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Ron Reed  

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  • Oil briefly turns positive on report of possible OPEC emergency meeting [View news story]
    I think it just shows that the dip should not last any longer than the glut of supply. IAW, the market is sending signs that as soon as demand picks up the increase will be rather rapid.

    The storage effect is not overly large in my opinion, the cost of storage is low, or low enough that companies feel it well worth the cost. Another sign that most feel the market will pick up.

    With that said, if the market does not, there is a lot of money going to waste. Certainly if the market does not respond in the manner we think it will, the excess holdings will drive it further down in the death spiral we are all concerned about.
    Feb 26, 2015. 03:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Oil briefly turns positive on report of possible OPEC emergency meeting [View news story]
    Really? You think so huh? Tell me then, what is the average completion cost for a well in SA VS. US? SA oil is profitable down to around 10.00 a barrel, no stimulation has been necessary, they are flowing up 12"+ casing on natural flow. The US has very high stimulation costs, for the Hoz. wells now being completed we are looking at in the 65-75 range just to break even, and that is using massive frac. Then they get a 2 month or so natural flow up 4.5-5.5" casing and then have to run submersible pumps just to get another 8-15 months of production from them and then they die. I work in this industry and have very first hand knowledge, maybe you do too, but your comments do not reflect it.
    Feb 25, 2015. 09:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Oil briefly turns positive on report of possible OPEC emergency meeting [View news story]
    Many decades of easily produced oil remain under Saudi control. Not to mention the excess that can be retrieved under stimulation and other methods. Saudi will continue to be the oil king for a very long time.
    Feb 23, 2015. 03:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • American Capital Agency declares $0.22 dividend [View news story]
    As the choir says....AMEN!
    Feb 12, 2015. 06:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Pennsylvania governor proposes new tax on nat gas extraction [View news story]
    Regardless of where you stand on the issue (Left, Right, Center) the point made is the truth that the citizens will be both the major payer as well as beneficiary of the tax. Whether that tax goes to help people that need it, into the pockets of the corporations that are out of the State, or into politician's and their supporters pockets; becomes the only question. If no tax is imposed then the locals will not see a higher price for the goods nor any positive possible outcome from more money into the State. If the tax is imposed then there is a chance that the overall State will see some positive benefit. The misuse of the instrument lies in the hands of the politicians as it always has and will continue so long as the voters allow them to do so.

    No, I am not arguing for either side here either, as I see this issue as fairly neutral economically speaking when we are faced with a local tax vs. an out of State corp. To be fair, the vast majority of the NG E&P groups in the area are not from PA so the bulk of any tax/profit is no longer applicable to this argument.
    Feb 12, 2015. 04:47 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Crude oil soars nearly 8% [View news story]
    In this market environment you never can tell the short duration movements. Could be algorithmic, could be short covering, could be some sector grabbing up supply. Who knows. Does not matter in the long run unless you are spec. short terms. Just wish it would find a floor and stick to it!
    Jan 30, 2015. 03:11 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cheniere gets FERC clearance for Corpus Christi gas export plant [View news story]
    The more I run the numbers the more I am convinced that this will be a great opportunity. Just need to find an entry point and hang on for the ride. I suspect it will get rather bumpy at first and settle out from there.
    Jan 19, 2015. 09:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cheniere gets FERC clearance for Corpus Christi gas export plant [View news story]
    I think the longer term question is Can they capitalize significantly on it or merely pay themselves back for the investment? If the later is true then they will simply be creating a market for the other players for free on both sides. Regardless, it is a net win, but I'm not certain they will be a great investment or just a good one. I've held back from buying LNG since Cooperman mentioned it.
    Jan 5, 2015. 07:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On the hour [View news story]
    I'm waiting on the US subsidy program to kick in to balance the high price of oil so the solar and renewable stocks will come back up. (tongue in cheek here folks)
    Dec 8, 2014. 01:57 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Stay Away From American Capital Agency! [View article]
    Nope, you just got to the table late. Those of us that have been doing this a while did not see this sector like the rest of the market and were in a long while ago, I've been zero'd out by dividend for a while so both the dividend and the security price are free money at this point.
    Oct 30, 2014. 06:13 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's talk about the D [View news story]
    No more so than those long would choose to spin it. TSLA is like a top spun faster and faster from both sides, lets just wait until the announcement happens shall we...
    Oct 2, 2014. 09:20 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Nine week streak marks longest dollar rally in 17 years [View news story]
    unfortunate but true.
    Sep 12, 2014. 03:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Futures slide as Russian troops reportedly enter Ukraine [View news story]
    Oh dear! Get the foil out, next thing you know you'll be accusing N. Korea of the same thing. I do agree this is all a power play on Russia's part, but calling it manipulation of the market is just silly.
    Aug 28, 2014. 09:37 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Skullcandy +8% on Jefferies upgrade [View news story]
    Once again the weak comments from after the fact PT raises garner an increase in algorithmic trade executions.
    Aug 12, 2014. 12:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • SodaStream roundup: Upgrade and earnings call shot at GMCR [View news story]
    After a 10% increase yesterday, flat is okay in pre-market. Opening they are up another 2% now
    Jul 31, 2014. 10:36 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment