Serge Hagopian - Seeking Alpha 'Serge Hagopian' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.com/author/serge-hagopian Markets: Reversion to the Mean or a Really Mean Reversion? http://seekingalpha.com/article/161446-markets-reversion-to-the-mean-or-a-really-mean-reversion?source=feed 161446 Will The Market Crash?

During the recent “Rally Without a Cause” there have been bull-&-bear commentators arguing why the equities rally is or is not justified. I will not rehash the worn out arguments yet again. Let’s make the best possible arguments in favor of the bulls to see if these justifications stand the test of logic (a little less MAD MONEY and a little more Aristotle).

]]> Mon, 14 Sep 2009 16:34:24 -0400 Serge Hagopian Will The Market Crash?

During the recent “Rally Without a Cause” there have been bull-&-bear commentators arguing why the equities rally is or is not justified. I will not rehash the worn out arguments yet again. Let’s make the best possible arguments in favor of the bulls to see if these justifications stand the test of logic (a little less MAD MONEY and a little more Aristotle).


Complete Story »]]> GS JPM TZA Serge Hagopian DVD Review: Precise Exits & Entries http://seekingalpha.com/article/160533-dvd-review-precise-exits-entries?source=feed 160533 Veteran trader Charles LeBeau introduces us to his trading system in the 2-Disc DVD series, Precise Exits & Entries. The author does a great job covering a wide range of important topics for all traders (novice or advanced).

What LeBeau Does

]]> Wed, 09 Sep 2009 04:31:03 -0400 Serge Hagopian Veteran trader Charles LeBeau introduces us to his trading system in the 2-Disc DVD series, Precise Exits & Entries. The author does a great job covering a wide range of important topics for all traders (novice or advanced).

What LeBeau Does


Complete Story »]]> SPY Serge Hagopian DVD Review: The Original Turtle Trading Rules http://seekingalpha.com/article/160530-dvd-review-the-original-turtle-trading-rules?source=feed 160530 The "Prince of the Pit", Richard J. Dennis, was a successful and profitable trader. To settle a wager and prove that trading is not the domain of the select few, but rather it can be taught to anyone Dennis recruited and trained 24 people to trade. The Prince of the Pit taught the original 24 his trading secrets, and lent them millions of his own money to trade with. The result? The original recruits (Turtles, as they were called) went one to amass hundreds of millions of dollars in profit. Enter Russell Sands, one of the original Turtles recruited and trained to trade. In The Original Turtle Trading Rules, Sands lays out the rules he and a lucky few were taught by Richard Dennis.

REVIEW

]]> Wed, 09 Sep 2009 04:26:56 -0400 Serge Hagopian The "Prince of the Pit", Richard J. Dennis, was a successful and profitable trader. To settle a wager and prove that trading is not the domain of the select few, but rather it can be taught to anyone Dennis recruited and trained 24 people to trade. The Prince of the Pit taught the original 24 his trading secrets, and lent them millions of his own money to trade with. The result? The original recruits (Turtles, as they were called) went one to amass hundreds of millions of dollars in profit. Enter Russell Sands, one of the original Turtles recruited and trained to trade. In The Original Turtle Trading Rules, Sands lays out the rules he and a lucky few were taught by Richard Dennis.

REVIEW


Complete Story »]]> SPY Serge Hagopian Goldman Sachs Scandal: Myth or Reality? http://seekingalpha.com/article/147126-goldman-sachs-scandal-myth-or-reality?source=feed 147126 NOTE: This is an abridged revision of a previous instablog (Folio Protection: Goldman Sachs Manipulation Accusations, Part I), along with what would have been Part II.

In case you’re not aware, there are allegations against Goldman Sachs (GS) by Matt Taibbi in his article, The Great American Bubble Machine, (July 9-23, 2009 in Rolling Stone). Taibbi’s thesis is that in pursuit of its own profit, Goldman Sachs created six major bubbles to the determent of the nation.

]]> Mon, 06 Jul 2009 08:36:46 -0400 Serge Hagopian NOTE: This is an abridged revision of a previous instablog (Folio Protection: Goldman Sachs Manipulation Accusations, Part I), along with what would have been Part II.

In case you’re not aware, there are allegations against Goldman Sachs (GS) by Matt Taibbi in his article, The Great American Bubble Machine, (July 9-23, 2009 in Rolling Stone). Taibbi’s thesis is that in pursuit of its own profit, Goldman Sachs created six major bubbles to the determent of the nation.


Complete Story »]]> GS Serge Hagopian Profiting from Earnings Season Uncertainty http://seekingalpha.com/article/146970-profiting-from-earnings-season-uncertainty?source=feed 146970 After rallying from the March lows, this week the “green shoots” camp will have an opportunity to put their money where their mouth is as we start Q2 earnings season. How can traders profit from the upcoming uncertainty?

Virtually all the financial press has stated that for the current rally to continue (or at the very least not to collapse) the “less bad” analysis is no longer good enough; starting this coming week, investors must see positive progress rather than the “less bad” optimism.

]]> Sun, 05 Jul 2009 06:54:09 -0400 Serge Hagopian After rallying from the March lows, this week the “green shoots” camp will have an opportunity to put their money where their mouth is as we start Q2 earnings season. How can traders profit from the upcoming uncertainty?

Virtually all the financial press has stated that for the current rally to continue (or at the very least not to collapse) the “less bad” analysis is no longer good enough; starting this coming week, investors must see positive progress rather than the “less bad” optimism.


Complete Story »]]> AA BGZ DEE FAZ SMN TZA Serge Hagopian Dow 6,000, Part II http://seekingalpha.com/article/146221-dow-6-000-part-ii?source=feed 146221 My previous article, Why the Dow Is Headed to 6000, generated many comments. Perma-Bulls are not persuaded. Persuaded or not, I thank everyone for taking the time to comment on my article. I hope we can build a community (bull and bear, trader and investor) that takes our beliefs seriously, respects one another, and strengthens our community to everyone’s benefit.

At the risk of overstating the obvious, I’m a short-term trader and my recommendations are intended for short-term traders, not long-term investors. Unless otherwise stated, please keep that in mind when looking at my stock and ETF recommendations (what may be a great short-term trade may be a horrible long-term investment, and vice versa).

]]> Tue, 30 Jun 2009 10:10:12 -0400 Serge Hagopian My previous article, Why the Dow Is Headed to 6000, generated many comments. Perma-Bulls are not persuaded. Persuaded or not, I thank everyone for taking the time to comment on my article. I hope we can build a community (bull and bear, trader and investor) that takes our beliefs seriously, respects one another, and strengthens our community to everyone’s benefit.

At the risk of overstating the obvious, I’m a short-term trader and my recommendations are intended for short-term traders, not long-term investors. Unless otherwise stated, please keep that in mind when looking at my stock and ETF recommendations (what may be a great short-term trade may be a horrible long-term investment, and vice versa).


Complete Story »]]> BGZ DIA FAZ IVV SPY TZA Serge Hagopian Why the Dow Is Headed to 6000 http://seekingalpha.com/article/145928-why-the-dow-is-headed-to-6000?source=feed 145928 The global capital-market rally since the March lows was a great trading opportunity, but the rally may have been based on shifting-sentiment (as opposed to structural improvements in the economy). The market was “pricing in” (or hoping for) a quick recovery; even though there was no evidence to suggest clear-&-compelling improvement in GDP, employment, deleveraging consumers, or corporate earnings.

  • Yes, the government was able to stop Financial Armageddon; but that’s not the same thing as an improving economy.
  • Yes, the US economy is resilient and will recover and prosper in the long-run. But “In the long-run, we’re all dead”, to quote the Nobel Prize winning economist Keynes.

Like the cartoon character that has run off the ledge of the mountain but has not yet noticed the fact that he’s running on thin-air, once equity investors look down it may get ugly.

]]> Mon, 29 Jun 2009 06:21:28 -0400 Serge Hagopian The global capital-market rally since the March lows was a great trading opportunity, but the rally may have been based on shifting-sentiment (as opposed to structural improvements in the economy). The market was “pricing in” (or hoping for) a quick recovery; even though there was no evidence to suggest clear-&-compelling improvement in GDP, employment, deleveraging consumers, or corporate earnings.

  • Yes, the government was able to stop Financial Armageddon; but that’s not the same thing as an improving economy.
  • Yes, the US economy is resilient and will recover and prosper in the long-run. But “In the long-run, we’re all dead”, to quote the Nobel Prize winning economist Keynes.

Like the cartoon character that has run off the ledge of the mountain but has not yet noticed the fact that he’s running on thin-air, once equity investors look down it may get ugly.


Complete Story »]]> BGZ DIA FAZ SPY TZA Serge Hagopian