta may prove misleading based on option premiums.
    • Google remains king of social media ad importance.
    • Facebook continues to execute brilliantly.
  • Apple Knows How To Deliver Against Google And Microsoft Into Earnings
    Jul. 16, 2014 AAPL 30 Comments

    Summary

    • iWatch sales will likely fail to meet some expectations.
    • For pure yield seekers, Microsoft offers a higher dividend.
    • Expect a significant beat when Apple reports.
  • Sirius XM Continues To Beat Apple, Pandora, And Google Into Earnings
    Jul. 15, 2014 SIRI 38 Comments

    Summary

    • Sirius XM's dominance in the premium streaming radio market continues to flourish.
    • High speed mobile wireless and smart phones lowers the cost of entry for others.
    • Amazon entered into streaming music, but that's not enough to kick Sirius XM to the side.
  • eBay's Earnings, Amazon's Misery
    Jul. 14, 2014 EBAY, AMZN 19 Comments

    Summary

    • eBay faces an oncoming headwind from Alibaba, but Amazon's stock could get crushed.
    • The stock is fairly priced, and PayPal continues to generate strong revenue and profit.
    • eBay's shares are more stable than the overall market.
  • JPMorgan Chase Earnings - Let The Good Times Roll
    Jul. 10, 2014 JPM 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Shares are cheap, especially with its over-sized dividend.
    • Banks in general are in the dog house. This one is superior to Bank of America and Citigroup.
    • Option premium suggests a trading range from $53.52 to $58 is expected.
  • Wells Fargo Trumps Citigroup's Bull Thesis Into Earnings
    Jul. 10, 2014 C 14 Comments

    Summary

    • While Citigroup pays a dividend, it's not a reason to buy.
    • The government's stranglehold will limit Citigroup's ability to deliver compared to Wells Fargo.
    • Citigroup is in the same boat going nowhere as Bank of America is.
  • Can Yahoo's Earnings Compete Against Google, Amazon And Microsoft?
    Jul. 9, 2014 YHOO 11 Comments

    Summary

    • After two years, CEO Mayer hasn't attracted much confidence from Wall Street.
    • Amazon, Google and Microsoft continue to eat Yahoo's lunch.
    • Yahoo has potential to greatly appreciate, but only if it focuses on its defects and not buying more headaches.
  • Bank Of America Reports Second Quarter Earnings, But Wells Fargo Is A Better Investment
    Jul. 8, 2014 BAC 23 Comments

    Summary

    • Compared to Wells Fargo, Bank of America isn't as attractive for the average investor.
    • Bank of America pays a dividend, but not enough to be a primary catalyst to buy the stock.
    • Commercial lending is strong, but the consumer business needs to grow.
  • AMD Earnings Preview: Can The Chipmaker Repeat Its Last Quarter's Profit
    Jul. 8, 2014 AMD 63 Comments

    Summary

    • AMD faces a constant uphill battle for margin due to Intel.
    • The stock is only for highly speculative capital.
    • Wall Street is expecting another profitable quarter.
  • General Electric Second Quarter Earnings Preview
    Jul. 8, 2014 GE 5 Comments

    Summary

    • The stock is relatively flat compared to the overall market.
    • Option sellers have been rewarded in the last three months.
    • The market is expecting increased volatility this quarter versus the last.
  • Intel Earnings Preview: Dominating AMD And Maybe Micron Next
    Jul. 8, 2014 INTC 49 Comments

    Summary

    • The market is anticipating an earnings beat.
    • Intel's next leap forward may include greater on-board memory.
    • Intel remains a buy for its dividend and earnings ability.
  • Alcoa Kicks Off Earnings Once Again, Here's What To Expect
    Jul. 1, 2014 AA 18 Comments

    Summary

    • Rising electric costs could create a significant earnings headwind.
    • Short sellers are pulling away and short interest is at the lowest level in a year.
    • Aluminum spot price and inventory levels are working in Alcoa's favor.
  • What Wells Fargo Shareholders Can Expect From Its Upcoming Earnings
    Jul. 1, 2014 WFC 5 Comments

    Summary

    • The option premium tells us that the market is pricing in a 3% or about $1.39 move in the next 11 days.
    • On the monthly chart, shares are beginning to become frothy.
    • The bank is the best in class and outperforming peers.
  • Micron Third Quarter Earnings Preview
    Jun. 18, 2014 MU 55 Comments

    Summary

    • The market is anticipating an earnings beat.
    • Shares outstanding are growing quickly and diluting shareholders.
    • Short covering is driving some of the price appreciation.
  • Walgreen's Third Quarter Earnings Preview
    Jun. 17, 2014 WBA 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Walgreen meeting or beating isn't a given.
    • Rite Aid reports before Walgreen and may provide clues for Walgreen investors.
    • If the company can beat, analyst price target increases should propel the shares much higher.
  • Earnings Preview: Progressive Reports Results Thursday
    Jul. 6, 2012 PGR Comment!
  • Marriott Reports Second Quarter Results Wednesday
    Jul. 6, 2012 MAR Comment!
  • Homebuilders Lennar, KB Homes Report Earnings The Week Of June 25
    Jun. 22, 2012 BZH, DHI, HOV 2 Comments