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Sammy Pollack  

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  • Updating My Outlook For AT&T And Verizon
    Wed, Jan. 7 T, VZ 31 Comments

    Summary

    • T was my least favorite Dow stock for 2014.
    • Reviewing my bearish thesis.
    • Why I am now more bullish on T and VZ.
  • My Top 5 Takeover Targets For 2015
    Dec. 29, 2014 ABX, BP, KSS 5 Comments

    Summary

    • Conditions are ripe for takeovers in a number of different sectors.
    • Kohls, Netflix, Twitter, BP, and Newmont Mining are my top 5 takeover targets.
    • Investors can bet on potential takeovers via call options.
  • Why I Expect The Biotech Sell-Off To Continue Into 2015
    Dec. 24, 2014 AMGN, BIIB, CELG 15 Comments

    Summary

    • Biotech stocks have come under heavy selling pressure following news that Express Scripts will no longer cover Gilead's treatments for hepatitis C.
    • Biotech stocks are currently trading at high valuations.
    • Biotech companies offer little protection in the way of dividends and buybacks.
    • Biotech stocks are likely to be sold in favor of more cyclical stocks due to an improving economy.
  • Nordstrom: Why I'm Not A Buyer And What I Would Buy Instead
    Dec. 23, 2014 JWN Comment!

    Summary

    • JWN shares performed quite well during 2014.
    • JWN shares are trading at a high valuation relative to historic norms.
    • I view Macy's as a better buy than JWN right now.
  • Update: PetSmart Receives Takeover Bid
    Dec. 16, 2014 PETM Comment!

    Summary

    • PETM has received an $83 per share offer from BC Partners.
    • PETM shares are up more than 20% since my previous bullish piece.
    • A higher offer is unlikely and investors should take profits.
  • Blackstone: Reiterating My Strong Buy Rating
    Dec. 14, 2014 BX 8 Comments

    Summary

    • BX shares are down slightly since my initial bullish piece was published.
    • BX has announced a few new positive initiatives which investors have overlooked.
    • BX remains a compelling buy based on valuation.
  • 3D Systems Corp: No Longer A Strong Sell
    Dec. 3, 2014 DDD 17 Comments

    Summary

    • DDD shares are down more than 55% since my initial sell recommendation.
    • DDD valuations are now somewhat less extreme.
    • Short interest has continued to increase making a short squeeze more likely.
    • Difficult times for 3D printing companies could lead to industry consolidation.
  • Target: No Longer A Strong Buy
    Nov. 24, 2014 TGT 2 Comments

    Summary

    • TGT shares are up more than 21% since my bullish call on the stock in late June.
    • TGT is no longer trading at cheap valuation.
    • TGT is now a hold and not a strong buy.
  • Why McDonald's Is Now A Better Buy Than Darden
    Oct. 29, 2014 MCD, DRI 3 Comments

    Summary

    • In March 2013 I outlined my case for why DRI was a better buy than MCD.
    • DRI shares have outperformed MCD by a significant margin.
    • I now believe MCD is a better buy than DRI.
  • T-Mobile: Buy The Dip
    Oct. 14, 2014 TMUS 4 Comments

    Summary

    • TMUS shares have moved lower by about 10% over the past month as global equities have moved lower.
    • TMUS is a special situation because of its takeover potential.
    • TMUS is a buy based on strong risk/reward.
  • Time To Close Pairs Trade After Alibaba IPO
    Sep. 19, 2014 YHOO 26 Comments

    Summary

    • Yahoo has outperformed Amazon since I suggested going long Yahoo and short Amazon into the Alibaba IPO.
    • The catalyst for this trade has passed, and I think it is dangerous to stay short Amazon.
    • I sold my Yahoo position early today due to poor price action, but could re-enter Yahoo at lower levels.
  • Visa And MasterCard Should Issue Debt To Fund Massive Stock Buybacks
    Aug. 28, 2014 V, MA 17 Comments

    Summary

    • Both V & MA currently have very little debt on their balance sheets.
    • The stability of V and MA earnings make them good candidates for increased levels of leverage.
    • Shareholders are currently missing out on potential benefits of leverage.
  • Why I Don't Like Casablanca's Plan For Cliffs And What I Would Do Instead
    Aug. 28, 2014 CLF 31 Comments

    Summary

    • I believe Casablanca's plan for CLF is flawed.
    • What I would do instead.
    • I am not bullish on CLF right now.
  • Eastman Chemical: Time To Buy
    Aug. 26, 2014 EMN 5 Comments

    Summary

    • EMN shares have pulled back after the company reported a weaker than anticipated second quarter.
    • EMN is trading at a reasonable valuation based on a number of metrics.
    • EMN's recently announced a $1 billion stock buyback which should help support the stock.
  • Vodafone: A Buy Based On Merger And Acquisition Speculation
    Aug. 25, 2014 VOD 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Since selling its stake in Verizon Wireless VOD has become a rumored takeover target.
    • AT&T, China Mobile, and Softbank are all potential bidders.
    • VOD is currently the most valuable telecom takeover and is likely to receive at least one bid.
  • Talisman Energy: My Top Stock Pick Right Now
    Aug. 24, 2014 TLM 51 Comments

    Summary

    • TLM is the process of restructuring by selling non core assets.
    • Carl Icahn has amassed a large position in TLM and has appointed two board directors.
    • Repsol SA has approached TLM about a potential deal.
    • TLM recently experienced significant bullish options activity.
    • TLM sets up as a great risk reward trade.
  • News Corporation: A Strong Buy
    Aug. 20, 2014 NWSA Comment!

    Summary

    • News Corp. is a value play, based on sum-of-the-parts valuation.
    • News Corp.'s recently acquired Storyful could become a very valuable media property.
    • News Corp.'s strong balance sheet gives the company flexibility, and could allow the company to go private.
  • SeaWorld: Buy The Dip
    Aug. 18, 2014 SEAS 17 Comments

    Summary

    • SeaWorld shares have fallen sharply after the company reported disappointing second-quarter results.
    • Pressure from the "Blackfish" documentary is likely to be abate over time.
    • SeaWorld is a buy based on its valuation, dividend yield, and recently announced share repurchase.
  • Update: Dollar General Tops Dollar Tree Bid For Family Dollar
    Aug. 18, 2014 DG 2 Comments

    Summary

    • DG has announced a bid for FDO topping DLTR's previous bid.
    • In a recent article I suggested buying DG.
    • Investors who bought DG should consider selling to lock in gains.
  • Paulson Buys DirecTV As Buffett Sells: Why I'm Bullish
    Aug. 17, 2014 DTV 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Paulson & Co has taken a large stake in DirecTV while Berkshire has reduced its stake.
    • AT&T has agreed to buy DirecTV for $95 per share but regulatory approval remains uncertain.
    • I believe Paulson & Co's move to buy is more important than Berkshire's sale.
  • Update: Caesars Reaches Deal To Reduce Debt
    Aug. 13, 2014 CZR Comment!

    Summary

    • Caesars has reached a deal to reduce its debt by $548 million.
    • Caesars' shares have fallen sharply since I outlined my bearish view.
    • I remain bearish on Caesars and believe the company is likely to issue additional equity in the future.
  • Apollo Global Management: The Private Equity Play On Rising Rates
    Aug. 11, 2014 APO 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Apollo has more exposure to credit funds than peers such as Blackstone, KKR, and Carlyle.
    • Apollo's credit funds are well-positioned for a rising rate environment.
    • Apollo is currently in the process of raising a new fund to bet against junk bonds.
  • Time Warner Should Spinoff HBO
    Aug. 10, 2014 TWX 7 Comments

    Summary

    • TWX shares have fallen after Rupert Murdoch dropped his bid to acquire the company and TWX needs to do something to boost returns for shareholders.
    • HBO as a standalone company would benefit from the ability to by pass cable companies and sell directly to consumers.
    • HBO would be a potential acquisition for a number of companies and I believe a HBO/Netflix deal would make sense.
    • Spinning off HBO would create significant value for TWX shareholders.
  • MGM Resorts: Why The Odds Are Against This Casino
    Aug. 7, 2014 MGM 15 Comments

    Summary

    • MGM shares are up sharply over the past year and have outperformed rivals Las Vegas Sands, Wynn, and Caesars.
    • MGM carries a significant debt load that could be problematic in the future.
    • Investors should consider casino companies with better balance sheets.
  • Update: Sprint Drops T-Mobile Bid
    Aug. 6, 2014 S 15 Comments

    Summary

    • Sprint shares are trading sharply lower on news that the company has dropped its bid for T-Mobile.
    • Sprint shares are now down sharply from my previous short recommendation which was based in part on skepticism towards the T-Mobile deal.
    • Traders who have been short Sprint should look to lock in profits.
  • Time To Take Profits On Bank Of Ireland
    Aug. 4, 2014 IRE 24 Comments

    Summary

    • Bank of Ireland shares have rallied significantly since my previous mention.
    • Wilbur Ross recently sold his stake.
    • Other European banks are trading at more attractive valuations.
  • 3 Stocks To Consider As Equities Pull Back
    Aug. 4, 2014 FB, HAL, YHOO 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Stock indices across the globe have come under increased selling pressure for a number of reasons.
    • 2014 has been a year of individual stock picking and I expect that to continue.
    • Facebook, Halliburton, and Yahoo are buys on any decline.
  • B/E Aerospace: Buy The Dip
    Aug. 1, 2014 BEAV 2 Comments

    Summary

    • B/E Aerospace has retraced nearly all gains following the announcement that the company will split into two companies.
    • B/E Aerospace continues to report strong results.
    • The upcoming company split is a catalyst that should drive shares higher.
  • Tiffany & Co: Why I'm Not A Buyer And What I Would Buy Instead
    Jul. 29, 2014 TIF Comment!

    Summary

    • TIF shares are up sharply since my previous bullish recommendation.
    • TIF is trading at a high valuation relative to historic norms.
    • Other luxury retailers are trading at more reasonable valuations.
  • Update: Dollar Tree To Buy Family Dollar
    Jul. 28, 2014 FDO 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Dollar Tree has agreed to acquire Family Dollar for $8.5 billion.
    • Family Dollar buyout was anticipated my previous article.
    • Investors should consider buying Dollar General.
  • Update: KKR Reports Second Quarter Earnings
    Jul. 28, 2014 KKR Comment!

    Summary

    • KKR reported a strong quarter but did not blow away estimates.
    • I remain bullish on KKR.
    • Repositioning my previous trade.
  • Why I Believe An Alibaba Deal To Buy Yahoo Is Becoming More Likely
    Jul. 24, 2014 YHOO 41 Comments

    Summary

    • YHOO shares moved higher following a recent article which suggested that Alibaba or SoftBank should acquire YHOO.
    • YHOO's recent announcement that it will be selling less of its Alibaba stake is an indication that a deal is becoming more likely.
    • YHOO's weak earnings report and lack of long-term growth strategy make it an easy takeover target.
    • YHOO's weak stock price means that Alibaba could offer a significant premium over the current price to close a deal.